So we're going to 4th or 5th because we got pumped, again, by Australia. That makes a lot of sense!
Tonga and Samoa have certainly closed on England by virtue of some great talent that has come through and players abandoning Aus and NZ for their heritage countries. But to say they have, or will, overtake us in world standings seems hyperbolic at this time. There is little evidence based on the recent test series against both nations to believe this is the case.
I'm looking forward to a proper series against NZ to see if we are 2nd or 3rd (with a decent coach!)