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Autumn 2018

to_ddeath

to_ddeath

Coach
Messages
11,757
lockyno1 said:
It wasn’t the worst inn that race. I know it hadn’t won for ages but it was the class horse.

No didn’t bet on that race- only had 1 bet and that was at Caulfield.
Click to expand...

Class horse? On what planet?
The 3 behind it all had far superior form heading into it.
Only the bad barrier prevented the runner up from winning again.
 
lockyno1

lockyno1

Post Whore
Messages
52,650
to_ddeath said:
Class horse? On what planet?
The 3 behind it all had far superior form heading into it.
Only the bad barrier prevented the runner up from winning again.
Click to expand...

It’s no mug, it’s won better races than this before. Barrier probably beat the runner up and was a good reason why I stayed out of the race. Was a race where I wasn’t shocked to see a roughie win. All the favourites drew terrible gates. At that track more than others gates play a huge role.
 
F

Foz

Bench
Messages
4,121
lockyno1 said:
It’s no mug, it’s won better races than this before. Barrier probably beat the runner up and was a good reason why I stayed out of the race. Was a race where I wasn’t shocked to see a roughie win. All the favourites drew terrible gates. At that track more than others gates play a huge role.
Click to expand...
When I did the form on that race I noticed Liapari raced against Dreamforce over 1400m a couple of years ago when Liapari first came over from NZ.There was 1.5kg difference and Liapari flashed home and just missed beating Dreamforce that day.
Ok I know it’s 2 years on but I think the difference last Saturday was 3 kg or 3.5kg(can’t remember exactly) but it was the same distance.
Liapari hadn’t won 2nd up but I think it was placed 3 out of 4 runs.
Don’t shoot me if that infos wrong but was what I was working on.
It had won 1200-1600m so despite it running in some of those 1900-2000m races 1400 m was probably its best distance.
Why do I mention this?
I was going to back Liapari and was waiting for the best price.I thought it was going to be about 20/1.Dreamforce I assume was going to be one of the favourites so thought it was worth throwing a few dollars on.
Hadn’t put my bet on and got a call from my son who was left at work without a lift home.
I thought bugger it got in the car and went to pick him up.
Listened to the race in the car and we know the result.
Didn’t get any better when it paid $41 or whatever.
 
to_ddeath

to_ddeath

Coach
Messages
11,757
Foz said:
When I did the form on that race I noticed Liapari raced against Dreamforce over 1400m a couple of years ago when Liapari first came over from NZ.There was 1.5kg difference and Liapari flashed home and just missed beating Dreamforce that day.
Ok I know it’s 2 years on but I think the difference last Saturday was 3 kg or 3.5kg(can’t remember exactly) but it was the same distance.
Liapari hadn’t won 2nd up but I think it was placed 3 out of 4 runs.
Don’t shoot me if that infos wrong but was what I was working on.
It had won 1200-1600m so despite it running in some of those 1900-2000m races 1400 m was probably its best distance.
Why do I mention this?
I was going to back Liapari and was waiting for the best price.I thought it was going to be about 20/1.Dreamforce I assume was going to be one of the favourites so thought it was worth throwing a few dollars on.
Hadn’t put my bet on and got a call from my son who was left at work without a lift home.
I thought bugger it got in the car and went to pick him up.
Listened to the race in the car and we know the result.
Didn’t get any better when it paid $41 or whatever.
Click to expand...

There is some logic to that analysis...often middle distance horses with staying form can lift over 1300-1400 as a lot of genuine sprinters can't get the trip strongly unless all the breaks go their way.
 
F

Foz

Bench
Messages
4,121
to_ddeath said:
There is some logic to that analysis...often middle distance horses with staying form can lift over 1300-1400 as a lot of genuine sprinters can't get the trip strongly unless all the breaks go their way.
Click to expand...
In my head I was wondering if the second up form was correct as Liapari had 30 something starts but only 3 or 4 second up runs.I thought that’s pretty rare if correct but it must be an iron horse.
Now I wasn’t sure if it was second up over 1400m or second up lifetime starts.

That’s when the phone rang and i basically walked out the door not placing the bet.I still haven’t bothered looking into it.Too late now.
 
hineyrulz

hineyrulz

Post Whore
Messages
148,901
Foz said:
When I did the form on that race I noticed Liapari raced against Dreamforce over 1400m a couple of years ago when Liapari first came over from NZ.There was 1.5kg difference and Liapari flashed home and just missed beating Dreamforce that day.
Ok I know it’s 2 years on but I think the difference last Saturday was 3 kg or 3.5kg(can’t remember exactly) but it was the same distance.
Liapari hadn’t won 2nd up but I think it was placed 3 out of 4 runs.
Don’t shoot me if that infos wrong but was what I was working on.
It had won 1200-1600m so despite it running in some of those 1900-2000m races 1400 m was probably its best distance.
Why do I mention this?
I was going to back Liapari and was waiting for the best price.I thought it was going to be about 20/1.Dreamforce I assume was going to be one of the favourites so thought it was worth throwing a few dollars on.
Hadn’t put my bet on and got a call from my son who was left at work without a lift home.
I thought bugger it got in the car and went to pick him up.
Listened to the race in the car and we know the result.
Didn’t get any better when it paid $41 or whatever.
Click to expand...
The joys of punting.
 
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