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Our run to the finals

OldPanther

Coach
Messages
13,404
Broncos - away

Manly - away

Raiders - home

Titans - away

Knights - home

Warriors- away

Storm - away

I don't see any reason we don't win all but 1 maybe 2 with our players returning for a total of 34 - 36 points.
 
Messages
21,867
Broncos - away

Manly - away

Raiders - home

Titans - away

Knights - home

Warriors- away

Storm - away

I don't see any reason we don't win all but 1 maybe 2 with our players returning for a total of 34 - 36 points.

Broncos are flying under the radar, huge test this week.

I could see 2-3 losses at worst, 1 loss at best.
 
Messages
2,494
Broncos is 50/50. We've been dudded at Suncorp in recent years. Brisbane's pack is very strong so just need to get on top there and we should win.

Manly at Brookie is still a tough one if they regain form, given they should beat the Storm tonight without Slater, Munster, Addo-Carr, Chambers etc. Hopefully the need to get revenge after they beat us earlier this year means we won't be complacent because they still have a strong side.

Raiders really depends. If they are still in the race for the finals it will be tough but we are a much smarter footy side. Should win.

Titans we should definitely beat too now that their momentum is gone. They have a solid pack but are pretty poor in defence.

Should definitely beat Knights at home.

50/50 against Warriors away from home. They'll be keen to get revenge for our win last week but I still think Maloney and Cleary can get us the win here.

Still think we have what it takes to beat Melbourne this year. They have uncharacteristically made lots of errors and we have Kikau, Blake etc. to challenge them and Maloney and Cleary in the halves. My major concern is that Melbourne use the game as a way of showing they are true premiership contenders and play one of their best games of the year (winning 26-6 or something), crushing our confidence. Very important we keep this close. If we win it will go a long way to give us confidence for the run in the finals.

So, with all that in mind, we should definitely win at least 3, possibly 4. I would be really happy with 5 but even more pleased if we manage 6.
 

tripster

Juniors
Messages
1,957
I read somewhere that 28 pts should get you into the finals this year.
The gap between 8th and 9th place is currently 6 pts.
Short of a team chocking, the top 8 should stay as it is.
We need 2 wins to make the finals.
We need 5 wins to make top 4.

I think this year we will need 17 wins to make the top 4. 16 wins is very unlikely to be enough. It is a funny top 8 this year because of the gap between the top 8 and bottom 8 teams.

Rabbitohs are already on 13 wins. Dragons and Storm on 12. All three have superior F/A. If Roosters win tomorrow they also got to 12 wins with superior F/A.

Very hard to see us winning 6 from 7, so unfortunately I think our top 4 chances are slim. The Manly game was a critical one and has in all likelihood cost us a top 4 spot.

In all likelihood we finish 5 or 6th, even with good performances for the rest of the season.
 

OldPanther

Coach
Messages
13,404
I think this year we will need 17 wins to make the top 4. 16 wins is very unlikely to be enough. It is a funny top 8 this year because of the gap between the top 8 and bottom 8 teams.

Rabbitohs are already on 13 wins. Dragons and Storm on 12. All three have superior F/A. If Roosters win tomorrow they also got to 12 wins with superior F/A.

Very hard to see us winning 6 from 7, so unfortunately I think our top 4 chances are slim. The Manly game was a critical one and has in all likelihood cost us a top 4 spot.

In all likelihood we finish 5 or 6th, even with good performances for the rest of the season.

Oh that sucks.
 
Messages
2,494
This is how I think the season will finish:

1) Melbourne Storm

Predicted Points: 40
Matches Remaining: Warriors (W), Raiders (W), Rabbitohs (W), Sharks (W), Eels (W), Titans (W), Panthers (W)

2) St George Illawarra Dragons
Predicted Points: 40
Matches Remaining: Wests Tigers (W), Cowboys (W), Roosters (L), Warriors (W), Eels (W), Wests Tigers (W), Bulldogs (W), Knights (W)

3) South Sydney Rabbitohs

Predicted Points: 38
Matches Remaining: Wests Tigers (L), Eels (W), Storm (L), Roosters (W), Broncos (W), Raiders (W), Wests Tigers (W)

4) Sydney Roosters
Predicted Points: 36
Matches Remaining: Titans (W by 10), Sea Eagles (W by 8), Dragons (W by 2), Cowboys (W by 12), Rabbitohs (L by 6), Raiders (W by 8), Broncos (W by 4), Eels (W by 24)
F/A: +157

5) Penrith Panthers
Predicted Points: 36
Matches Remaining: Broncos (W by 8), Sea Eagles (W by 10), Raiders (W by 14), Titans (W by 16), Knights (W by 20), Warriors (W by 4), Storm (L by 14)
F/A: +154

6) Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
Predicted Points: 34
Matches Remaining: Raiders (W), Broncos (L), Sea Eagles (W), Storm (L), Cowboys (W), Knights (W), Bulldogs (W)

7) Brisbane Broncos
Predicted Points: 30
Matches Remaining: Warriors (W by 16), Panthers (L by 8), Sharks (W by 4), Bulldogs (W by 12), Cowboys (L by 2), Rabbitohs (L by 14), Roosters (L by 4), Sea Eagles (W by 7)
F/A: +5

8) New Zealand Warriors
Predicted Points: 30
Matches Remaining: Broncos (L by 16), Storm (L by 18), Titans (W by 20), Dragons (L by 16), Knights (W by 12), Bulldogs (W by 10), Panthers (L by 4), Raiders (W by 8)
F/A: -14

Finals:

Week 1:
Storm
v Roosters
Dragons v Rabbitohs
Panthers
v Warriors
Sharks v Broncos

Week 2:
Roosters
v Panthers
Dragons v Sharks

Week 3:
Rabbitohs
v Roosters
Storm v Sharks

GF:
Rabbitohs
v Storm

So, for mine, it looks like we could play Roosters regardless in Week 2 of the finals, unless we beat the Storm in Week 1 if we make the four.
 
Messages
17,744
This is how I think the season will finish:

1) Melbourne Storm

Predicted Points: 40
Matches Remaining: Warriors (W), Raiders (W), Rabbitohs (W), Sharks (W), Eels (W), Titans (W), Panthers (W)

2) St George Illawarra Dragons
Predicted Points: 40
Matches Remaining: Wests Tigers (W), Cowboys (W), Roosters (L), Warriors (W), Eels (W), Wests Tigers (W), Bulldogs (W), Knights (W)

3) South Sydney Rabbitohs

Predicted Points: 38
Matches Remaining: Wests Tigers (L), Eels (W), Storm (L), Roosters (W), Broncos (W), Raiders (W), Wests Tigers (W)

4) Sydney Roosters
Predicted Points: 36
Matches Remaining: Titans (W by 10), Sea Eagles (W by 8), Dragons (W by 2), Cowboys (W by 12), Rabbitohs (L by 6), Raiders (W by 8), Broncos (W by 4), Eels (W by 24)
F/A: +157

5) Penrith Panthers
Predicted Points: 36
Matches Remaining: Broncos (W by 8), Sea Eagles (W by 10), Raiders (W by 14), Titans (W by 16), Knights (W by 20), Warriors (W by 4), Storm (L by 14)
F/A: +154

6) Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
Predicted Points: 34
Matches Remaining: Raiders (W), Broncos (L), Sea Eagles (W), Storm (L), Cowboys (W), Knights (W), Bulldogs (W)

7) Brisbane Broncos
Predicted Points: 30
Matches Remaining: Warriors (W by 16), Panthers (L by 8), Sharks (W by 4), Bulldogs (W by 12), Cowboys (L by 2), Rabbitohs (L by 14), Roosters (L by 4), Sea Eagles (W by 7)
F/A: +5

8) New Zealand Warriors
Predicted Points: 30
Matches Remaining: Broncos (L by 16), Storm (L by 18), Titans (W by 20), Dragons (L by 16), Knights (W by 12), Bulldogs (W by 10), Panthers (L by 4), Raiders (W by 8)
F/A: -14

Finals:

Week 1:
Storm
v Roosters
Dragons v Rabbitohs
Panthers
v Warriors
Sharks v Broncos

Week 2:
Roosters
v Panthers
Dragons v Sharks

Week 3:
Rabbitohs
v Roosters
Storm v Sharks

GF:
Rabbitohs
v Storm

So, for mine, it looks like we could play Roosters regardless in Week 2 of the finals, unless we beat the Storm in Week 1 if we make the four.
Too early for me to start playing this game in my head haha
 

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