A-League bargain

[miccle]

Melbourne Victory currently at $2.10 to beat the Roar tomorrow evening.

1. Qld Roar have a horrible record at Suncorp Stadium.
2. Qld Roar have had a horror run in the past 6-or-so weeks, never finishing off teams well below their standard a la NZ.
3. Qld Roar's coach resigned after the last match and yet another loss.
4. Melbourne Victory are streets ahead of every other team at the moment.

Some people might say that this sets the scene for a big upset, and I'd agree in some cases... but the Victory are streets ahead of the competition in this instance.

Am I stupid for getting on this?

 

[Macca_]

3. Qld Roar's coach resigned after the last match and yet another loss.

There's one good reason not to bet in this game

The curse of the new coach. How many times does a team get up with a new coach in charge... Have they got one?

 

[miccle]

I think Farina has been announced today, or is set to be anyway.

I'm wary of the new coach stat, but I also think the difference in class is too high.

 

[miccle]

.. And I was right in the end

I had it in the multi I talked about in the multi thread as well as a good single bet on the $2.20 the outright victory went out to yesterday.

$130-odd in pure profits, and I'll splash out with thirty or forty of that on the horses today and enjoy myself.

 

[Macca_]

Done well.