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2010 Crowd Watch

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Springs

First Grade
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5,682
I don't think we should read too much into crowd figures just yet. A lot of it depends on the draw, scheduling and form. It was highlighted that Bulldogs-Souths drew 34,000 one year then only 21,000 the next. This is the same with Eels-Tigers this year that everyone was so disappointed about. Round 4 last year saw Broncos and Dragons play in front of 42,000 at Suncorp. This is because both teams were in form, Broncos were undefeated, and Bennett returning. This year however Broncos will likely be out of the top 8 while Dragons will be hot favourites.
2008 saw the opening of Skilled Park, of course everyone wanted to go no matter what the ticket prices and the Titans average was over 20,000. The year before was the Titans first year and the crowd average was boosted by a few 40,000+ games at Suncorp. This year their crowds are lower (although they have only played Warriors and Raiders, both at silly times). Hopefully this year we will see something similar with the opening of AAMI Park.
Also this year we have seen terrible scheduling and weather. A ton of 8.35 Friday kickoffs (there were none last year), 1pm games in searing heat, a cyclone in North Queensland and 35 degrees+ temperatures in Sydney. Also the NRL seemed to want all the blockbusters to happen in the first few weeks, leaving smaller teams like Sharks and Panthers with low drawing games against unpopular out of town teams. The 11,000 crowds were better than were expected against Raiders or Storm last year.

Last year we were lucky at drawing some big crowds when teams in form met each other at the back end of last season. Tigers-Eels especially, if these two teams had continued their poor form probably would have seen a crowd of about 15,000. However they were the two form sides of the comp and there was a record crowd.
Now who is to say that when the Rabbitohs and Tigers meet at ANZ in Round 22 they won't be 1 and 2 and attract 40,000+?

The crowds will come, just be patient.
 

SpaceMonkey

Immortal
Messages
37,541
Round 4 predictions

Sun 2:00: NZW v Manly @ Mt Smart 13,000

They won their last home game and followed it up with a record win at Suncorp, but you think the Warriors crowd will drop by 2.5K?! Auckland loves a bandwagon, I reckon 17K easily if the weather is okay (and considering the weather in the north of NZ has been fine and dry for months now I'd probably bet on that).
 

Chook Norris

First Grade
Messages
8,317
Round 4 predictions
Fri 2:10: Storm v Dragons @ Etihad 24,000
Fri 8:35: Roosters v Broncos @ SFS 17,250
Sat 5:30: Sharks v Eels @ Toyota 10,500
Sat 7:30: Cowboys v Titans @ DFS 18,000
Sun 2:00: NZW v Manly @ Mt Smart 15,000
Sun 3:00: Canb v W Tigers @ Canb 12,000
Mon 4:00: Newc v Penrith @ EAS 14,000
Mon 7:00: Souths v C'bury @ ANZ 25,000
 

The Tank

Bench
Messages
4,562
Round 4 predictions
Fri 2:10: Storm v Dragons @ Etihad 17,000
Fri 8:35: Roosters v Broncos @ SFS 10,000
Sat 5:30: Sharks v Eels @ Toyota 8,000
Sat 7:30: Cowboys v Titans @ DFS 13,000
Sun 2:00: NZW v Manly @ Mt Smart 17,000
Sun 3:00: Canb v W Tigers @ Canb 11,000
Mon 4:00: Newc v Penrith @ EAS 12,000
Mon 7:00: Souths v C'bury @ ANZ 19,000
 

flamin

Juniors
Messages
2,046
2010 Crowd Totals as of Round 3

Round 1

18,293 PAR v STG @ PAR
48,516 BRI v NQ @ SUN
11,133 PEN v CAN @ CUA
18,110 BUL v NEW @ ANZ
11,820 CRO v MEL @ TOY
23,149 SOU v SYD @ ANZ
16,112 GCT v NZW @ SKI
18,421 WES v MAN @ SFS


Total: 165,554
Avg: 20,694

2009 - Total 168,483 Avg 21,060
2008 - Total 183,627 Avg 22,953
2007 - Total 185,051 Avg 23,131
2006 - Total 161,713 Avg 23,101 (7 matches)
2005 - Total 159,614 Avg 22,802 (7 matches)

Round 2

10,943 SOU v GCT @ ANZ
16,177 STG v BUL @ WIN
16,242 NEW v MEL @ EAS
13,335 NQ v PEN @ DFS
15,314 NZW v CRO @ MSS
15,602 PAR v MAN @ PAR
19,021 GCT v NZW @ SKI
14,200 CAN v BRI @ SFS


Total: 120,834
Avg: 15,104


2009 - Total 148,127 Avg 18,516
2008 - Total 123,332 Avg 15,417
2007 - Total 124,964 Avg 15,621
2006 - Total 121,369 Avg 17,338 (7 matches)
2005 - Total 110,428 Avg 15,775 (7 matches)


Round 3

21,318 WES v PAR @ SFS
13,267 STG v NQ @ WIN
11,521 GCT v CAN @ SP
11,024 PEN v MEL @ CUA
12,138 MAN v NEW @ BLU
32,338 BRI v NZW @ SCS
19,738 BUL v SYD @ ANZ
10,741 CRO v SOU @ TOY


Total: 132,085
Avg: 16,510

2009 - Total 135,364 Avg 16,921
2008 - Total 153,486 Avg 19,186
2007 - Total 123,456 Avg 15,428
2006 - Total 126,039 Avg 18,005 (7 matches)
2005 - Total 116,244 Avg 16,606 (7 matches)


AGGREGATE as of ROUND 3: 418,473
AVG:17,436


2009
Aggregate after 3 rounds: 451,974
Avg: 18,832


2008
Aggregate after 3 rounds: 460,445
Avg: 19,185


2007
Aggregate after 3 rounds: 433,441
Avg: 18,060


2006
Aggregate after 3 rounds: 408,823
Avg: 19,468


2005
Aggregate after 3 rounds: 386,286
Avg: 18,395
 

flamin

Juniors
Messages
2,046
Feel free to correct me on those numbers. And thanks to those who've compiled previous years.

So atm we haven't had any big crowds outside of Brisbane so that's hurting our average.

But I don't know how much we can read into these figures at this stage. Comfortingly, 2005 and 2009 were also not spectacular after round 3, but they were our highest and 2nd highest crowds respectively. The key is going through the origin period without losing the crowds - something which will hopefully be helped with the membership drive.
 

Timmah

LeagueUnlimited News Editor
Staff member
Messages
100,874
I actually compiled the same stats about 15 posts back without the previous year comparisons.
 

flamin

Juniors
Messages
2,046
Ah sorry. I was thinking someone should put them all up last night but never actually checked if someone had today.
 

CC_Roosters

First Grade
Messages
5,221
Round 4 predictions
Fri 2:10: Storm v Dragons @ Etihad 22,000
Fri 8:35: Roosters v Broncos @ SFS 17,800
Sat 5:30: Sharks v Eels @ Toyota 12,400
Sat 7:30: Cowboys v Titans @ DFS 18,200
Sun 2:00: NZW v Manly @ Mt Smart 16,200
Sun 3:00: Canb v W Tigers @ Canb 12,100
Mon 4:00: Newc v Penrith @ EAS 16,400
Mon 7:00: Souths v C'bury @ ANZ 20,400

TOTAL= 135,500
AV= 16,938
 

Teddyboy

First Grade
Messages
6,573
Round 4 predictions
Fri 2:10: Storm v Dragons @ Etihad 75,000
Fri 8:35: Roosters v Broncos @ SFS 37,000
Sat 5:30: Sharks v Eels @ Toyota 18,000
Sat 7:30: Cowboys v Titans @ DFS 23,000
Sun 2:00: NZW v Manly @ Mt Smart 27,000
Sun 3:00: Canb v W Tigers @ Canb 27,000
Mon 4:00: Newc v Penrith @ EAS 28,000
Mon 7:00: Souths v C'bury @ ANZ 49,000
 

Goddo

Bench
Messages
4,257
I don't think they will get 75k to 55k Etihad Teddy, but I do think that game may draw a big crowd. Apparently there is a telethon being run on Good Friday in Melbourne just outside Etihad, so may get a large walk up.

Also, no competing sport on a public holiday, Storm v Dragons could go as high as 30k I think. I really hope they do.

Round 4 predictions
Fri 2:10: Storm v Dragons @ Etihad 27 000 actual: 25 480
Fri 8:35: Roosters v Broncos @ SFS 17 000 actual: 17 200
Sat 5:30: Sharks v Eels @ Toyota 11 000 actual: 13 213
Sat 7:30: Cowboys v Titans @ DFS 18 000
Sun 2:00: NZW v Manly @ Mt Smart 17 000
Sun 3:00: Canb v W Tigers @ Canb 14 000
Mon 4:00: Newc v Penrith @ EAS 15 800
Mon 7:00: Souths v C'bury @ ANZ 22 000

Average: 17 725
 
Last edited:

user_nat

Coach
Messages
12,386
Round 4 predictions
Fri 2:10: Storm v Dragons @ Etihad 75,000
Fri 8:35: Roosters v Broncos @ SFS 37,000
Sat 5:30: Sharks v Eels @ Toyota 18,000
Sat 7:30: Cowboys v Titans @ DFS 23,000
Sun 2:00: NZW v Manly @ Mt Smart 27,000
Sun 3:00: Canb v W Tigers @ Canb 27,000
Mon 4:00: Newc v Penrith @ EAS 28,000
Mon 7:00: Souths v C'bury @ ANZ 49,000

I love how some of these are above Stadium capacity.
 

Panfas

Juniors
Messages
1,178
A bit optimistic, but here goes...

Round 4 predictions
Fri 2:10: Storm v Dragons @ Etihad 30,100
Fri 8:35: Roosters v Broncos @ SFS 21,500
Sat 5:30: Sharks v Eels @ Toyota 12,500
Sat 7:30: Cowboys v Titans @ DFS 18,900
Sun 2:00: NZW v Manly @ Mt Smart 16,950
Sun 3:00: Canb v W Tigers @ Canb 13,500
Mon 4:00: Newc v Penrith @ EAS 16,700
Mon 7:00: Souths v C'bury @ ANZ 36,400

Total: 166,550
Average: 20,818
 

Jankuloski

Juniors
Messages
799
2010 Crowd Totals as of Round 3

Round 1

18,293 PAR v STG @ PAR
48,516 BRI v NQ @ SUN
11,133 PEN v CAN @ CUA
18,110 BUL v NEW @ ANZ
11,820 CRO v MEL @ TOY
23,149 SOU v SYD @ ANZ
16,112 GCT v NZW @ SKI
18,421 WES v MAN @ SFS


Total: 165,554
Avg: 20,694

2009 - Total 168,483 Avg 21,060
2008 - Total 183,627 Avg 22,953
2007 - Total 185,051 Avg 23,131
2006 - Total 161,713 Avg 23,101 (7 matches)
2005 - Total 159,614 Avg 22,802 (7 matches)

Round 2

10,943 SOU v GCT @ ANZ
16,177 STG v BUL @ WIN
16,242 NEW v MEL @ EAS
13,335 NQ v PEN @ DFS
15,314 NZW v CRO @ MSS
15,602 PAR v MAN @ PAR
19,021 GCT v NZW @ SKI
14,200 CAN v BRI @ SFS


Total: 120,834
Avg: 15,104


2009 - Total 148,127 Avg 18,516
2008 - Total 123,332 Avg 15,417
2007 - Total 124,964 Avg 15,621
2006 - Total 121,369 Avg 17,338 (7 matches)
2005 - Total 110,428 Avg 15,775 (7 matches)


Round 3

21,318 WES v PAR @ SFS
13,267 STG v NQ @ WIN
11,521 GCT v CAN @ SP
11,024 PEN v MEL @ CUA
12,138 MAN v NEW @ BLU
32,338 BRI v NZW @ SCS
19,738 BUL v SYD @ ANZ
10,741 CRO v SOU @ TOY


Total: 132,085
Avg: 16,510

2009 - Total 135,364 Avg 16,921
2008 - Total 153,486 Avg 19,186
2007 - Total 123,456 Avg 15,428
2006 - Total 126,039 Avg 18,005 (7 matches)
2005 - Total 116,244 Avg 16,606 (7 matches)


AGGREGATE as of ROUND 3: 418,473
AVG:17,436


2009
Aggregate after 3 rounds: 451,974
Avg: 18,832


2008
Aggregate after 3 rounds: 460,445
Avg: 19,185


2007
Aggregate after 3 rounds: 433,441
Avg: 18,060


2006
Aggregate after 3 rounds: 408,823
Avg: 19,468


2005
Aggregate after 3 rounds: 386,286
Avg: 18,395

Thank you for this very useful post. This topic should be about this, not predictions. Or separate the topics.
 

Panther_Daz

Moderator
Staff member
Messages
7,901
Do Dogs Members get in for free on Monday? If so, there is pretty much 20000 members combined between Souths and Dogs.
 

Frailty

First Grade
Messages
9,299
Fri 2:10: Storm v Dragons @ Etihad 25,000
Fri 8:35: Roosters v Broncos @ SFS 18,000
Sat 5:30: Sharks v Eels @ Toyota 9000
Sat 7:30: Cowboys v Titans @ DFS 19,000
Sun 2:00: NZW v Manly @ Mt Smart 17,000
Sun 3:00: Canb v W Tigers @ Canb 15,000
Mon 4:00: Newc v Penrith @ EAS 14,000
Mon 7:00: Souths v C'bury @ ANZ 30,000
 

Bodsy

Juniors
Messages
391
Round 4 predictions
Fri 2:10: Storm v Dragons @ Etihad 27,200
Fri 8:35: Roosters v Broncos @ SFS 16,300
Sat 5:30: Sharks v Eels @ Toyota 10,203
Sat 7:30: Cowboys v Titans @ DFS 16,620
Sun 2:00: NZW v Manly @ Mt Smart 18,300
Sun 3:00: Canb v W Tigers @ Canb 14,202
Mon 4:00: Newc v Penrith @ EAS 15,104
Mon 7:00: Souths v C'bury @ ANZ 337,509
 
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