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AFL 2004 - Round 18

CyberKev

Moderator
Staff member
Messages
2,323
FRIDAY JULY 30 ACST

Adelaide vs Kangaroos (20)
AAMI Stadium 8:10 PM ACST

SATURDAY JULY 31 AEST

Carlton (10) vs Fremantle
Optus Oval 2:10 PM AEST

Collingwood (22) vs Richmond
MCG 2:10 PM AEST

Essendon vs Port Adelaide (17)
Telstra Dome 7:10 PM AEST

Sydney Swans vs Brisbane Lions (55)[/i]
S.C.G. 7:10 PM AEST

SUNDAY AUGUST 1 AEST

Geelong (15)vs St Kilda
Skilled Stadium 1:10 PM AEST

Melbourne (36) vs Hawthorn
MCG 2:10 PM AEST

West Coast Eagles (42) vs Western Bulldogs
Subiaco Oval 2:10 PM AWST


The big match-up this weekend is clearly the Cats vs Saints clash out of Skilled Stadium. St Kilda have steadied in recent weeks and clearly boast the edge in sheer talent and match winners, but we can't sell Geelong short on its 2004 form. If it were at the Telstra Dome you would have to back the Saints, who clearly enjoy the perfect conditions, with the lack of wind suiting their talk marking players nicely. Skilled Stadium is a whole new ball game entirely, however, and its hard to go past the Cats here, as they play the ground so well. Assuming the fab Cat defence can do the job on the Saints forwards, then the blue & whites short get enough share of the ball to carry the day. Should be a beaut.

While Essendon's form of late has been ordinary, I would expect them to be fired up for this clash, given that their finals hopes are well and truly on the line. Unfortunately for them, Port is a side that has their measure anywhere and everywhere, and with the minor premiership still up for grabs, they won't be taking this one easy. Essendon has severe deficiencies and acute dependancies, whereas the Power seem solid across the board and are as an even a sie as any in the competition. Essendon is capable of winning providing its core group of experienced players are all on song, but how often is that these days?

Richmond beat Collingwood easily in Round 1 and has done stuff all since. They'd fancy their chances here as well, although Collingwood has looked a lot more spry in recent weeks. The Tigers have the more dangerous key players and the Magpies look invariably innocuous, but solid and steady seems enough to sink the Tigers nine times in ten. The off-feild woes continue at Punt Road, and I'm betting that these destabilising factors will keep the side on the loser's list for another week.

Same applies to Hawthorn, who smashed Melbourne in Round 1, and went immediately to hell (they've been there ever since). A caretaker coach helped Adelaide, but it won't overcome the Hawks forward woes and marked confidence problems. I'm no great wrap for the Demons, but I have a gut feeling that they're on their way to another Grand Final. It may not be the stroll in the park they're expecting, but the blue & reds still have a clear edge in personnel and should have to much poise and pace out of the midfield.

Were it not for the hapless Hawks, the Bulldogs would be utterly buried beneath a deluge of media speculation and vitriol. As it is, things are hardly sunshine and lollypops out West and the team will almost certainly take another step towards coach Rohde's inevitable demise in Perth. This side is a genuine contender for the worst set kicking team in the game's history. Combined with a lack of overall body strength and reliable tall defensive options, its hard to see the Bulldogs winning again this year (Hawthorn game excepted). West Coast is ever and always painfully average and unremarkable, but that's more than enough to recommend them here.

Sydney is kidding itsel fif it truly believes it is a genuine flag prospect and will get exposed again against all conquering Brisbane. Yes they have beaten the Lions in the past, but they've been worked out since then, and Brisbane has duly won the past three clashes. In essence, the Swans have an overt Hall reliance and have not fully compensated for the need to move injured Goodes away from full-on ruck/forward play. Their annoying penchant for overworking short plays is always punished by quality sides, and the brilliant Lions will run amok if they try it on here. Premiership number 4 for the Lions is a near certainty, and they should win well here.

Frankly, I don't much care about the other games...


CyberKev
 

Cricketer

Juniors
Messages
139
Crows
Blues
Tigers (Go you good thing)
Port (who suck)
Lions
Cats
Dees
Weagles

Good to see no blood letting this week at Tigerland - something we don't need right now. Just need to pick a coach now to see us to the light at the end of a very long tunnel.
 

Beaussie

First Grade
Messages
6,021
Adelaide vs Kangaroos
Carlton vs Fremantle
Collingwood vs Richmond
Essendon vs Port Adelaide
Sydney vs Brisbane Lions
Geelong vs St Kilda
Melbourne vs Hawthorn
West Coast vs Western Bulldogs
 

Cupid Stunt

Moderator
Messages
2,815
Finally I'm back from the wilderness & have a new net connection. Time to put my crappy predictions back in public.

Crows.
Freo.
Collingwood. I hate picking Collingwood to win but then again I plain hate Richmond! :lol:
Port.
Sydney.
St Kilda.
Melbourne.
WESTERN. C'mon Kev, keep the faith son. Your starting to sound like a few ex players. ;-)
 

meltiger

First Grade
Messages
6,268
CyberKev said:
AuckMel said:
Having a shocking round.

I'm a mere 1 for!

Just so long as Hawthorn doesn't continue the upsets today!

Only game I would have considered an upset was possibly Friday night -

Richmond are shittehouse! Were never going to beat Collingwood
Essendon under the roof at the Dome were always going to thump Port
Fremantle are much better than Carlton, were always going to hammer them
Sydney has a good record against Brisbane and I would have run with home ground advantage in a H&A match

Adelaide - This one really depends on how much you rate Nth Melbourne I suppose, probably would have tipped the Roos.

:( Have a strong feeling we may have one of our group as Tool of the week next weekend .... :(
 

Raider_69

Post Whore
Messages
61,174
afl blows absolute goat but the story is my mate has a new girl, who is a mad swans fan, her very very hot friend is interested in me and we are all going to an afl game soon (f***ed if i know which one :lol: )

anyways my mate and i are mad league fans and find afl boring as bat sh*t but in aid to help my love life ive gotta go to this crap. We cant get into it what so ever so we are exploring new ways... gambling is all we came up with, i had no intentions of going untill he said he needed me there and being a great friend that i am, i told him i would take one for the team, plus her friend is going 8) :lol: ... but dont worry, we are dragging them along to a league finals game, im banking on a raiders semi-final at the SFS :lol:

We put a lean 50 on the hawks to beat melbourne with out logic being when the coach gets the arse the team is a sure thing for the next week

AFL experts, how good is our 50 looking?
 

CyberKev

Moderator
Staff member
Messages
2,323
Raider_69 said:
We put a lean 50 on the hawks to beat melbourne with out logic being when the coach gets the arse the team is a sure thing for the next week

AFL experts, how good is our 50 looking?


Absolutely sensational...












FOR SPORTSBET! :p
 

meltiger

First Grade
Messages
6,268
CyberKev said:
Raider_69 said:
We put a lean 50 on the hawks to beat melbourne with out logic being when the coach gets the arse the team is a sure thing for the next week

AFL experts, how good is our 50 looking?


Absolutely sensational...












FOR SPORTSBET! :p


;-)

Thank god for Hawthorn, they don't make Richmond look so bad :)
 

CyberKev

Moderator
Staff member
Messages
2,323
meltiger said:
Thank god for Hawthorn, they don't make Richmond look so bad :)

Its our job :(

That being said, I expect the Hawks to put the wooden spoon in temporary jeopardy by beating the Bulldogs this week...

Fabulous effort by the Tigers to lose Saturday's thriller and all but ensure a priority pick for the club in the upcoming draft.

Given that Richmond has Hawthorn in Round 21 (their only probable win for the remainder of the season), a win on the weekend would have effectively cost the Tigers a prized pick 2 or 3 in the draft. Well done, Spud!

As it stands now, I expect Hawthorn (picks 1 & 4), Western (2 & 5) & Richmond (3 & 6) to fill the bottom 3 places in that order.

From a Hawk perspective, I was barracking extra hard for the Tigers on Saturday, as the best scenario for us is for both Richmond & the Hounds to get 6 wins, leaving us with picks 1 & 2.

Still, gut feeling aside, we're still ordinary enough to get rolled by the Dogs this week, so its not entirely out of the question.

CyberKev
 
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