52.5 start for PNG?

Discussion in 'International' started by The 18th Man, Oct 24, 2010.

  1. The 18th Man

    The 18th Man Juniors

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    A bit rich.

    I think it's easy money in taking PNG with that start. When was the last time Australia beat PNG by 52 points let alone on a rain soaked afternoon featuring a relatively new looking side loaded with players who haven't played in a while?

    Expect a scratchy win by the Aussies. It will be ugly at times, flashes of indiviual brilliance, though I don't expect the well oiled Australian machine that apparently the bookies are expecting.

    Story http://www.foxsports.com.au/league/...ations-easybeats/story-fn488j1c-1225942792089
     
  2. simmo1

    simmo1 Bench

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    Very generous imo. I think around a 35.5 start would be more accurate. Probably even less in these conditions.
     
  3. The 18th Man

    The 18th Man Juniors

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    I just put $100 on PN with a 48.5 start at $2.00.

    I just can't see Australia running that down in these conditions.
     
  4. The 18th Man

    The 18th Man Juniors

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    Maybe this should be moved to Punters Forum? Appologies.
     
  5. westie

    westie Bench

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    I agree. We had about that margin in '08 with the greatest ever backline. Now we've a few half arsed backs and no Thurston. We looked near incapable of scoring without him in melbourne. Especially with the rain, it's surely too long. Butttttt, who knows what these new Kumuls blokes are capable of?
     
  6. The 18th Man

    The 18th Man Juniors

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    I got these results from Wikipedia (not always reliable I know). I copied results from 2005 and upward as follows:


    • 2009: Papua New Guinea def. Cook islands 42-14 Port Moresby - 2009 Pacfic cup final
    • 2009: Papua New Guinea def. Tonga 44-14 Port Moresby - 2009 Pacific Cup
    • 2009: Australia PMXIII def. Papua new Guinea PMXIII 42-18
    • 2009: Papua new Guinea def. Fiji 14-02 Port moresby
    • 2009:papua New Guinea def. Fiji 64-10 Port Moresby
    • 2008 New Zealand def. Papua New Guinea 48-6 Skilled Park (Robina) 2008 World Cup
    • 2008 England def. Papua New Guinea 32-22 Dairy Dairmers Stadium (Townsville) 2008 World Cup
    • France Def Papua New Guinea 22-16 Begles, France
    • 2007: Papua New Guinea def France A 20-6 Villenuve, France
    • 2007: France def Papua New Guinea 38 - 26 (France)
    • 2007: Papua New Guinea def France A 38-12 Avignon, France
    • 2007: Wales def Papua New Guinea 50-10 Bridgend , Wales
    • 2007: Papua New Guinea Drew Australia PM XIII 24-24
    • 2006: Australia PM XIII def. Papua New Guinea 28-8 Lloyd Robson (Port Moresby)
    • 2005: Australia def. Papua New Guinea 70-22 Dairy Farmers Stadium, Townsville
     
  7. Usain Bolt

    Usain Bolt Bench

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    Just placed a bet on it with the NZ TAB and 5 mins later wanted to use it in a multibet option and now betting has been suspended for that option. All the money must be flying in on it
     
  8. The 18th Man

    The 18th Man Juniors

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    Interesting developement.

    I don't know of any closed markets in Australia.
     
  9. 14jonesk

    14jonesk Juniors

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    nah Austalia will win it agianst Png, will be scratchy but they will be in red hot form when against the kiwis
     
  10. The 18th Man

    The 18th Man Juniors

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    I think we all agree they will win, though covering the line betting on offer is the question.
     
  11. Haynetrain

    Haynetrain Coach

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  12. pantherz9103

    pantherz9103 First Grade

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    Last time Australia played PNG they won 46-6 in the World Cup, although they didn't pick the best side available as it was a chance to give the backups a run. I predict a similar scoreline this time. PNG have only 1 NRL player, I'm pretty sure they had more last time.
     
  13. Marshall_magic

    Marshall_magic Coach

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    In 2008 we beat them 46-6 with this side

    1. Hunt
    2. Boyd
    3. Monaghan
    4. Tate
    5. Williams
    6. Campese
    7. Thuston
    8. Kite
    9. Smith
    10. Perry
    11. Watmough
    12. Tupou
    13. Fitzgibbon

    14. Prince
    15. Price
    16. Gallen
    17. Folau

    Not exactly the best Australian side ever, in fact the depleted side we're wheeling out this year is probably better, however with the weather and other factors to contend with, I think it will be a lot closer than 52.5, I'd say 30.5 would be enough.
     
  14. The 18th Man

    The 18th Man Juniors

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    Time will tell, thanks for the team list their Marshall_Magic.
     
  15. 14jonesk

    14jonesk Juniors

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    Lol Folua 17th man
     
  16. Skinner

    Skinner Coach

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    I actually think that it's a very fair estimation.
     
  17. 14jonesk

    14jonesk Juniors

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    We had about that margin in '08 with the greatest ever backline. Said Westie
    Mate how was 08 the best backline ever monahan, willams, tate boyd are u joking
     
  18. 1 Eyed TEZZA

    1 Eyed TEZZA Coach

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    Agreed, Iv heard people say that before and the backline was weak compared to what we could of had. Gasnier was supposed to be available, Hodges was out with injury, it wasnt a great backline.


    That WC team played great footy, mainly on the back of Lockyer and Slater.
     
  19. Patorick

    Patorick First Grade

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    Aussies will be rusty.

    52.5 start seems pretty fair.
     
  20. Southern Rooster

    Southern Rooster Bench

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    Australia will cover the start today I reckon and win by uowards of 60
     

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