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Eels trial.

murraymob

Coach
Messages
10,338
Well it's an estimate based on the likelihood of winning compared to all the other teams that are capable of winning. If you do it for every team in the comp the only rule is that it adds up to 100%

You don't need to agree on the percentages. It's just a matter of opinion with no way of knowing whether we're right or not. For a more practical application than arguing on the internet, you could use this type of modelling to decide whether betting odds represent good value, for example.
This modeling how many times would you say you have got it right
 

Poupou Escobar

Post Whore
Messages
91,009
This modeling how many times would you say you have got it right
It's a model. It is neither right or wrong. Like I said, the only rule is that the percentages need to add up to 100.

As for its utility in betting, I finish in the black every year, but that doesn't mean my model is accurate. I could just be lucky each year. There's no way to know for sure.
 
Messages
4,307
I reckon API has checked out.
Your only option is an early release. Get rid of him.
Serious question, but if Api has checked out how do you feel about that as a Wests fan? If the guy can’t get motivated about playing for a team that is the defending premiers and one of the favourites for this year, do you not fear you might have another retirement package on your hands?
 
Messages
4,307
Heavy loss in a trial isn’t the worst thing in the world. Let’s Cleary rip into them without actually losing ground on anyone.

If they fail to get up for Round 1 against a fellow contender in front of what should be a big crowd that would be concerning.
 

stryker

First Grade
Messages
5,277
Serious question, but if Api has checked out how do you feel about that as a Wests fan? If the guy can’t get motivated about playing for a team that is the defending premiers and one of the favourites for this year, do you not fear you might have another retirement package on your hands?
100% I do…and I don’t like him as a man.
The fact is though, we have f**k all experienced players in our squad who can mentor the up and comers. He is needed.
 

Aliceinwonderland

First Grade
Messages
7,868
Lol negotiating is not your talent is it?

I do OK.

Like with Burton last year. It comes down to how desperate you're club is......

Being serious I can't see either Api or Kiks leaving earlier than planned.


Not unless the enticement is execptional. Which I don't think will be forthcomming from you're club.
 
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