Myer Classic - Flemington 4/11

[Macca_]

5-2.10 MYER CLASSIC 1600 M
Of $502500 Of $500000 and $2500 trophy. 1st $300000 and trophy of $2500, 2nd $90000, 3rd $45000, 4th $22500, 5th $12500, 6th $10000, 7th $10000, 8th $10000. For Three-Years-Old and Upwards Fillies and Mares. Standard Weight for Age. (GROUP 1). No allowances for apprentices. Field Limit: 16+3 EM
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No. Horse Trainer Jockey Barr Wgt Pen RTG
1 MNEMOSYNE John Hawkes D Beadman 14 55.5 (107)
2 REWAAYA (NZ) David Hayes D Dunn 7 55.5 (111)
3 SEACHANGE (NZ) Ralph Manning G McKeon 2 55.5 (108)
4 ASTRODAME Brian Mayfield-Smith D Moor 3 55.5 (100)
5 DIVINE MADONNA Mark Kavanagh K McEvoy 12 55.5 (104.5)
6 BROCKMAN'S LASS Lee Freedman Steven King 10 55.5 (101)
7 DEA Kevin Corstens S Baster 13 55.5 (97)
8 NUCLEAR FREE John Blacker B Shinn 5 55.5 (102)
9 CINQUE CENTO Peter G Moody G Childs 17 55.5 (98)
10 NOVA STAR Kelly Schweida C Newitt 16 55.5 (94)
11 HONEST POLITICIAN Brian Jenkins R McLeod 8 55.5 (96)
12 LYRICAL BID Brian Mayfield-Smith C Williams 1 55.5 (92)
13 GAWNE Anthony Cummings M Rodd 15 55.5 (95)
14 MORE THAN LUCKY David Payne Z Purton 11 55.5 (91)
15 KOSI BAY (NZ) Bart Cummings D Oliver 9 55.5 (90)
16 PAVLOVA Cliff Brown S W Arnold 6 55.5 (99)
17E PIN UP (NZ) Danny O'Brien 4 55.5 (90)

Form - http://www.rsb.net.au/PUBLISHING/DOWNLOADS/FREEFORM/RD0411FLEM.asp?racenum=05

 

[Macca_]

I'm keen to see this kiwi mare. Could blow this lot away.

 

[Nuffs]

if she's handled the trip, she's a massive chance

divine madonna will be right in it on the bigger track. any run-on bias and she's winning this.

 

[Macca_]

Nice price to Nuffs ($6)...

Fixed Odds -

Sportsbet No. Runner Win Place
35402 REWAAYA 2.90 1.47
35405 DIVINE MADONNA 5.50 2.12
35403 SEACHANGE 6.00 2.25
35401 MNEMOSYNE 8.00 2.75
35406 BROCKMANS LASS 9.00 3.00
35408 NUCLEAR FREE 12.00 3.75
35409 CINQUE CENTO 15.00 4.50
35413 GAWNE 17.00 5.00
35416 PAVLOVA 21.00 6.00
35412 LYRICAL BID 26.00 7.25
35414 MORE THAN LUCKY 35.00 9.50
35407 DEA 35.00 9.50
35417 PIN UP (1E) 35.00 9.50
35404 ASTRODAME 35.00 9.50
35410 NOVA STAR 51.00 13.50
35415 KOSI BAY 51.00 13.50
35411 HONEST POLITICIAN 101.00 26.00

 

[Macca_]

Macs Numbers -
3,2,5,1,12,8

If this kiwi mare Seachange (3) handles the trip over and the Melbourne racing she'll win this. Great record, she's drawn perfectly and her time 2 starts back over the mile at Hastings would have won the Epson (Mnemosyne)and the Toorak (Rewaaya). Have to respect that kind of run without knowing much about that track. She handles Melbourne, she win this and $6 will do nicely.

Rewaaya (2) will be hard to beat, she always is. Led them up in the Toorak and was just caught by Red Dazzler. 2 good wins before that.

Not sure there's a lot of speed in this but at Flemington you'd expect to see Divine Madonna (5) flying home in this. She's drawn in 12, but she'll get back and take off down the straight. If it's a fast pace, she'll come over the top of them.

Mnemosyne (1) is drawn in 14 so Beadman likely to go back on here. Not sure that'll suit here. Also not sure she's come back 100%. Classy mare.

Giving Lyrical Bid (12) a chance to run a race at odds here. She's been drawing poorly, getting well back and finishing off very strong. Drawn the rails in this with Williams to ride. She could be a real smokey here.

And Nuclear Free (8) should run well in this too. Drawn well.

 

[Nuffs]

i like REWAAYA here. a 2nd to red dazzler is top form for this. at set weights here, she'll be too good

SEACHANGE i can risk due to her handling the trip, but if she runs to potential, this will be a great race. MISS POTENTIAL's done it (beating ALINGHI) a couple of years back in this race

 

[chili pepper]

Hopefully Mnemosyne rediscovers her best form - if she does she'll beat these very easily. Reewaya is one of the most over-rated horses I've seen. She's handy but no star

 

[Surely]

I think rewaaya struggles at the mile, seachange is obviously a very good horse as is the topweight, i may go for a smokey in this Nova Star.

 

[Moffo]

Mneonmysne will win

 

[willvillain]

Moffo! You low dog! I put money on it no less than 3 minutes ago!

 

[Foz]

Rewaaya has gone into my list of horses I just cant catch.
If I dont back it the thing wins if I have money on it,it stops as if shot.
It can join November Dreaming in my stable of horses that owe me a motza.
I swear I will never back it again.

 

[chili pepper]

Rewaaya has gone into my list of horses I just cant catch.
If I dont back it the thing wins if I have money on it,it stops as if shot.
It can join November Dreaming in my stable of horses that owe me a motza.
I swear I will never back it again.

Good decision - she's not Group 1 standard