AJC Sires' Produce Stakes (G1) - Randwick 15th April

[Macca_]

Still 100 in the noms. Will post them Wednesday with final acceptors.

 

[Macca_]

Sires Produce field
A field of 15 have accepted for this Saturday’s second leg of the two-year-old triple crown the $400,000 G1 AJC Sires’ Produce Stakes over 1400m.
Golden Slipper winner Miss Finland has accepted to run as has her stablemate Churchill Downs and pre post Golden Slipper favourite Casino Prince.
The final field is below and the barrier draw will be done this afternoon:

$450,000 AJC Sires' Produce Stakes 1400m

Horse Trainer Wgt
CASINO PRINCE Anthony Cummings 56.5
CHURCHILL DOWNS David Hayes 56.5
DIEGO GARCIA Gai Waterhouse 56.5
DOWN THE WICKET Gary Portelli 56.5
EXCITES Guy Walter 56.5
JUST MAMBO John O'Shea 56.5
LUVULEO Graeme Rogerson 56.5
MENTALITY John Hawkes 56.5
MY MIDDI Marc Conners 56.5
O'CALLAHERN Darryl Duke 56.5
RUBRIC Clarry Conners 56.5
DE LAGO MIST David Hayes 54.5
MISS FINLAND David Hayes 54.5
PLAYGROUND EXPRESS Kelly Schweida 54.5
UNIVERSAL QUEEN (NZ) Bede Murray 54.5

 

[juggalo_strit]

Miss Finland in a canter.

Will most probably ridiculous odds though.

 

[les amber]

Churchill Downs came home well last start & will go better this time around..

 

[Macca_]

Hayes may well win this, but it may not be with a horse most people may think....

 

[juggalo_strit]

De Lago Mist.........
MMMMMM
I don't think so Macca.

 

[Macca_]

Why not though? She's been as green as green can get as far as 2 year olds go and has won a G2 and G3 in it's past 2 starts. Also trialled nicely in Sydney since coming up...

I'm waiting to have a good look at the form, but at this stage, she's a good chance for mine...

 

[juggalo_strit]

Here is the barrier draw:

1 - CHURCHILL DOWNS 11
2 - DIEGO GARCIA 10
3 - CASINO PRINCE 7
4 - DOWN THE WICKET 4
5 - LUVULEO 3
6 - MENTALITY 12
7 - JUST MAMBO 1
8 - MY MIDDI 6
9 - O'CALLAHERN 15
10 - RUBRIC 5
11 - EXCITES 13
12 - MISS FINLAND 8
13 - DE LAGO MIST 4
14 - UNIVERSAL QUEEN (NZ) 9
15 - PLAYGROUND EXPRESS 2

 

[juggalo_strit]

Well Macca,
at least its drawn a gate!

 

[Billy Gunn]

This is very hard to pick as the group begind Miss FInland in the Slipper all looked like a little extra ground would suit.

But did Miss Finland have any gears left in her win?

Again thinking boxed quinella from 1,2,4,10,11

 

[Macca_]

Fixed Odds -

No Runner Win
12 Miss Finland 2.20
1 Churchill Downs 7.00
13 De Lago Mist 9.00
6 Mentality 11.00
14 Universal Queen 11.00
3 Casino Prince 13.00
7 Just Mambo 13.00
11 Excites 21.00
2 Diego Garcia 21.00
4 Down The Wicket 21.00
8 My Middi 26.00
10 Rubric 34.00
5 Luvuleo 67.00
15 Playground Express 81.00
9 O'Callahern 101.00

 

[Macca_]

Macs Numbers -
13,12,1,4,3,6

Sticking with De Lago Mist. Been on past 2 starts and see no reason to get off. She's be green in both last starts and had she been more 'pro like' would have won both starts by more. Had a barrier trial in Sydney in preparation and hopefully she's matured that little bit more. Drawn well and Nikolic who rode her in that trial will ride. She was very strong over the last 300m when challenged over 1400m last start and will run this right out.

Miss Finland had the Slipper field covered quite easily. Don't see anything from that turning the tables on her. Only concern would be if this is an after thought and she was set for the Slipper. Churchill Downs was a nice run on Saturday and he'll be in this one at the end. I think that's the trifecta...

Down the Wicket looks to be an improving type whilst Casino Prince cost himself any chance by missing the kick in the Slipper. Still was entitled to get closer to them though. Mentality will run well also.

At the odds, going De Lago Mist. Already well ahead on her and happy to stick. Only thing I have a concern over is the Sydney way of going. She handles that, she's a good chance to win it.

 

[Moffo]

Universal Queen or Churchill

 

[Macca_]

Form -

http://www.racenet.com.au/form/form_ind2.asp?venue=randwick&mdate=4/15/2006&race=5

 

[Nuffs]

i was going to go with CASINO PRINCE but i've been told that he's probably ready for a break now

so i've switched to MENTALITY

great win last start when up to 1400m. Beadman on board. barrier wont worry too much. previously had good form through casino prince and kaphero

 

[juggalo_strit]

Miss Finland has been scratched

 

[juggalo_strit]

http://www.racenet.com.au/n/FlashNews.asp

 

[chili pepper]

With Miss Finland out I think Churchill Downs will win - will appreciate the extra 200m and hopefully may be ridden back in the field

Universal Queen toughest to beat from the other Hayes runner and Mentaility

 

[Macca_]

Damn, I should have taken the 11's about De Lago Mist on Thursday. When they put the new one up tomorrow, they'll be gone.

 

[Macca_]

Racenet Preview -

Race 5 INGLIS SIRES' PRODUCE STAKES (1400m) at 2.25pm

Joice’s thoughts – Like these three as the trifecta and could even standout Miss Finland after she toyed with a similar line-up in winning the Slipper last week. The 1400m will suit her as much if not more than most of last week’s rivals and at the set weights is the one to beat. De Lago Mist and Mentality are coming through different form-lines and have the advantage of being proven over the 1400m. Work these three to best suit yourself.

Payne’s thoughts –I’m probably mad but I’m going to tip Casino Prince to beat Miss Finland here. Forget Casino Prince went round in the Slipper and the $13 looks very juicy. He’s much better than what we saw last Saturday and I’m expecting him to bounce back here. Miss Finland the obvious danger. She was awesome last week and it’s hard to see anything that didn’t have an excuse last week turning the tables here while this is where Universal Queen will show us how good she is here with a better run than last week.

Joice’s Tips – Miss Finland (12), De Lago Mist (13), Mentality (6)
Payne’s Tips – Casino Prince (3), Miss Finland (12), Universal Queen (14)