Can Eels still make the 8?

[bartman]

I think 29 points will be the cut off... but perhaps there will be two teams on that and the better for and against will get 8th spot.

Either way, I think we'll be one win short...

 

[fish eel]

we're still yet to win three in a row this year.

we are capable of winning the next 5 games, but I hope we're looking no further than the Sharks match.

 

[Parra Steve]

No chance. I dont think we can even afford to lose one game we'd also have to hope teams ahead of us fall over, Cowboys would seem most likely.

 

[Twizzle]

it will probably get down to the last game against the Drags

 

[SDM]

What is all this no chance stuff?

Is says can they, not will they.

 

[pedge]

YES!​

I did ladder predictor had the eels in 7th spot on 29 pts.

The beauty of the Eels predicament is not only do we play several teams above us on the ladder ( Knights, Tigers, Panthers and Dragons) But they also play other teams in the 8 so provided we win all our games and only drop 1 (most likley Dragons rd 26) The Eels will make the 8!

Important games:

Rd 21

Rabbits vs Dogs
Raiders vs Broncos
Titans vs Cowboys
Tigers vs Eagles

Rd 22

Panthers vs Dragons
Eagles vs Rabbits
Storm vs Cowboys

Rd 23

Broncos Vs Panthers
Cowboys Vs Titans
Knights Vs Storm
Rabbits Vs Titans

Rd 24

Dragons Vs Broncos
Knights Vs Cowboys
Panthers Vs Rabbits
Storm Vs Eagles

Rd 25

Cowboys Vs Broncos
Rabbits Vs Dragons
Titans Vs Tigers

Rd 26

Knights Vs Panthers
Eagles Vs Titans
Tigers Vs Dogs

Plus other results.

If high lighted teams win and Eels drop only 1 Game they Will make the 8, and depending on other results could finnish as high as 7th or 6th.

bit off topic, but where did you have the dragons and manly coming in? Wanna put a bet on for that quinella for the GF, just want to see if they will meet before that in the semis though...

and for the record, i think we can...well we definitely can mathematically, and i think brisbane and the cowboys will both fall away, and possibly the knights, leaving a spot for someone to sneak in like us, the bunnies or the tigz!

 

[Bigfella]

not only do we need to win all but 1 game of those remaining - we need a team (or 2) in the 8 already to start losing fairly regularly

I think the first part of the equation is the toughest TBH.

 

[JoeyJoJo83]

Can Parra make the top eight? Yes. Will they make the top 8? Well thats up to the boys to decide if they show up and play footy as they have done the past few weeks I cannnot see a reason why they can't win every game, and thats what we need to do win every game to make the top 8 none of this 5 from 6

 

[J.hardiplank]

Yes we'll make it with a great run like in '06, but then take on the Dragons in week one, put in a good effort but ultimately lose because of 3 'NO TRY' calls from Bill Harrigan that were blatant Krisnan Inu, spectacular specials, diving 5 metres out to score in the corners.

And why? Cause if Billy Harrigan can't do it, then nobody can.

 

[Suitman]

but I hope we're looking no further than the Sharks match.

Thanks, Cliche Man. :lol:

Suity

 

[lingard]

No we can't, I'll eat my arm off if we do.

Could you put that on Yu-tube for us? God I hope they do it! :lol:

 

[lingard]

Yes we'll make it with a great run like in '06, but then take on the Dragons in week one, put in a good effort but ultimately lose because of 3 'NO TRY' calls from Bill Harrigan that were blatant Krisnan Inu, spectacular specials, diving 5 metres out to score in the corners.

And why? Cause if Billy Harrigan can't do it, then nobody can.

Oh, mate, you forgot Robson`s two disallowed tries in the first half, and that forward pass to Lowrie that wasn`t a forard pass! That f**kin ref!

 

[Casper The Ghost]

12. PARRAMATTA (19 pts, -108) - Sharks (a), Knights (h), Warriors (h), Wests Tigers (a), Panthers (h), Dragons (a)

The Eels have not peaked yet. Including the recent Broncos game the Eels have generally been improving for the past month. All facets of their game are now starting to come together and if they keep it up, keep improving, why can't they make the 8. It's not beyond a realistic possibility that the Eels could dramatically improve their points differential over the next three weeks and finish on 29 Points......

Circumstances - Eels Next 5 Games Points Differential
1. Beat Sharks (away) - Season is over for Sharks 25+
2. Beat Knights (home) - Psychological scars 25+
3. Beat Warriors (home) - Season Is Over for Warriors 25+
4. Beat Tigers (away ANZ) - Payback 10+ (possibly 15+)
5. Beat Panthers (home) - Payback 6+ (possibly 16+)

If they win the next 5 games the Eels will be on 29 Points with a differential close to even with a great chance on the + side.

Then it all comes down to the Dragons game. If they lose by a few points the Eels could still sneak in to 7th position in the top 8.

Top 8 certainties are
Dragons
Bulldogs
Storm
Titans
Sea Eagles

The next 3 are uncertain at this stage
Panthers
Knights
Cowboys

But I think the Cowboys will definitely get in to the top 8

Others who could sneak in to the top 8 are
Souths
Broncos
West Tigers
Eels

Season is over for
Raiders
Warriors
Sharks
Roosters

One realistic scenario looking at the last 6 rounds..............

Cowboys (22p +86) could lose to Titans, lose to Storm, beat Bulldogs, beat Knights, beat Broncos, beat Roosters = 30 Points

Broncos (22p -81) could lose to Raiders, beat Sharks, beat Panthers, lose to Dragons, lose to Cowboys, beat Raiders = 28 Points

Knights (24p +24) beat Roosters, lose to Eels, lose to Storm, lose to Cowboys, lose to Raiders, beat Panthers = 28 Points

Panthers (24p +26) beat Warriors, lose to Dragons, lose to Broncos, beat Rabbits, lose to Eels, lose to Knights = 28 Points (possibly 32p if they beat Broncos & Rabbits or 34p if they also beat the Knights)

Rabbits (21p +12) could lose to Bulldogs, lose to Sea Eagles, lose to Titans, lose to Panthers, lose to Dragons, beat the Sharks = 23 Points (possibly 27p if they beat Panthers & Titans)

Tigers (20p +19) lose to Sea Eagles, lose to Roosters, beat Sharks, lose to Eels, lose to Titans, lose to Bulldogs = 22 Points (possibly 24p if they beat Roosters)

There appears to be a very very good chance for the Eels to sneak in to the top 8 with the Panthers while the Knights, Broncos, Rabbits & Tigers drop-out....

Dragons 42p
Bulldogs 38p
Storm 35p
Sea Eagles 34p
Titans 34p
Cowboys 30p
Eels 29p
Panthers 28p or Knights (Broncos differential will cause them to miss out) I also feel the Knights will miss out due to differential as well.

If the Eels beat the Dragons they will jump ahead of the Cowboys.

More than likely the Eels will finish 8th or 7th and play either the Dragons or the Bulldogs in the first semis. Ideally the Eels finish 7th and play Bulldogs at ANZ Stadium which will be just like a home ground advantage for them.

Note: The points differential will not effect the Eels 7th or 8th position unless they draw one of their last 6 games.

Boo Casper

 

[B-Tron 3000]

The big advantage we have over the teams just ahead of us is that the highest ranked team we play before Dragons in the last round is placed 6th.

The others have tougher runs, and if we win 5 of 6, it's not a stretch to see the teams on 21 and 22 points losing 50% of their games and us sneaking in by a point.

I really think it is down to us, but I think we will trip up against either Knights or Penrith, meaning that we need to beat Dragons in R26 to make it.

 

[Avenger]

Souths will not make the 8. They have a horror run home.

 

[hindy111]

i personaly think we can sneak in there
We are only getting better each game and other teams are dropping off.
I only we didnt drop that penrith game and titans recently we be in there : P

I have a feeling the Knights will end our run thou

 

[SDM]

I'll get excited if we win the next 2.