Dragonslayer
First Grade
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I dont think there will be as much of a 'war chest' as people think. There are a few variables that could eat away at any potential $$$ we might perceive, such as, who in 2021 has a backended contract for example or who our coach is.
In any case the players mentioned, my prediction is:
Aitken - Gone (if not sooner)
Clune - re-signed
JDB - contract would have expired before said trial which probably wont be decided 'till December. Question mark over wether we would sign him again if cleared.
Ford - re-signed
Frizell - hopefully re-signed
Graham - retired
Host - big year for Hosty, can see him being re-signed or let go depending on performance. I hope he stays.
Lafai - wont be re-signed
Lovodua - not sure on Joe. He will probably look to opportunities elsewhere, particularly with the new Fijian team entering into the CC comp.
Luke - not sure with Luke either. He may re-sign just to play CC (particularly if Joe moves on).
Ravalawa - has to have a big 2020.
Sailor - I think will re-sign.
As far as calulating $$ for an impact on the market, well its almost impossible, but lets play the game:
Add in:
Aitken +$400k
JDB - +$550
Graham +600k
Lafai +400k
Lovodua +130k
Total: +$2.08m
Deduct off: (estimates only)
Clune $50k
Ford $100k
Frizell $250k (minimum extra)
Host $50k
Luke $130k (or whatever the min wage is)
Ravalawa $50k
Sailor $100k
Total - 730k
So, $2.08m - $730 = $1.35m
Then we come to JDB which is the biggest unknown. Even assuming clearance and we do give him an opportunity again it would have to be at a far reduced rate say even 200k for 1yr.
To round it off we would need to:
(Without JDB) $1.35m divided into signing 5 players ie: $270k each, or
(With JDB) $1.15m divided into signing 4 players ie $287.5k each.
In any case 270k or 287k aint going to get you anyone at top end. Maybe 1 at 500k and the rest on mimimum but thats about it. Its also why, I think, they will wait the outcome of the JDB trial.
In any case the players mentioned, my prediction is:
Aitken - Gone (if not sooner)
Clune - re-signed
JDB - contract would have expired before said trial which probably wont be decided 'till December. Question mark over wether we would sign him again if cleared.
Ford - re-signed
Frizell - hopefully re-signed
Graham - retired
Host - big year for Hosty, can see him being re-signed or let go depending on performance. I hope he stays.
Lafai - wont be re-signed
Lovodua - not sure on Joe. He will probably look to opportunities elsewhere, particularly with the new Fijian team entering into the CC comp.
Luke - not sure with Luke either. He may re-sign just to play CC (particularly if Joe moves on).
Ravalawa - has to have a big 2020.
Sailor - I think will re-sign.
As far as calulating $$ for an impact on the market, well its almost impossible, but lets play the game:
Add in:
Aitken +$400k
JDB - +$550
Graham +600k
Lafai +400k
Lovodua +130k
Total: +$2.08m
Deduct off: (estimates only)
Clune $50k
Ford $100k
Frizell $250k (minimum extra)
Host $50k
Luke $130k (or whatever the min wage is)
Ravalawa $50k
Sailor $100k
Total - 730k
So, $2.08m - $730 = $1.35m
Then we come to JDB which is the biggest unknown. Even assuming clearance and we do give him an opportunity again it would have to be at a far reduced rate say even 200k for 1yr.
To round it off we would need to:
(Without JDB) $1.35m divided into signing 5 players ie: $270k each, or
(With JDB) $1.15m divided into signing 4 players ie $287.5k each.
In any case 270k or 287k aint going to get you anyone at top end. Maybe 1 at 500k and the rest on mimimum but thats about it. Its also why, I think, they will wait the outcome of the JDB trial.