I think your right about Nine entitlement. They were very hard bargainers last time around , would not move off $115m pa. They will try the same. This 2 game exclusive can not be entertained at all. If they try and they wont succeed but if they insist to have exclusive two games with the trimmings ie GF and SOS should be around $330 m pa.Nine are soo entitled about the NRL that they probably expect to be able to get exclusive games and still pay less than seven pay for their simulcast afl games with no origin.
I could see V’landys doing short term deals if the number isn’t what they want, and not necessarily with Nine. Nine need to know they can lose the rights.
I will say it again we decide exclusivity, And don't rule out multiply ie (3) TV FTA /Pay TV/Streamers. You employ this when they low ball you, like NINE will try to do.