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A look back at 1990's expansion

Stallion

First Grade
Messages
7,467
I have absolutely no qualms if the NRL decided to put the GF to tender on a yearly basis.

A GF in Brisbane, Sydney, Melbourne...even the new stadia in Perth and Adelaide...even Auckland, why not? The hosting city has to put everything on too - fan days, parade, Dally M, etc. The whole kit and caboodle. Surely as a code we can be able to do that? People say Sydney aren't invested in a GF, esp if no Sydney team. Well...move them around. Even on a rotating schedule of Sydney, Brisbane, Sydney, Melbourne, Sydney, Auckland, Sydney, Brisbane, Perth...etc. And yes...there a couple more Sydney's up front so people get used to it. Wouldn't want the poor dears at News Ltd having a conniption that Brisbane is getting a GF. Or one with 2 Sydney teams in it.

Not so sure about that yet. When the code realises its true potential and genuinely expands with teams coming out of all major cities (preferably more than one in each capital city outside of Sydney) then the tendering process for a grandfinal is appropriate. For now the game must respectfully grow and expand into new areas and consolidate its hearland areas as it is under attack from rival codes. Losing the core of the game would be absolutely disastrous in these times. Gradual and deliberate expansion without the internal bleeding is required for the foreseeable future and as the code strengthens its Australia wide footprint then tender out the gf. This must be done when the time is right. At this stage it's suicidal for the game with rival codes circling for the next major mistake.
 
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davi

Juniors
Messages
1,933
Funnily enough these "merger and relocation" talks were promoted by the Daily Telegraph. A News Ltd business. All very negative and undermining the genuine progress of the code that was witnessed up to 1995.


There are two sides to every story with Superleague. While my heart is with the ARL and I hate newslimited, there were players who claimed before Superleague came along the players were not getting a fair piece of the pie and all the money was heading to the ARL administrators. Considering the players are putting their bodies on the line and are paying for it for the rest of their lives they have a point.
 

Stallion

First Grade
Messages
7,467
There are two sides to every story with Superleague. While my heart is with the ARL and I hate newslimited, there were players who claimed before Superleague came along the players were not getting a fair piece of the pie and all the money was heading to the ARL administrators. Considering the players are putting their bodies on the line and are paying for it for the rest of their lives they have a point.

Agree. The players are featuring in the hardest contact football code on earth. Fully agree. Their are many angles to the war and this created the split. But I have this creepy feeling another codes' interests were also being served. This code having many friends in high places. One of the friends being News ltd.
 

siv

First Grade
Messages
6,556
Absolutely agree. The agreement made was totally against the code's progress. I still have the deep feeling that the Super league "war" was a masked and well orchestrated exercise at weakening the code and its progress in Australia. This being backed by a 'rival' code with connections at the top end of town that was concerned at the progress being achieved by the ARL in 1995.That's my gut feel.

Pay TV war pure and simple

When the Federal governmemt in 1993 said that PMT Packer-Murdoch-Telstra couldnt form Foxtel

Thats when shit hit the fan. Packer had the TV rights for Pay-TV

Ribot and everyone else were just pawns
 

Stallion

First Grade
Messages
7,467
Pay TV war pure and simple

When the Federal governmemt in 1993 said that PMT Packer-Murdoch-Telstra couldnt form Foxtel

Thats when shit hit the fan. Packer had the TV rights for Pay-TV

Ribot and everyone else were just pawns

Agree they were pawns but a different drum beat was in the background! It had its own music to benefit by such a war even though its sound was terrible.
 
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LeagueXIII

First Grade
Messages
5,966
Once again the history and longtime rivalries are being ignored by the comments. These clubs in Sydney are vital for credibility and sustained growth. Without the foundation the competition has no substance. These clubs have support not just in Sydney. Tampering with established markets and people's affiliation and memories is shear lunacy. Genuine expansion through additional clubs is still and should be the way to go. The lack of feeling and understanding of this situation and the expansive nature of Australia and its densely populated cities with massive distances isn't being recognised in the discourse provided by the 'destructionist ' thinking.

Never truer words spoken. Killing teams in Sydney will only weaken rugby league and more importantly it's potential TV revenue as super league did.
Take North Sydney as an example, club gone now rugby union and aussie rules are the preferred games and league which once attracted an average 15,000 is a black hole in the area.
 

siv

First Grade
Messages
6,556
Agree they were pawns but a different drum beat was in the background! It had its own music to benefit by such a war even though its sound was terrible.

The only other drum was a desire for Qld to recover and a win a basic Brisbane v Sydney RL domination

Which still continues in official circles today via the QRL veto right on the ARLC
 

Stallion

First Grade
Messages
7,467
The only other drum was a desire for Qld to recover and a win a basic Brisbane v Sydney RL domination

Which still continues in official circles today via the QRL veto right on the ARLC

It was much more sinister and big end of town stuff than u think ! Il give a hint. At the same time News ltd signed a tv deal with rugby union in South Africa. You will say its coincidence. In the fullness of time I think not. Their was a deliberate effort to destabilize rugby league in Australia and have another code gain more traction in the Australian market. Having seen other examples of this 'big end of town' tact against the code of rugby league elsewhere I think its a valid observation.
 

Stallion

First Grade
Messages
7,467
Never truer words spoken. Killing teams in Sydney will only weaken rugby league and more importantly it's potential TV revenue as super league did.
Take North Sydney as an example, club gone now rugby union and aussie rules are the preferred games and league which once attracted an average 15,000 is a black hole in the area.

Thanks. It's tough getting the right message through!
I can see why rugby league has some real issues. If some of the contributors are reflective of the guys working within the NRL or rugby league in general then the game is in dire straights as to where it should be. And by now the NRL should have had a 20 team competition with a footprint in Perth, Brisbane2, Central Coast/North Sydney Bears(consolidating Sydney) and maybe Adelaide or NZ2 but we all know what stopped that happening!
 

The Great Dane

First Grade
Messages
7,762
I still maintain that if the ARL had said no at the end of 1997 and persevered with their 1998 comp, they would have been in a stronger position.

They would have gone broke or turned into a Sydney competition (at the same level as the Shute shield) in 5-10 years.

After their TV deal ran out the value of their competitions rights value would have halved (or more) since their last deal, the value of their sponsorship space would have halved or more, etc.
By that time they would have only had a presence in Sydney and Newcastle, and maybe Woolongong and/or the GC as well (but that's unlikely), compared to the SLs Brisbane, Sydney, Adelaide, Perth, Melbourne, Canberra, NQ, Newcastle, and NZ, at least (it's possible that they could have expanded further after they introduced the Storm in 98).

The Newcastle win was like the tonic the game had needed, a salve as such.

The ARL had a comp of traditional teams - Norths, Souths, Easts, Wests, Balmain as well as Saints, Manly and Parramatta, along with city/regions Illawarra, Newcastle, Brisbane (Crushers), and Gold Coast. They were also looking at a Melbourne expansion side. They possessed the history and probably had a bit more of the sentiment on their side. There were also (unsubstantiated - I can't find links) whispers that a couple of SL clubs were tentatively asking to return to the ARL.

So...whilst the ARL was still Sydney heavy, they did have a reach in to Qld and regional NSW, with an eye to Victoria.

SL was suffering its own losses and bleeding $$$. As I said, it'd have been interesting if 1998 was still a split comp.

Firstly most of the ARLs clubs were flat broke and dying after the first year of SL, the Crushers folded at the end of 97 and the ARL didn't have the money to prop them up.
The ARL weren't looking at expanding to Melbourne, all talk of the ARL expanding to Melbourne or Adelaide stopped after SL started in 95 and SL picked up the pieces and created the Rams and the Storm.
I don't remember any talk of SL clubs wanting to jump back to the ARL, however the Rabbitohs begged SL to let them in as the money on offer would have saved their club but News weren't interested, and after Newcastle, the Bears, and St. George refused SL the plan was to let them into the competition later down the line once SL was established and the ARL was crumbling badly.

You say SL was suffering bad financial losses, which is true, and is sort of the only reason that the war ended when it did, but those losses wouldn't have killed RL if News didn't want it to fold.

Lachlan Murdoch and John Ribot promised Rupert Murdoch that it'd only cost $x amount of money (I forget the exact amount) to startup SL and kill the ARL, however largely due to the court case delaying things that amount blew out massively, they'd passed it by mid 96 from memory, and by the end of 97 Rupert saw that he could get everything he wanted for a lot cheaper then continuing the war would cost by making peace and dictating terms, so they made peace, and Rupert did get everything he wanted.
However if they had wanted to News could have swallowed the losses that SL was making for a lot longer then the ARL could have held out and killed the ARL outright (or weakened them so much that they weren't a threat anymore), they didn't though cause they weren't in it to kill the ARL necessarily, they were in it for the pay TV broadcasting rights of RL in this country and basically the right to run the game and they could get that cheaper without persisting with SL and killing the ARL out right, so that's what they did.
 
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The Great Dane

First Grade
Messages
7,762
Never truer words spoken. Killing teams in Sydney will only weaken rugby league and more importantly it's potential TV revenue as super league did.
Take North Sydney as an example, club gone now rugby union and aussie rules are the preferred games and league which once attracted an average 15,000 is a black hole in the area.

Christ, do any of you people do any research before you say things like this!? Do you even sit down and think about it for a few miniatures before you say it!?

If rationalising a competition to better represent the flow of money in your target markets will kill your competition if you attempt it, then explain why soccer makes more money and is more popular then it ever has been in this country since they rationalised and launched the A-league in 05, once you've done that explain why pretty much every popular sports competition from the NFL to the NRL it's self hasn't killed themselves through their own rationalisation attempts over the years.

Explain why tapping into untapped resources and adding more value to your broadcasting rights, streaming rights, advertising value, sponsorship value, etc, etc, will lead to the game imploding in on it's self.

Also no causation has ever been proven to exist between the growth of RU and AFL in this country, and particularly in NS, and the death of the Bears or any other team for that matter.
Saying that killing the Bears led to the growth of RU and AFL may sound good, but to even suggest it you must ignore dozens of other factors going on at the same time, and to suggest that any rationalisation attempt would end in the same results as what happened in NS not only ignores that other rationalisation attempts have been successful (including in our own competition), it also assumes that all rationalisation attempts must be carried out in the exact same way, with the same flaws as the way that the Bears being killed happenec, and that is simply untrue.
 

Perth Red

Post Whore
Messages
65,759
Never truer words spoken. Killing teams in Sydney will only weaken rugby league and more importantly it's potential TV revenue as super league did.
Take North Sydney as an example, club gone now rugby union and aussie rules are the preferred games and league which once attracted an average 15,000 is a black hole in the area.

Myth, afl and union haven't taken over north Sydney, there are nine teams still in syd yet, 2 afl teams and 1 union team, how can they have taken over a region? League juniors still massively out number union or afl numbers. NS Bears still exist in the region and run elite programs with a direct route for players to reach the nrl.
If afl and union can supposedly take over with one team why do we need nine to hold it?

Bears didn't avg 15k, they avg'd 10-11k most of their final years and by 99 were down to 8.5k.

End of day comes down to a simple equation of $'s
How much is a ninth and tenth game worth? If it is equal or more than the cost of producing that content then yes let's keep all teams and expand to 20. If not then either the nrl spends significantly less elsewhere or we have to merge, relegate or relocate some existing clubs in order to increase our capital city reach.
 
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Stallion

First Grade
Messages
7,467
Myth, afl and union haven't taken over north Sydney, there are nine teams still in syd yet, 2 afl teams and 1 union team, how can they have taken over a region? League juniors still massively out number union or afl numbers. NS Bears still exist in the region and run elite programs with a direct route for players to reach the nrl.
If afl and union can supposedly take over with one team why do we need nine to hold it?

Bears didn't avg 15k, they avg'd 10-11k most of their final years and by 99 were down to 8.5k.

End of day comes down to a simple equation of $'s
How much is a ninth and tenth game worth? If it is equal or more than the cost of producing that content then yes let's keep all teams and expand to 20. If not then either the nrl spends significantly less elsewhere
or we have to merge, relegate or relocate some existing clubs in order to increase our capital city reach.

The answer is; genuinely expand to 20 clubs without carving up the foundation/origins of the competition in Sydney. You will find the game will maintain its credibility in the market place and be seen as a progressive, respectful and expanding code. Not one that implodes on itself!
 
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Perth Red

Post Whore
Messages
65,759
The answer is; genuinely expand to 20 clubs without carving up the foundation/origins of the competition in Sydney. You will find the game will maintain its credibility in the market place and be seen as a progressive, respectful and expanding code. Not one that implodes on itself!

You keep ignoring my last part, what if it has to be reduction to expand? Would you rather see status would remain with no growth of the game, or accept that to grow there would have to be consolidation of an over serviced market? You seem to continually say the same thing without consideration that maybe the game cannot grow or will not grow to more than 16 clubs.
 

LeagueXIII

First Grade
Messages
5,966
Myth, afl and union haven't taken over north Sydney, there are nine teams still in syd yet, 2 afl teams and 1 union team, how can they have taken over a region? League juniors still massively out number union or afl numbers. NS Bears still exist in the region and run elite programs with a direct route for players to reach the nrl.
If afl and union can supposedly take over with one team why do we need nine to hold it?

Bears didn't avg 15k, they avg'd 10-11k most of their final years and by 99 were down to 8.5k.

End of day comes down to a simple equation of $'s
How much is a ninth and tenth game worth? If it is equal or more than the cost of producing that content then yes let's keep all teams and expand to 20. If not then either the nrl spends significantly less elsewhere or we have to merge, relegate or relocate some existing clubs in order to increase our capital city reach.

Let me clarify, I used North Sydney Bears as an example of what losing them has done to the game in the area they use to represent not the whole of Sydney.
I was referring to the Bears pre super league before the game went on the nose and lost supporters, sponsors and basically it's goodwill (feel good factor) which it had built up from the 80's to the mid 90's.
Super League started raiding players from clubs on April 1st, 1995, until then league had been on a steady climb upward with 1994 being a high point.

So looking at the Bears crowds they averaged 15,116 in 1994 and 15,297 in 1991. I wonder what these supporters are doing now?

As for the Sydney Swans:

1990 - 9274

1991 - 11,139

1992 - 9962

1993 - 9422

1994 - 9814

1995 - 15,976 (Tony Lockett's first season. The AFL insisted lockett move to Sydney not another Melbourne club as he intended to do. The AFL could see what was happening in league)

1996 - 24,573

1997 - 35,818

1998 - 31,548

1999 - 30,539

North Sydney only carries 8 junior clubs. Junior league is very weak here which it wasn't when the Bears supported the local junior comp and many locals made first grade. The Bears won the reserve grade premiership 4 times in 5 years between 1989 and 1993.

We don't need Adelaide let them have a team in the lower league as PNG do in Qld.

Merging does nothing for the game, just takes two big clubs and kills half of each.

In 1994

Balmain and Wests averaged 14,644
(Balmain finished last and Wests only a couple of places higher)

St.George/Illawarra 24,136

in 2017

Tigers averaged 13,551

Dragons 13,334

So with the Bears in 1994 these 5 clubs combined had 53,896 compared to today 26,885 a loss of 27,009 fans no longer going to football. Great move.

I'm not against expansion but it needs to be done whilst protecting and nurturing the golden goose which is Sydney.
 
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LeagueXIII

First Grade
Messages
5,966
Christ, do any of you people do any research before you say things like this!? Do you even sit down and think about it for a few miniatures before you say it!?

I'll ask you the same thing.....well do you?


If rationalising a competition to better represent the flow of money in your target markets will kill your competition if you attempt it, then explain why soccer makes more money and is more popular then it ever has been in this country since they rationalised and launched the A-league in 05, once you've done that explain why pretty much every popular sports competition from the NFL to the NRL it's self hasn't killed themselves through their own rationalisation attempts over the years.

Gladly, soccer came from a very low base from years of parochial ethnic soccer clubs into something that was mainstream and well supported by the modern media. Complete change of direction. They did not have a well established and supported competition with heavy emotional investment that had been around for 90 years. As you could see by the reaction from the general public to super league and the formation of the A league. NFL is popular in every US city so all would love a team and support it in huge numbers and revenue. Having said that I am not against expanding rugby league I just think we should also protect and grow Sydney because this is where the real revenue is for our game, we should not damage it further as other codes would love to have it as seen by AFL's growth in the last 20 years.

Explain why tapping into untapped resources and adding more value to your broadcasting rights, streaming rights, advertising value, sponsorship value, etc, etc, will lead to the game imploding in on it's self.

To borrow your words..."Do you even sit down and think about it for a few miniatures before you say it!?"

I have no issue with the above, Perth will have a team in the coming years. Thus growing the revenue as we have another game and time slot to sell.


Also no causation has ever been proven to exist between the growth of RU and AFL in this country, and particularly in NS, and the death of the Bears or any other team for that matter.
Saying that killing the Bears led to the growth of RU and AFL may sound good, but to even suggest it you must ignore dozens of other factors going on at the same time, and to suggest that any rationalisation attempt would end in the same results as what happened in NS not only ignores that other rationalisation attempts have been successful (including in our own competition), it also assumes that all rationalisation attempts must be carried out in the exact same way, with the same flaws as the way that the Bears being killed happenec, and that is simply untrue.

Again to borrow your words...."Christ, do any of you people do any research before you say things like this!?"

I was using the Bears as just an example.

I think you will find the SL war gave the AFL the impetus it needed. Fremantle admited to comp, Port Adelaide, Lockett to Sydney Swans. Lockett admitted in a radio interview recently the SL war was the thing that helped the swans the most to gain appeal. We look back at Super league and see an Adelaide team but today they would be up against two AFL clubs that average 46,000 and 38,000 in a tiny market. I'm for a small number of games each season there, even a test. Storm playing one or two games in Tassie. Perth must have a team

The death of clubs turned the casual fan off our game, something we still struggle to win back.

Also in the current climate with better governance, drive for club memberships, Tv revenue, salary cap strickly followed allowing a more even compeition, private ownership etc why could clubs not stand alone today. Take the turnaround in South Sydney as an example.

I'd like to see the game eventually grow to 20-22 teams with conferences.
 
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Stallion

First Grade
Messages
7,467
Let me clarify, I used North Sydney Bears as an example of what losing them has done to the game in the area they use to represent not the whole of Sydney.
I was referring to the Bears pre super league before the game went on the nose and lost supporters, sponsors and basically it's goodwill (feel good factor) which it had built up from the 80's to the mid 90's.
Super League started raiding players from clubs on April 1st, 1995, until then league had been on a steady climb upward with 1994 being a high point.

So looking at the Bears crowds they averaged 15,116 in 1994 and 15,297 in 1991. I wonder what these supporters are doing now?

As for the Sydney Swans:

1990 - 9274

1991 - 11,139

1992 - 9962

1993 - 9422

1994 - 9814

1995 - 15,976 (Tony Lockett's first season. The AFL insisted lockett move to Sydney not another Melbourne club as he intended to do. The AFL could see what was happening in league)

1996 - 24,573

1997 - 35,818

1998 - 31,548

1999 - 30,539

North Sydney only carries 8 junior clubs. Junior league is very weak here which it wasn't when the Bears supported the local junior comp and many locals made first grade. The Bears won the reserve grade premiership 4 times in 5 years between 1989 and 1993.

We don't need Adelaide let them have a team in the lower league as PNG do in Qld.

Merging does nothing for the game, just takes two big clubs and kills half of each.

In 1994

Balmain and Wests averaged 14,644

St.George/Illawarra 24,136

in 2017

Tigers averaged 13,551

Dragons 13,334

So with the Bears in 1994 these 5 clubs combined had 53,896 compared to today 26,885 a loss of 27,009 fans no longer going to football. Great move.

I'm not against expansion but it needs to be down whilst protecting and nurturing the golden goose which is Sydney.

Great work. And figures are compelling! Surely the 'destructionists ' must take note?
 

The Great Dane

First Grade
Messages
7,762
I'll ask you the same thing.....well do you?

Gladly, soccer came from a very low base from years of parochial ethnic soccer clubs into something that was mainstream and well supported by the modern media. Complete change of direction. They did not have a well established and supported competition with heavy emotional investment that had been around for 90 years. As you could see by the reaction from the general public to super league and the formation of the A league.

Firstly that doesn't answer my question at all.

Secondly, yes they did have relatively well established and well supported clubs most of which were going on 50 years old when the NSL wrapped up, some of their clubs were over 100-120 years old when the NSL was scrapped, many of their clubs (particularly the successful ones) still have relatively large fan bases to this day even though their clubs haven't played in the top tier for over a decade now (South Melbourne and Woolongong are good examples of this), and most of whom have seen little to no TV time in that since then either.

Sure the NSL (and soccer in general for that matter) was never as well supported as the NRL has been, but to suggest that they didn't have well supported clubs with fans that held massive emotional attachment to their clubs is ridiculous to say the least, hell it could be argued that your average NSL fan is more passionate and emotionally attached to their clubs then your average RL fan considering that many of them are still following their clubs to this day and according to you if any club is dropped from the NRL it'll cause a mass exodus of that clubs fans to the AFL.

NFL is popular in every US city so all would love a team and support it in huge numbers and revenue.

HA, tell that to the Los Angeles Chargers (seriously look up their current situation) or the dozens of other clubs that have been forced to relocate at one time or another to keep up with the growth of the competition.

And again this doesn't explain why the NFL hasn't crumbled into nothing through loss of fans and erosion of their base after all their relocations and chopping and changing.

Having said that I am not against expanding rugby league I just think we should also protect and grow Sydney because this is where the real revenue is for our game, we should not damage it further as other codes would love to have it as seen by AFL's growth in the last 20 years.

BS, the Brisbane Broncos and the Melbourne Storm individually add roughly the same value to the TV rights deal that all 9 of the Sydney clubs do together, they almost certainly add more to the value of the NRLs' and the clubs sponsorship space then all the Sydney teams put together, and the lost of either one of them would have more of an impact on the competitions bottom line then the lost of 4-5 Sydney clubs would (especially in the long run).

And exactly what's been seen by the AFLs' growth in the last 20 years?

That they're a better run organisation that better understands the value of government lobbying and investing in the grassroots then the NRL?
That they have better used their resources to spread their competition then the NRL has?
That they have much less in fighting (though it still occurs) and are better at organising then the NRL?
That they haven't effectively been controlled by two media companies for the last 20 years?

The AFLs' growth has had little to do with the NRL in the grand scheme of things, and has had a lot to do with them simply being more willing to jump at opportunities then the NRL and better run then the NRL.

To borrow your words..."Do you even sit down and think about it for a few miniatures before you say it!?"

I have no issue with the above, Perth will have a team in the coming years. Thus growing the revenue as we have another game and time slot to sell.

Again to borrow your words...."Christ, do any of you people do any research before you say things like this!?"

I was using the Bears as just an example.

I think you will find the SL war gave the AFL the impetus it needed. Fremantle admited to comp, Port Adelaide, Lockett to Sydney Swans. Lockett admitted in a radio interview recently the SL war was the thing that helped the swans the most to gain appeal. We look back at Super league and see an Adelaide team but today they would be up against two AFL clubs that average 46,000 and 38,000 in a tiny market. I'm for a small number of games each season there, even a test. Storm playing one or two games in Tassie. Perth must have a team

Firstly who cares what some old AFL player says, that's like saying that something is right because Wally Lewis or Andrew Johns said it, if anything if Lewis or Johns say something it it's almost certainly untrue.

Secondly the AFL was planing their late 90s expansions long before SL was even a twinkly in John Ribot eye, in fact the AFL was actually planning their second clubs in Adelaide and Perth right from the beginning when they admitted the Eagles and the Crows, but they wanted to give the WCE and the Crows roughly a decade to establish themselves before admitting the second clubs.

Thirdly you still haven't proven that the SL war or the peace deal caused the growth of the AFL over the last 20 years, you've got correlation, but not causation and it's causation that matters.
Frankly I think that the Super league war and rationalisation did help the AFL grow to a degree, I also think that the merger of Fitzroy and the Brisbane Bears probably helped the NRL grow in Melbourne, however the help that those events gave to the AFL and NRL respectively was insignificant at best especially when compared with other factors going on at the time.

The death of clubs turned the casual fan off our game, something we still struggle to win back.

Evidence?

If you'd have said that SL turned casual fans off I'd have agreed with you, though we're well past that being a problem anymore.
The real reasons that we can't draw as many casuals as we used to is because the NRL and the clubs have consistently shown that they are incapable of marketing themselves at all (let alone effectively) and we've failed to adapt to compete with new and often cheaper forms of entertainment.

Also in the current climate with better governance, drive for club memberships, Tv revenue, salary cap strickly followed allowing a more even compeition, private ownership etc why could clubs not stand alone today. Take the turnaround in South Sydney as an example.

Don't get what this's got to do with anything.

I'd like to see the game eventually grow to 20-22 teams with conferences.

That's fine but which potential bids that are potentially more valuable then your average smaller Sydney club are going to miss out so that Sydney can have 9 clubs that they can't support?
 

Stallion

First Grade
Messages
7,467
Firstly that doesn't answer my question at all.

Secondly, yes they did have relatively well established and well supported clubs most of which were going on 50 years old when the NSL wrapped up, some of their clubs were over 100-120 years old when the NSL was scrapped, many of their clubs (particularly the successful ones) still have relatively large fan bases to this day even though their clubs haven't played in the top tier for over a decade now (South Melbourne and Woolongong are good examples of this), and most of whom have seen little to no TV time in that since then either.

Sure the NSL (and soccer in general for that matter) was never as well supported as the NRL has been, but to suggest that they didn't have well supported clubs with fans that held massive emotional attachment to their clubs is ridiculous to say the least, hell it could be argued that your average NSL fan is more passionate and emotionally attached to their clubs then your average RL fan considering that many of them are still following their clubs to this day and according to you if any club is dropped from the NRL it'll cause a mass exodus of that clubs fans to the AFL.



HA, tell that to the Los Angeles Chargers (seriously look up their current situation) or the dozens of other clubs that have been forced to relocate at one time or another to keep up with the growth of the competition.

And again this doesn't explain why the NFL hasn't crumbled into nothing through loss of fans and erosion of their base after all their relocations and chopping and changing.



BS, the Brisbane Broncos and the Melbourne Storm individually add roughly the same value to the TV rights deal that all 9 of the Sydney clubs do together, they almost certainly add more to the value of the NRLs' and the clubs sponsorship space then all the Sydney teams put together, and the lost of either one of them would have more of an impact on the competitions bottom line then the lost of 4-5 Sydney clubs would (especially in the long run).

And exactly what's been seen by the AFLs' growth in the last 20 years?

That they're a better run organisation that better understands the value of government lobbying and investing in the grassroots then the NRL?
That they have better used their resources to spread their competition then the NRL has?
That they have much less in fighting (though it still occurs) and are better at organising then the NRL?
That they haven't effectively been controlled by two media companies for the last 20 years?

The AFLs' growth has had little to do with the NRL in the grand scheme of things, and has had a lot to do with them simply being more willing to jump at opportunities then the NRL and better run then the NRL.



Firstly who cares what some old AFL player says, that's like saying that something is right because Wally Lewis or Andrew Johns said it, if anything if Lewis or Johns say something it it's almost certainly untrue.

Secondly the AFL was planing their late 90s expansions long before SL was even a twinkly in John Ribot eye, in fact the AFL was actually planning their second clubs in Adelaide and Perth right from the beginning when they admitted the Eagles and the Crows, but they wanted to give the WCE and the Crows roughly a decade to establish themselves before admitting the second clubs.

Thirdly you still haven't proven that the SL war or the peace deal caused the growth of the AFL over the last 20 years, you've got correlation, but not causation and it's causation that matters.
Frankly I think that the Super league war and rationalisation did help the AFL grow to a degree, I also think that the merger of Fitzroy and the Brisbane Bears probably helped the NRL grow in Melbourne, however the help that those events gave to the AFL and NRL respectively was insignificant at best especially when compared with other factors going on at the time.



Evidence?

If you'd have said that SL turned casual fans off I'd have agreed with you, though we're well past that being a problem anymore.
The real reasons that we can't draw as many casuals as we used to is because the NRL and the clubs have consistently shown that they are incapable of marketing themselves at all (let alone effectively) and we've failed to adapt to compete with new and often cheaper forms of entertainment.



Don't get what this's got to do with anything.



That's fine but which potential bids that are potentially more valuable then your average smaller Sydney club are going to miss out so that Sydney can have 9 clubs that they can't support?

Unfortunately you continue to miss/ignore the point. These 'smaller'clubs based in Sydney have massive support outside of Sydney. Their longevity is an ssset in the market place. Keeping such assets within the NRL is a prudent business tactic. Ridding such assets is ludicrous. However their is plenty to be gained with adding more clubs outside of Sydney. This is the wise way to go and grow the game. Imploding the game's longstanding and universally relevant, identifiable and well supported (Australia wide) clubs in Sydney makes no sense.
On another point the AFL did research in NSW and Qld and identified a weak target due to poor administrators within rugby league. From then they pounced and ofcourse part of the weak RL administration was evidenced by the game being torn apart by superleague.
 
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Perth Red

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Let me clarify, I used North Sydney Bears as an example of what losing them has done to the game in the area they use to represent not the whole of Sydney.
I was referring to the Bears pre super league before the game went on the nose and lost supporters, sponsors and basically it's goodwill (feel good factor) which it had built up from the 80's to the mid 90's.
Super League started raiding players from clubs on April 1st, 1995, until then league had been on a steady climb upward with 1994 being a high point.

So looking at the Bears crowds they averaged 15,116 in 1994 and 15,297 in 1991. I wonder what these supporters are doing now?

As for the Sydney Swans:

1990 - 9274

1991 - 11,139

1992 - 9962

1993 - 9422

1994 - 9814

1995 - 15,976 (Tony Lockett's first season. The AFL insisted lockett move to Sydney not another Melbourne club as he intended to do. The AFL could see what was happening in league)

1996 - 24,573

1997 - 35,818

1998 - 31,548

1999 - 30,539

North Sydney only carries 8 junior clubs. Junior league is very weak here which it wasn't when the Bears supported the local junior comp and many locals made first grade. The Bears won the reserve grade premiership 4 times in 5 years between 1989 and 1993.

We don't need Adelaide let them have a team in the lower league as PNG do in Qld.

Merging does nothing for the game, just takes two big clubs and kills half of each.

In 1994

Balmain and Wests averaged 14,644
(Balmain finished last and Wests only a couple of places higher)

St.George/Illawarra 24,136

in 2017

Tigers averaged 13,551

Dragons 13,334

So with the Bears in 1994 these 5 clubs combined had 53,896 compared to today 26,885 a loss of 27,009 fans no longer going to football. Great move.

I'm not against expansion but it needs to be done whilst protecting and nurturing the golden goose which is Sydney.

Your being very selective in picking your years to base crowd comparisons on! Also have other Sydney clubs picked up some of the disenfranchised fans from bears and others? Most Sydney clubs crowd avg are higher than that period, maybe fans migrated to other clubs? Tv audiences are higher in Sydney as well compared to 1998 so it would seem fans didnt desert the game all together despite he mergers and cull?

In comparing two clubs crowds you also have to factor in that to reach those crowds you have double the running costs. Arguably one club with 15k fans is going to be more sustainable than two clubs with 10k fans each. Not to mention less competition for corporate sponsorship meaning more revenue coming into the one club.

Again I'm not saying Jnr league hasn't changed in NS but to suggest afl and union moved in and took over is nonsense, ns bears and their millions of Dollars from leagues club still fund jnr and elite pathways in NS. Neither afl with its one amateur club in the region or union has become stronger in that region beyond the growth those codes, especially afl, have seen Sydney wide. And the afl achieved this not by putting an afl team in every suburb but by having two teams covering big areas and spending mucho money on grassroots and schools.
 
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