Assuming Brisbane are safe despite their current poor form as they only need 2 more wins and have Roosters twice, Dragons and Eels. So there are 2 places left. The sides contesting those places are us, the Titans, Tigers and Warriors. Titans and us have 2 points advantage and for and against advantage over the Tigers (not so much the Warriors)as well. All of these teams play each of the other three, so these games are like a round robin for the top 8.
I'm also writing off the Dragons, who have an appalling for and against and need to win 5 from 6, and have the Bulldogs, Broncos and Sharks next up. They are in poor form as well.
The Tigers have to win 2 more than us due to their for and against.Apart from the other 3 in the running (only Titans at home) they've got the Raiders (home) and Cowboys in Townsville. It's a big ask. They really have to win 5 of 6 with their for and against.
Warriors are home to us and the Tigers, and have the Titans away. Apart from that they've got the Cows in Townsville (ouch) and Rabbitohs and Eels at home. This isn't a bad draw. They need to win 4 of them and try not to get touched up too badly in Towsville. This weekend's game is utterly critical.
The Titans are also home to us and the Warriors, and away to the Tigers. They've also got the yucky Townsville trip, and the Sharks at home as well. To balance this, they have the Knights in Newcastle. They need 3 wins and to keep it tight in their games against the top 4 sides.
We're at home only to the Tiges of the big 3, we've also got the Roosters and Manly at home, and the Knights in Newcastle. It's easily the best draw of the 4 sides, but not as good as the Broncos. We have only ourselves to blame if we cannot win 3 of these, seeing we've got the bottom 2, who have won just 3 of 34 (not counting when they played each other) to play. We are the only one of the Big 4 that don't have to play the Cowboys in Townsville.
I think we may finish 7th and have to travel to Brisbane again for Week 1. The Broncos have never beaten us in a final. Won't those Broncos fans be packing death if that happens!