Stats say one of the TOP FOUR will collapse in 2010!

[Scarves]

Here's an interesting stat. Since 2002 at least one of the final four remaining preliminary final clubs have either produced numbing results the following seasons or absolutely collapsed in a heap.

Below is a list of the four finalists since 2002. In (brackets) are the finishing positions the following season of those particular clubs that missed out on the top eight in that following season. As you can see, some of these clubs are missing out the next season by a long way.

2002 - Roosters, Warriors, Broncos, Sharks (12th).
2003 - Penrith, Roosters, Warriors (14th), Bulldogs.
2004 - Bulldogs (12th), Roosters (9th), Penrith (10th), Cowboys.
2005 - Tigers (11th), Parra, Dragons, Cowboys (9th).
2006 - Broncos, Storm, Bulldogs, Dragons (13th).
2007 - Storm, Manly, Cowboys (15th), Parra (11th).
2008 - Manly, Storm, Sharks (15th), Warriors (14th).

So when one reflects on this 2009 season, the four preliminary finalists were Melbourne, Parramatta, Canterbury, and Brisbane, which of these teams are going to once again, surprisingly fall a little flat, not aim up or not live up to their hype in season 2010?

 

[Dutchy]

I thought Roosters finished 4th in 08 :s

Or is my memory just f**ked after celebrating too hard?

 

[mongoose]

Of those 4 I would think Brisbane will be the one to tumble down the ladder.

 

[Dutchy]

Ah I didn't read on, going off prelims not table. My bad.

 

[dogz08]

Probably Brisbane

 

[Non Terminator]

Out of those four none of them can be ruled out of having a horror year and missing the finals.

 

[1 Eyed TEZZA]

Brisbane seem most likely with basically no recuiting.

 

[andrew123]

brisbane - losing both Hunt and Taylor along with no big recruiting

 

[aussies1st]

Brisbane definitely seem most likely. Eels would be next most likely, quite a bit depends on Hayne's form.

 

[miguel de cervantes]

Definitely Brisbane. They already showed signs of capitulating this year.

 

[innsaneink]

Same roughly for the tiop 8.....two or three make way for another two or three diff team.
Nothing new here...move along

 

[j0nesy]

Agree with the consesus on Brisbane.

 

[boonboon]

Brisbane most likely , mayby the dogs i'm thinking - Kimmorley gets older by the year

 

[1 Eyed TEZZA]

Brisbane most likely , mayby the dogs i'm thinking - Kimmorley gets older by the year

Well der!

 

[Moffo]

i wouldnt be surprised to see parra f**k up. moi moi and hayne will struggle to have anywhere near as good a year as they did last year, mortimer will have to contend with second year syndrome and hindmarsh/cayless are nearing their expiry dates. question marks as to whether tahu will still have it as well and i think poore got shown up in a couple of games towards the end of this year

 

[kia ora storm]

Broncos...were lucky to go as far as they did this year.

Will finish 10-12 next year.

 

[jpaciocco91]

I'd say Brisbane

 

[Timmah]

Broncos for mine will drop, but whether it's out of the final four or the entire eight, not sure.

 

[icewind]

please... keep writing us off

 

[Loudstrat]

i wouldnt be surprised to see parra f**k up. moi moi and hayne will struggle to have anywhere near as good a year as they did last year, mortimer will have to contend with second year syndrome and hindmarsh/cayless are nearing their expiry dates. question marks as to whether tahu will still have it as well and i think poore got shown up in a couple of games towards the end of this year

Thanks Moffo. I'll look forward to us going undefeated in 2010!

Interesting to pick who will replace Brisbane and Canterbury. My tips: Saints and Manly.

Would be interesting to compare the top 4 of the minor premiership.