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Jono's Rugby League Simulations

Jono078

Jono078

Referee
Messages
21,127
Here's the last simulation video for the 2021 season.

Two sets of simulations, the first with Brian To'o playing and the second without him and being replaced by Naden.

 
Jono078

Jono078

Referee
Messages
21,127
Have a couple of new videos for anyone interested..



Next video to look out for is what if Andrew Johns played for the Knights in 2021? How far can he take them?
 
Jono078

Jono078

Referee
Messages
21,127
I've simulated round 1, using best available rosters as of right now.. Keep an eye on youtube for a full season simulation this weekend!

1635935633758.png
 
Jono078

Jono078

Referee
Messages
21,127
I've now simulated the entire season.

Who makes the finals?
Who wins the wooden spoon?
Who will be the Dally M player of the year in this simulation?
And most importantly..
Who is winning the 2022 NRL Premiership?

This is the first Off-Season simulation of the 2022 NRL season;

 
ACTPanthers

ACTPanthers

Bench
Messages
4,706
Jono078 said:
I've now simulated the entire season.

Who makes the finals?
Who wins the wooden spoon?
Who will be the Dally M player of the year in this simulation?
And most importantly..
Who is winning the 2022 NRL Premiership?

This is the first Off-Season simulation of the 2022 NRL season;

Click to expand...
Can't believe I wasted that time to see Parra win it... Thanks for nothing Jono you prick.

(Jokes brother, love the work)
 
Jono078

Jono078

Referee
Messages
21,127
Here's the 2nd off-season simulation.

Most notable change is Mitchell Pearce is removed from the Knights line-up. Can they push for the top 8 without him or will they fail miserably?

And for anyone that watched the 1st video, can Parra go back-to-back in the off-season simulation series?

 
Jono078

Jono078

Referee
Messages
21,127
No video to share today, but I do have some predicted outcomes.. I've simulated the season 100 times and here's what it's saying..

Out of 100 simulations these teams;


Top 8 Appearances#
MANLY SEA EAGLES99
PENRITH PANTHERS99
MELBOURNE STORM97
PARRAMATTA EELS97
SYDNEY ROOSTERS89
SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS59
BRISBANE BRONCOS50
CRONULLA SHARKS49
NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS47
NEW ZEALAND WARRIORS41
GOLD COAST TITANS38
CANTERBURY-BANKSTOWN BULLDOGS17
CANBERRA RAIDERS7
ST GEORGE ILLAWARRA DRAGONS6
WESTS TIGERS3
NORTH QUEENSLAND COWBOYS2

Minor Premiers#
PENRITH PANTHERS36
MELBOURNE STORM28
MANLY SEA EAGLES19
SYDNEY ROOSTERS8
PARRAMATTA EELS7
CRONULLA SHARKS1
NEW ZEALAND WARRIORS1
Wooden Spoon#
NORTH QUEENSLAND COWBOYS35
WESTS TIGERS25
CANBERRA RAIDERS20
ST GEORGE ILLAWARRA DRAGONS11
GOLD COAST TITANS3
CANTERBURY-BANKSTOWN BULLDOGS3
SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS1
BRISBANE BRONCOS1
NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS1

Dally M#
Tom Trbojevic31
Nathan Cleary31
James Tedesco11
Latrell Mitchell4
Cameron Munster3
Adam Reynolds3
Reed Mahoney2
Payne Haas2
Mitch Moses2
Kalyn Ponga2
Isaah Yeo2
Harry Grant2
Ryan Papenhuyzen1
Josh Papalii1
Jahrome Hughes1
Cody Walker1
Brandon Smith1
Grand Final Appearances#
PENRITH PANTHERS47
MELBOURNE STORM41
PARRAMATTA EELS35
MANLY SEA EAGLES34
SYDNEY ROOSTERS25
BRISBANE BRONCOS5
NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS4
NEW ZEALAND WARRIORS3
SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS3
CRONULLA SHARKS2
GOLD COAST TITANS1

Grand Final Wins#
PENRITH PANTHERS33
PARRAMATTA EELS19
MELBOURNE STORM17
MANLY SEA EAGLES17
SYDNEY ROOSTERS8
NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS2
SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS2
BRISBANE BRONCOS1
CRONULLA SHARKS1
NEW ZEALAND WARRIORS0
GOLD COAST TITANS0
 
Jono078

Jono078

Referee
Messages
21,127
I couldn't put it all in the last post, but here's all 100 GF results too;


MANLY SEA EAGLES2226PENRITH PANTHERS
PENRITH PANTHERS320SYDNEY ROOSTERS
PENRITH PANTHERS1026MANLY SEA EAGLES
PENRITH PANTHERS1020PARRAMATTA EELS
MANLY SEA EAGLES2022PENRITH PANTHERS
MANLY SEA EAGLES3420MELBOURNE STORM
MELBOURNE STORM2612PENRITH PANTHERS
MELBOURNE STORM4412MANLY SEA EAGLES
MELBOURNE STORM1410CRONULLA SHARKS
PENRITH PANTHERS442PARRAMATTA EELS
MELBOURNE STORM3614SYDNEY ROOSTERS
NEW ZEALAND WARRIORS2836MELBOURNE STORM
PENRITH PANTHERS1850SYDNEY ROOSTERS
PENRITH PANTHERS1620PARRAMATTA EELS
PENRITH PANTHERS1020MANLY SEA EAGLES
SYDNEY ROOSTERS2030PARRAMATTA EELS
PARRAMATTA EELS1618PENRITH PANTHERS
MANLY SEA EAGLES3412SYDNEY ROOSTERS
MANLY SEA EAGLES1230PENRITH PANTHERS
SYDNEY ROOSTERS2036PARRAMATTA EELS
PARRAMATTA EELS2214MELBOURNE STORM
PENRITH PANTHERS4616MANLY SEA EAGLES
NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS1824PENRITH PANTHERS
BRISBANE BRONCOS2230PARRAMATTA EELS
SYDNEY ROOSTERS2928PENRITH PANTHERS
PENRITH PANTHERS144MANLY SEA EAGLES
PARRAMATTA EELS2224MANLY SEA EAGLES
MANLY SEA EAGLES1230PENRITH PANTHERS
MANLY SEA EAGLES1214MELBOURNE STORM
MELBOURNE STORM1226SYDNEY ROOSTERS
SYDNEY ROOSTERS1622MANLY SEA EAGLES
PARRAMATTA EELS2212MELBOURNE STORM
MANLY SEA EAGLES2220MELBOURNE STORM
PENRITH PANTHERS2614PARRAMATTA EELS
MELBOURNE STORM1224PARRAMATTA EELS
SYDNEY ROOSTERS412PARRAMATTA EELS
SYDNEY ROOSTERS2838MANLY SEA EAGLES
PARRAMATTA EELS3018PENRITH PANTHERS
NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS3026MANLY SEA EAGLES
MELBOURNE STORM632PENRITH PANTHERS
SYDNEY ROOSTERS1238PENRITH PANTHERS
MANLY SEA EAGLES2216MELBOURNE STORM
MANLY SEA EAGLES2410NEW ZEALAND WARRIORS
PENRITH PANTHERS1810MELBOURNE STORM
MELBOURNE STORM3618SYDNEY ROOSTERS
PENRITH PANTHERS3024MANLY SEA EAGLES
PENRITH PANTHERS2816MELBOURNE STORM
PENRITH PANTHERS4016MANLY SEA EAGLES
PENRITH PANTHERS1410MELBOURNE STORM
MELBOURNE STORM2616PENRITH PANTHERS
PARRAMATTA EELS1622PENRITH PANTHERS
PARRAMATTA EELS3418MELBOURNE STORM
MANLY SEA EAGLES642PARRAMATTA EELS
MELBOURNE STORM1054PENRITH PANTHERS
PENRITH PANTHERS3212MELBOURNE STORM
SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS3028MANLY SEA EAGLES
NEW ZEALAND WARRIORS1424MANLY SEA EAGLES
MELBOURNE STORM2622MANLY SEA EAGLES
PENRITH PANTHERS144MELBOURNE STORM
PENRITH PANTHERS3424MANLY SEA EAGLES
PARRAMATTA EELS2022PENRITH PANTHERS
SYDNEY ROOSTERS1110MELBOURNE STORM
PARRAMATTA EELS1436MELBOURNE STORM
BRISBANE BRONCOS1420MELBOURNE STORM
PARRAMATTA EELS1244MANLY SEA EAGLES
MELBOURNE STORM4212SYDNEY ROOSTERS
PENRITH PANTHERS2024PARRAMATTA EELS
MANLY SEA EAGLES3218MELBOURNE STORM
MELBOURNE STORM1234PARRAMATTA EELS
PARRAMATTA EELS1038PENRITH PANTHERS
PENRITH PANTHERS100BRISBANE BRONCOS
SYDNEY ROOSTERS3228MELBOURNE STORM
MELBOURNE STORM2024PENRITH PANTHERS
PENRITH PANTHERS1820SYDNEY ROOSTERS
SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS2822SYDNEY ROOSTERS
SYDNEY ROOSTERS1024PENRITH PANTHERS
PARRAMATTA EELS3012MELBOURNE STORM
MELBOURNE STORM2016PARRAMATTA EELS
PENRITH PANTHERS2010PARRAMATTA EELS
CRONULLA SHARKS160PARRAMATTA EELS
MANLY SEA EAGLES1248PENRITH PANTHERS
PARRAMATTA EELS2628PENRITH PANTHERS
SYDNEY ROOSTERS3020PARRAMATTA EELS
PENRITH PANTHERS3816BRISBANE BRONCOS
PARRAMATTA EELS3020PENRITH PANTHERS
PARRAMATTA EELS2114SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS
MELBOURNE STORM4410PENRITH PANTHERS
NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS1213SYDNEY ROOSTERS
MANLY SEA EAGLES3214MELBOURNE STORM
MELBOURNE STORM1420BRISBANE BRONCOS
NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS4226PARRAMATTA EELS
MELBOURNE STORM4414GOLD COAST TITANS
MANLY SEA EAGLES3016SYDNEY ROOSTERS
MELBOURNE STORM3820SYDNEY ROOSTERS
SYDNEY ROOSTERS2022PARRAMATTA EELS
SYDNEY ROOSTERS1220PENRITH PANTHERS
PARRAMATTA EELS428MANLY SEA EAGLES
MANLY SEA EAGLES2622MELBOURNE STORM
MELBOURNE STORM2212PARRAMATTA EELS
PENRITH PANTHERS126MANLY SEA EAGLES
 
Ozzi_78

Ozzi_78

First Grade
Messages
6,398
Poor warriors lose 3 GFs

Storm win only 17 of 41 GFs ?

Fun simulation… I will enjoy the sharks 16-0 GF over the eels.
 
Jono078

Jono078

Referee
Messages
21,127
Here we go.. First simulation video of the year and final one for this NRL off-season! Hope you enjoy;

 
Jono078

Jono078

Referee
Messages
21,127
Very different video to what I've done previously, so any feedback is appreciated!

Round 1 Simulation, game-by-game.

 
Jono078

Jono078

Referee
Messages
21,127
First in-season simulation of the rest of the year, now that we have a good sample size of data for each team. Can anyone stop the Panthers?

 
Ozzi_78

Ozzi_78

First Grade
Messages
6,398
Jono078 said:
First in-season simulation of the rest of the year, now that we have a good sample size of data for each team. Can anyone stop the Panthers?

Click to expand...
I stopped after the tigers beat the sharks this weekend 30-20 :) and then Go on to lose 5 straight.
 
Jono078

Jono078

Referee
Messages
21,127
Ozzi_78 said:
I stopped after the tigers beat the sharks this weekend 30-20 :) and then Go on to lose 5 straight.
Click to expand...
Haha wow, so they did! I can tell you from pure data perspective they are rated in the top 4, so in this particular simulation they were a little unlucky!

I just checked, they finished the season 11-1! Gotta be happy with that :p
 
Ozzi_78

Ozzi_78

First Grade
Messages
6,398
Jono078 said:
Haha wow, so they did! I can tell you from pure data perspective they are rated in the top 4, so in this particular simulation they were a little unlucky!

I just checked, they finished the season 11-1! Gotta be happy with that :p
Click to expand...
They made it to the prelim and storm knocked them out 14-12. That score line is ironic.
 
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