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Pretty much! We've had our upset - NZ won't slip up two weeks in a row and England will be too consistent for PNG.
The semis will be genuine arm wrestles - the Kiwis will be up for it at Suncorp and Tonga in a 'home' semi against England. Despite that, Australia and England would be the favourites to go through.
England have hardly been consistent, whereas PNG in my opinion, have been.
I think that game is pretty even and will come down to how PNG handle the pressure and playing away from home.