Wakeful Stakes - Flemington 4/11

[Macca_]

4-1.25 L'OREAL PARIS WAKEFUL STAKES 2000 M
Of $302000 Of $300000 and $2000 trophy. 1st $180000 and trophy of $2000, 2nd $54000, 3rd $27000, 4th $13500, 5th $7500, 6th $6000, 7th $6000, 8th $6000. For Three-Years-Old Fillies. Set Weights plus Penalties. (GROUP 2). This race carries a SUPER VOBIS Nominators Bonus of $10,000 for qualified horses. No allowances for apprentices. Field Limit: 16+3 EM
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No. Horse Trainer Jockey Barr Wgt Pen RTG
1 CHEEKY CHOICE Gai Waterhouse H Bowman 18 57 (102)
2 DE LAGO MIST David Hayes D Oliver 15 55.5 (91)
3 SHE WILL BE LOVED Mathew Ellerton G Boss 7 55.5 (93)
4 ANAMATO David Hayes D Dunn 16 54.5 (89)
5 ULFAH David Hayes C Williams 9 54 (86)
6 JUSTE MOMENTE Danny O'Brien M Rodd 8 54 (79)
7 TUESDAY JOY (NZ) Gai Waterhouse D Beasley 19 53 (83)
8 RENDZINA Graeme Rogerson C Munce 5 53 (76)
9 RENA'S LADY Gary Portelli Steven King 11 53 (73)
10 SWISSAC Bart Cummings L Nolen 10 53 (74)
11 FUJI FANTASY Eric Musgrove V Duric 6 53 (73)
12 J'ADANE (NZ) Russell Cameron B Shinn 4 53 (64)
13 PINTAKA (NZ) Peter G Moody C Brown 13 53 (67)
14 MARY GOODNIGHT Fran Houlahan & Brian Johnston G Childs 12 53 (64)
15 BROLAGO Kevin Corstens S Baster 14 53 (62)
16 CALM SEAS Graeme Spackman B Stanley 2 53 (61)
17E ZINGARA Cliff Brown 1 53 (62)
18E OUR MOHAVE David Racovolis D Gauci 3 53 (62)
19E LADY GRACIOUS Anthony Cummings Z Purton 17 53 (61)

Form - http://www.rsb.net.au/PUBLISHING/DOWNLOADS/FREEFORM/RD0411FLEM.asp?racenum=04

 

[Macca_]

No form needed

Rendzina to win on her way to Oaks glory

Basically the Oaks field here apart from Miss Finland (maybe) and Sefrah. Most of the main hopes drew poorly. Meanwhile my filly drew perfectly

 

[Nuffs]

lol at gai waterhouse having to fire/assassinate whoever drew the barriers

 

[Macca_]

:lol:

Hayes got a couple of hotdog draws too.

 

[Macca_]

Only race with no fixed odds as yet. They must be scared their gonna get crunched :lol:

Here she comes

 

[Macca_]

Macs Numbers -
8,5,10,1,4,6

Rendzina (8)! Well she ran a strong 600m coming from 12th at the 400m to finish second last start on a track that was favouring the lead horses. Start before that in the Flight Stakes when beaten 4.4l by Cheeky Choice she was 19th at the 400m and worked home well for 10th. Couple of nice runs putting the writing on the wall for something to come. Hopefully its the Oaks. Drawn 5 in this though and the main chances drawn poorly, she'll go close in this. Probably needs to if she's going to win the Oaks. Testa Rossa doesn't throw that many stayers, but Rendzina is out of an Octagonal mare so I think she'll stay the Oaks trip.

Liked the run of Ulfah (5) in the Norman Robinson against the boys. Came home well to finish second behind Get Square. Good form for this.

Also think Swissac (10) will be hard to beat. She's racing like she wants this trip and with Bart as the trainer you'd think she'll be thereabouts in this.

Giving Cheeky Choice (1) a chance to run a place here depsite the draw. If Bowman can get her across and take a sit up near the lead she may give them something to catch.

Anamato (4) another one drawn poorly. She's been working home nicely and looking for a good run from her.

I think Juste Momente (6) can also run well at odds. Looks to be wanting more ground. The 2 runs prior to her 7th in the Guineas were handy and the step up to 2000m may be what she needs.

Yes I know I've left out the Oaks fav (Tuesday Joy). Taking her on for a couple of reasons... First go in Melbourne. Drawn barrier 19. Gai in Melbourne. Not completely rating the form behind Teranaba from her last start. For mine there's enough question marks to pot her. Having said all that, she'll probably win by 5.

 

[Macca_]

Still no fixed odds up. Telegraph has Rendzina at 21's! Give me some of that action :lol:

 

[Macca_]

Fixed Odds -

Sportsbet No. Runner Win Place
35507 TUESDAY JOY 3.50 1.62
35505 ULFAH 5.50 2.12
35501 CHEEKY CHOICE 7.00 2.50
35510 SWISSAC 7.50 2.62
35504 ANAMATO 9.00 3.00
35508 RENDZINA 11.00 3.50
35503 SHE WILL BE LOVED 11.00 3.50
35502 DE LAGO MIST 14.00 4.25
35509 RENAS LADY 14.00 4.25
35512 JADANE 15.00 4.50
35506 JUSTE MOMENTE 17.00 5.00
35517 ZINGARA (1E) 26.00 7.25
35513 PINTAKA 51.00 13.50
35519 LADY GRACIOUS (3E) 51.00 13.50
35518 OUR MOHAVE (2E) 101.00 26.00
35516 CALM SEAS 101.00 26.00
35511 FUJI FANTASY 101.00 26.00
35514 MARY GOODNIGHT 101.00 26.00
35515 BROLAGO 101.00 26.00

 

[Nuffs]

ULFAH looks a pretty good bet here to me. she's drawn much better than most of the big hopes, she's trained and ridden by the best combo in Oz, she finished in front of most of the boys last start. she'll love Flemington even more and at $5.50 looks good value

chances to TUESDAY JOY and SWISSAC

 

[hineyrulz]

tuesday joy for mine but doubt she'll be good odds. was a certainty beat last start and flemington should suit her.

 

[chili pepper]

Macs Numbers -
Yes I know I've left out the Oaks fav (Tuesday Joy). Taking her on for a couple of reasons... First go in Melbourne. Drawn barrier 19. Gai in Melbourne. Not completely rating the form behind Teranaba from her last start. For mine there's enough question marks to pot her. Having said all that, she'll probably win by 5.

But beat home the best Sydney 3yo stayer (Mearas). I think that is pretty decent form.

However, the break between runs must be a big query for her today. I think she will run strongly without winning but will win on Thursday

 

[Macca_]

But beat home the best Sydney 3yo stayer (Mearas). I think that is pretty decent form.

To be fair to Mearas though, he drew 16 that day and went straight to last. Had he drawn a barrier he'd have killed that field.

 

[chili pepper]

To be fair to Mearas though, he drew 16 that day and went straight to last. Had he drawn a barrier he'd have killed that field.

Absolutely - he also suffered the same interference as TJ. But Tuesday Joys run was also a cracker. On that form I rate her the best of these but is a run short for today I feel

 

[chili pepper]

U backed the first 4 Macca - you top 5 looks good here too!

 

[chili pepper]

Shes a star - but I talked myself out of backing her!

 

[Macca_]

Great ride too from Beasley. She'll be hard to be on Thursday.

Be interesting to see how many drop out after that. From the races I've seen and heard today the winners have been near the inside. Hoping down the middle is no good But the winner was too good.