How many points required to make the semis?

[Tigerm]

We are equal 6th, sitting on 16 points (not bad considering).

There are (12 games) 24 pts available to be won.

How many do we need to secure, top 4 spot?

starting this week, we play (in order)
Storm
Dogs
Bye
Eels
Cowboys
Chooks
Eagles
Dragons
Panthers
Eels
Titans
Sharks

Need to start beating a few of the sides in front of us, to get there?

 

[woodyk2]

Hasnt the average the last few seasons been 26/28 points?

 

[Borat.]

26 and good F & A will get u in this year IMO... 28 and you're guaranteed

 

[N.C.]

On current form:

Storm - 50/50 (Origin considered)
Dogs - 50/50
Bye - + 2
Eels - + 2
Cowboys - unlikely
Chooks - + 2
Eagles - unlikely
Dragons - unlikely
Panthers - 50/50
Eels - + 2
Titans - + 2
Sharks - + 2

Taking into account the law of averages (assuming we'll drop some gimmes and jag some outside chances), I can see us coming home with anywhere between 28 and 34 points. We'll set ourselves up for an easy run home if we win 2 of our next three...

 

[Tigerm]

On current form:

Storm - 50/50 (Origin considered)
Dogs - 50/50
Bye - + 2
Eels - + 2
Cowboys - unlikely
Chooks - + 2
Eagles - unlikely
Dragons - unlikely
Panthers - 50/50
Eels - + 2
Titans - + 2
Sharks - + 2

Taking into account the law of averages (assuming we'll drop some gimmes and jag some outside chances), I can see us coming home with anywhere between 28 and 34 points. We'll set ourselves up for an easy run home if we win 2 of our next three...

TBH I worry re: the Eels & the Sharks
I am prepared that they cheat against the eagles to win:lol:
otherwise I agree with your scoreboard.
I see 10 points (include the bye). Total 26 points
An outside of this win, would be a bonus, but f**k it's going to be close (unless we have one of our famous runs) already, we just gotta beat the good sides?

 

[Borat.]

TBH I worry re: the Eels & the Sharks
I am prepared that they cheat against the eagles to win:lol:
otherwise I agree with your scoreboard.
I see 10 points (include the bye). Total 26 points
An outside of this win, would be a bonus, but f**k it's going to be close (unless we have one of our famous runs) already, we just gotta beat the good sides?

Dont think it will be close we will be top 6 atleast IMO

 

[leoc]

Whatever it is I doubt we'll have enough. 11 games to go, we need to win 6 to be on the fringe of making it & 7 to be a little more assured. Unlikely the way they're going at the moment..

 

[Tigerm]

Whatever it is I doubt we'll have enough. 11 games to go, we need to win 6 to be on the fringe of making it & 7 to be a little more assured. Unlikely the way they're going at the moment..

Still a chance, but agree we make it hard for our selves. Though as I mentioned earlier, Storm was not a game you probably would tick as a sure win?

Starting this week, we play (in order)
Dogs
Bye
Eels
Cowboys
Chooks
Eagles
Dragons
Panthers
Eels
Titans
Sharks

The Dogs game is huge for us IMO.
If we can win all (highlighted games), plus one more, gives us 30 points, should have us close?

 

[Fordy20]

Fingers crossed we go well against the Bye. The Bye will be strong even though they aren't missing any players due to Origin.

Seriously though, if we can't beat at least of the current top 4 over the coming weeks, then we'll just be making up numbers no matter where we finish.