May your daughters be strong women.
Well I was a bit afraid before because the site was very slow around me posting that post so I assume I’m being monitored. But it was probably because @emjaycee was whinging about not liking things. I believe that more overt aggressive steps regarding the South China Sea are a balancing act of the CCP God Tier’s beliefs of potential benefits those steps can bring versus not just the external cost but their ability to control their internal unrest of those steps are taken.Stop being vague ... what options and what people?
Can't remember what the polling was before Shorten lost the unlosable election.
Which is odd, because (correct me if I'm wrong) sitting governments usually poll well at times of disaster where they can rally unity and everyone is all about roll your sleeves up nationalism.It was very different, Labor held a substantial enough lead ( 4 points+ ) for around two years, but that lead started to trend down around November 2018 and accelerated it's downward trend from around March 2019. You could plot that trend and end up with the result we got, the Labor party got analed by a great big polling dildo......
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Move on to now, and it looks a very different picture, we are just shy of four months out ( max ) from an election, and the trend isn't at all pretty for the government. That's not to say it can't be reversed, I'd be very surprised if it wasn't to some extent because if it isn't the election will be an absolute bloodbath of proportions never seen, and we know from previous elections that polling almost inevitably tightens as the campaign period heats up.
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As you can see the trend there accelerating to the basement for the government, and that's just not sustainable, plot it out 'till may and they'd end up in in the low 30's on TPP, which is nigh on an impossible result.
Even looking at that over time, we can see the covid bump for the government is the only thing that has put them in positive since late 2019, if not for that, the downward trend of late might well be where it is now, but not having got there so dramatically
The government are backing the budget being done in March to pull up a hell of a lot of that slide, which it may well do, the problem for them in that strategy is if enough voters have made up their mind by then, shifting the trend so as it falls positive for them on election day will require a reversal of fortunes so herculean as for it to be little more than fantasy.
My thoughts on the result of that, is that the governments only hope is that the margin of error is understated and running at around a four or five rather than a two, and that the polls reverse enough to get them that close.
Anything can happen, but right now they are looking cooked.