Slackboy72
Coach
- Messages
- 11,959
From the Australian Financial Review
http://www.afr.com/business/media-a...wth-to-stay-at-zero-says-citi-20150422-1mqcki
The key takeaway is that NRL is mostly funded by the sale of FTA and pay TV rights.
The ability of those who pay for that is being impinged by falling viewing numbers (not necessarily for NRL) and stalled advertising revenue.
If the NRL is to grow, and more importantly if more than 2 out of 16 clubs are to remain profitable, then revenue from TV rights needs to increase or they have to get it from elsewhere.
Streaming their own content (sort of like how the NBA, MLB, NHL and NFL do) instead of relying on the Pay TV rights owners to handle it (for a pittance) seems like the obvious choice.
How long before the penny drops for rugby league administrators?
http://www.afr.com/business/media-a...wth-to-stay-at-zero-says-citi-20150422-1mqcki
Edited for brevity.Free-to-air television networks have failed to deliver meaningful advertising growth for the last two years and will fail to deliver growth over the medium term.
That's the view of Citi, which has issued a bearish note on the sector called "Zero is the New Black", quantifying the impact of subscription video-on-demand services such as Netflix on the financials of the networks.
...
Citi's lead media analyst, Justin Diddams concludes: "It's getting tougher to deliver earnings growth with limited revenue growth and ... competition remains fierce among existing networks and new entrants."
He has lowered his revenue growth and earnings forecasts for both Nine Entertainment Co and Seven West Media, which he rates as a "neutral"....
...
He concluded that advertising growth could prove challenging to deliver as audiences fragment further.
He has lowered his free-to-air TV advertising growth expectations to 0 per cent growth (from 2 per cent) across the medium term, saying: "TV is still not dying but it's getting tougher to deliver growth."
...
Citi forecasts free-to-air TV audiences declining (in real terms) by 2 per cent year-on-year for the next three years.
Meanwhile it forecasts the total "video" advertising segment to increase 3 per cent or more year-on-year in coming years "reflecting the increase to inventory across online and payTV platforms".
...
The key takeaway is that NRL is mostly funded by the sale of FTA and pay TV rights.
The ability of those who pay for that is being impinged by falling viewing numbers (not necessarily for NRL) and stalled advertising revenue.
If the NRL is to grow, and more importantly if more than 2 out of 16 clubs are to remain profitable, then revenue from TV rights needs to increase or they have to get it from elsewhere.
Streaming their own content (sort of like how the NBA, MLB, NHL and NFL do) instead of relying on the Pay TV rights owners to handle it (for a pittance) seems like the obvious choice.
How long before the penny drops for rugby league administrators?
Last edited: