NRL ladder predictor

[Panfas]

Now I know the chances of Penrith making the final are as remote as me playing in the NRL, but it is still good to dream. When I bring up the sentance 'we are a mathematical chance of making the finals' it is basically gaurenteed we will not make it, and rightly so.

However, just for fun, here is the ladder predictor I did on NRL.com. Mathematically, we are still a chance of the finals and the roosters can come last

1. Bulldogs - 38
2. South Sydney - 38
3. Melbourne - 34
4. North Qld - 32
5. Manly - 32
6. Brisbane - 30
7. Cronulla - 29
8. Penrith - 26
9. Dragons - 26
10. Warriors - 24
11. Newcastle - 24
12. Gold Coast - 24
13. Canberra - 24
14. Tigers - 24
15. Parramatta - 22
16. Roosters - 21

 

[age.s]

My incredibly biased NRL predictor had us 8th on 26, two points ahead of the Warriors, Titans and Tigers. Parra get the spoon, 6 points behind the Raiders. Managing 7 straight with the Titans and Knights going arse up is where the whole thing falls down though. We're showing signs of improvement and I don't think we'll finish up with the spoon which is all I've wanted out of 2012 for a while.

 

[Panther67]

Now I know the chances of Penrith making the final are as remote as me playing in the NRL, but it is still good to dream. When I bring up the sentance 'we are a mathematical chance of making the finals' it is basically gaurenteed we will not make it, and rightly so.

However, just for fun, here is the ladder predictor I did on NRL.com. Mathematically, we are still a chance of the finals and the roosters can come last

1. Bulldogs - 38
2. South Sydney - 38
3. Melbourne - 34
4. North Qld - 32
5. Manly - 32
6. Brisbane - 30
7. Cronulla - 29
8. Penrith - 26
9. Dragons - 26
10. Warriors - 24
11. Newcastle - 24
12. Gold Coast - 24
13. Canberra - 24
14. Tigers - 24
15. Parramatta - 22
16. Roosters - 21

I reckon if you swapped Penrith with Tigers it would be near-perfect.

 

[Panfas]

If Penrith win next week, it is entirely possible that the Broncos stay in 8th spot on 26 points with Penrith finishing on 22 points. I doubt that the Tigpies could be the Storm so they are out.

Who would have thought we would finish just 4 points out of the 8!

 

[Big Mick]

It is an incredibly close competition.

There will likely only be 4 wins between 8th & 16th.

 

[maple_69]

The gulf in quality though is massive. Nice to string a few wins together and see the young forwards go well, but we don't deserve to be anywhere near the finals.
I'd say 1-6 are fairly close, 7-12 a big step down and 13-16 fairly woeful.

 

[age.s]

The gulf in quality though is massive. Nice to string a few wins together and see the young forwards go well, but we don't deserve to be anywhere near the finals.
I'd say 1-6 are fairly close, 7-12 a big step down and 13-16 fairly woeful.

I think 7-15 are all at similar places. All have looked like top 8 material on occasion, but none are going to be seriously challenging the top 6 and all have gone through lengthy periods of being utter trash. Remember how loudly Raider's fans were calling for Furner's head earlier in the year?

 

[maple_69]

Yeah I see your point. None of those sides really deserve to be in the finals. I just had to seperate ourselves and the Roosters in particular. At no stage have those 2 teams looked like being top 8 teams. Warriors, well they have been woefully disappointing.

Either way a 6 team finals would be absolutely fine this year.

 

[Caged Panther]

If Penrith win next week, it is entirely possible that the Broncos stay in 8th spot on 26 points with Penrith finishing on 22 points. I doubt that the Tigpies could be the Storm so they are out.

Who would have thought we would finish just 4 points out of the 8!

More importantly we've recruited players that should allow us to win those two extra games next year.

 

[franklin2323]

I'd say 1-6 are fairly close, 7-12 a big step down and 13-16 fairly woeful.

Not really. We beat Manly. Led late against Cowboys, Bulldogs, beat the Sharks. Should of beat the Tigers & Canberra. Add that to the late loss against Parra. Better team selections (the current bench over Armit, Galea and co. No Burns) and who knows where we could of finished.

 

[maple_69]

Yeah we had a few promising games early on, but I think we all knew it was going nowhere by the time we'd been slapped by 30 3 or 4 times in a row.
We've competed in games here and there but I don't think I (even as a biased fan) have felt we might be getting some momentum together at any stage of the season after round 5.

I think it will be a great effort if we can get a win next week though to close the season with 5/7. At least we'll go into the off season with some progress under the belt BEFORE the reinforcements arrive.

 

[franklin2323]

It will also match last years 9 win season. Given the signings & kids coming through you would think that would set us up for next year. Robinson should stay as a bench impact player he's been great. Same with Weston