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Ok, I just wrote this up for another site, but thought you all might like a look. This is just my opinion, and if you disagree, that's fine. Just don't get all cantankerous if I rate you poorly. Hell, write your own and prove me wrong.
2005 NRL Preview
Canterbury Bulldogs
The Bulldogs overcame immense negative publicity at the beginning of last season, and cruised to an emphatic grand final win that will go down as one of the scrappiest but most emotional deciders in recent years. The loss of experienced players such as Hutch Maivia and Steven Price may hinder the Bulldogs somewhat, but with the maturing of players such as Sonny-Bill Williams, Andrew Ryan, and Reni Maitua- it could be back to back for the Bulldogs.
Key Player: Andrew Ryan. How well this talented Parramatta import handles the pressure of captaincy will go a long way to deciding the Bulldogs fortunes. Developing into one of the games best workhorse forwards, Ryan will have big shoes to fill after Prices departure.
Wildcard: Sonny-Bill Williams. The meteoric rise of this Kiwi sensation has stunned even his most staunch supporters. We all expected big things from him, but no one would have predicted Sonny-Bills rise from hyped up junior to representative sensation and arguably the finest young player to emerge since Andrew Johns in the mid-nineties. Sonny-Bill will be the ace in the hole for the Bulldogs, and all signs point away from the dreaded second year syndrome that has haunted many other intriguing prospects.
Up and Comer: Ben Czislowski. He may look suspiciously like Nathan Hindmarsh hell, he plays a bit like the worlds best back rower. Snatched from the Queensland Cup, Czislowski is a gifted prop who seems to have fit right in at the Bulldogs club. Expect for him to deputise well for the likes of OMeley this season.
Prediction: Have perhaps taken the mantle of team to beat off a Sydney side that has lost a lot of talent after last years dramatic grand final loss. If the Dogs can stay controversy free, theyll go all the way again this year. The scramble to sign Willie Mason, Braith Anasta, and Sonny-Bill Williams may be a distraction the reigning premiers dont need.
Predicted Finish: 1st
Sydney Roosters
In the wake of another upset grand final loss, the Roosters have been unable to retain the world class squad that has seen them as the dominant side in recent years. Its not just the loss of inspirational captain Brad Fittler, either. The Roosters have lost the likes of Justin Hodges and Shannon Hegarty from their backline, as well as the likes of Peter Cusack from their pack. The recruiting has been strong, but can they overcome their Fittler hoodoo?
Key Player: Brett Finch. Theres a lot of weight on this young halfbacks shoulders, as he is expected to take over from Brad Fittler in leading the Roosters around the park. Even if Craig Wing slides into halfback, the playmaking and field kicking of Finch will inevitably rule the fortunes of the side.
Wildcard: Brett Firman. When we last saw Firman doing the rounds, he was touted as the next great halfback from St George. Tragically, an injury ended his run at the top, and by the time he returned he had been replaced by the equally impressive Matthew Head. 2005 represents Firmans big chance to return to the big league, with only Craig Wing as competition for the halfback role.
Up and Comer: Anthony Tupou. The advent of this talented Newcastle junior was perhaps overshadowed by Sonny-Bill Williams arrival, but theres no doubting his immense potential. Tupou has the same impact value that Willie Mason had when he first burst onto the scene, and I wouldnt be surprised to see him starting sometime this year.
Prediction: The signings of Joel Monaghan, Amos Roberts, and Brett Firman may not be enough to compensate for the loss of more experienced players at the end of last season. The class of the Roosters is evident though, and it would be a foolish man who doesnt expect them to be a threat again this year.
Predicted Finish: 2nd
Penrith Panthers
Like the Roosters, Penrith have lost a lot of talent and havent been able to compensate for it in terms of experience. Ryan Girdler, Martin Lang, and Amos Roberts have all moved on, and the Panthers chance at creating a dynasty might be gone as quickly as it came.
Key Player: Craig Gower. More than ever, the former Australian halfback will be required to lead by example in 2005. He has lost a lot of his supporting cast, and his combination with Preston Campbell and the outside backs will again rule the fortunes of his club.
Wildcard: Luke Lewis. With the departure of Ryan Girdler and Paul Whatuira, Luke Lewis is the only centre certainty the Panthers have right now. Showed last season that he is equally lethal in the centres as on the wing, and will be looking to form a combination with his wing partner as soon as possible.
Up and Comer: Trent Clayton. The sudden loss of talent in the Panthers backline may be the break this young winger has needed. Not the youngest guy to come through, Claytons extra experience may be of value to the Panthers with their younger squad.
Prediction: Penrith still have a very good squad, and that is a tribute to the quality of their junior development. This, and the presence of a winning culture at the club, should seem them again compete for a place in the grand final.
Predicted Finish: 3rd
North Queensland Cowboys
Im going to resist the temptation to get caught up in the emotion of last years semi finals berth, and say that I honestly dont see the Cowboys going one better this year. They rode into the semi-final on emotion, and in the end, the class of Sydney shone through. The weight of expectation may hurt the Cowboys this season, but expect them to make the eight.
Key Player: Travis Norton. With the loss of uber-experienced Glenn Morrison, Norton has extra leadership roles to handle this season. An injury riddled season last year slowed the gifted former Canterbury player down in 2004, so expect him to bounce right back this year.
Wildcard: Carl Webb. He tore the Sharks to shreds in the Cowboys first trial, but if Webb is anything, its unpredictable. Only two years ago he was on top of the world as a fiery forward in the Queensland outfit, and last season he spent much of the year playing reserve grade football for the Toowoomba Clydesdales. If the Cowboys can keep him fired up and dedicated, he could be a bolter for an Aussie jersey.
Up and Comer: Aaron Payne. The form of this pacy hooker can claim a lot of credit for North Queenslands end of year success, and watch for him to build on it this year. Much like PJ Marsh in the very successful 2001 Parramatta side, Payne has a great effect on the game when he interchanges with a more stable player like Leigh McWilliams off the bench.
Prediction: If the Cowboys can ignore the sudden wave of faith people are showing in them, theyll be a top four finisher- they certainly have the side for it. However, if they get too caught up in their own expectations, they could well drop the big games and find themselves sitting lower on the ladder.
Predicted Finish: 7th
Melbourne Storm
The Storm outperformed their own expectations last season to make it achingly close to the penultimate week in the NRL calendar, but I cant see them doing it again. Perhaps I should be wary after writing them off in last seasons preview, but the Storm outfit just doesnt possess the same class it has in seasons gone by.
Key Player: Matt Orford. Once again it will be Matt Orford who rules the fortunes of Melbourne, the diminutive halfback unlucky not to have represented Australia last year. Orford has it all, and it is perhaps his skill that has seen Melbourne survive the loss of big name players such as Tawera Nikau, Robbie Ross, and Brett Kimmorley over the years.
Wildcard: Billy Slater. Everyone remembers that try from the State of Origin, and hes been pulling out gems like that for quite some time now. Bulldogs fans will remember one length of the field effort that very nearly saw the Storm score an upset win during the regular season. Slaters defence may not be world class, but his quicksilver speed and agility makes him perhaps the games most dangerous runner in open play.
Up and Comer: Steve Turner. Came to Melbourne from Penrith with hopes of creating a name for himself, but has so far been stranded behind Slater and Ross for a crack at the fullback spot. An immensely talented player, Turner may appear on the wing or in the centres this season.
Prediction: The Storm always defy my expectations of them, and Id imagine quite a few other peoples expectations as well. Theyll again be competitive, but I think 2005 could well be the year that sees them sink out of top eight contention unless they can keep all of their names on deck.
Predicted Finish: 9th
Brisbane Broncos
The Broncos round out a list of four certainties for a top eight finish, with their combination of top quality juniors and experienced veterans assuring them of another year at the top of the feeding chain. The Broncos may have lost their inspirational captain, but Wayne Bennetts brilliance as a coach has again prepared them for the storm.
Key Player: Darren Lockyer. You dont don the mantle of worlds best player without being a damn fine player, and with the Australian captaincy set to go down to the wire this year, the soft-spoken Queensland captain will be doubly keen to have a strong year.
Wildcard: Shane Webcke. It remains to be seen whether Webcke can still handle the pace of the game, after having a quiet season in 2004. Theres no doubting his commitment and toughness, but as he gets on in years, Webcke is fast falling from grace as the games former #1 prop.
Up and Comer: Gary Tupou. We all liked what we saw of him at the conclusion of last season, with a few people already comparing him to Queensland greats Lote Tuqiri and Wendell Sailor. Tupou could be another bolter for a Queensland jersey, provided he can improve his defense.
Prediction: Brisbane will again be a paragon of quality and professionalism, and only State of Origin can derail what should be a very successful season for them. If they can overcome the Origin hangover they inevitably experience, then they could send the premiership trophy back north of the border for the first time since 2000.
Predicted Finish: 4th
St George/Illawarra Dragons
Could 2005 be the year that the Dragons realise their immense potential and snare a premiership? Every season theyre talked up as the favourites, and every season it comes crashing down around them. To sum it up, Ill quote my prediction for the Dragons from last year. Theyre always billed as the side who could win it on paper, but like so many games of Dungeons and Dragons played in dimly lit University rooms- at the end of the day its all just a fantasy.
Key Player: Trent Barrett. Fans have been waiting a long time for Barrett to bring the form he has in representative games to club football, and if the Dragons are going to be a success this season, it will be on the back of some good form from the sometime NSW and Australian five eighth.
Wildcard: Michael Ennis. The talented Newcastle utility has been brought in to fill the void left by Mark Riddell, a man who, on his day, was perhaps the best player in the Dragons lineup. Where Riddell was an on again off again sensation, Ennis proved in his time in an injury riddled Newcastle lineup that he was a reliable and industrious hooker. Perhaps not as flashy as the likes of Buderus or Wing, Ennis possesses a good work ethic and passing game that could work wonders for the Dragons.
Up and Comer: Matthew Head. Weve already seen a lot of Head, but watch for him to mature further this season. In fact, Head is almost as important to the Dragons premiership dreams as his halves partner, Trent Barrett.
Prediction: The Dragons certainly have a team capable of winning a premiership, but that mysterious x-factor is continually lacking. 2005 could be more of the same, or a shakeup in the side could be just what the doctor ordered to see them realise their potential.
Predicted Finish: 6th
Canberra Raiders
Last season the Raiders managed to make the finals against popular expectation, but the side that takes the field this year is substantially weaker than last seasons. The big losses are Joel Monaghan and Luke Davico, and whilst theyve invested in some experience, the Raiders might be en route to their first wooden spoon.
Key Player: Jason Smith. A few years ago Jason Smith was one of the games finest players, representing Queensland on many occasions and being an integral part of the Parramatta lineup. A few years in the English comp may have softened him up, but he is without a doubt the key playmaker in the Raiders outfit.
Wildcard: Lincoln Withers. After a stunning season for the Dragons, Withers heads to Canberra with the promise of first crack at the halfback jersey. Known already for his gutsy defensive style, Withers will need to adopt the mindset of a starting playmaker after several seasons of being a utility.
Up and Comer: Marshal Chalk. Another in a recent string of quality backs coming out of the nations capital, Chalk showed in his few games last season that he is a real flyer who knows his way to the try-line. Whether or not it was a flash in the pan remains to be seen, but alongside Terry Campese, Chalk is perhaps the Raiders best future star.
Prediction: The Raiders will need their three big signings to click and click early, or else it could be a long year for fans of the former glamour club. Alongside Souths and Wests, the Raiders may be embroiled in an end of season fight to avoid a spoon.
Predicted Finish: 14th
Wests Tigers
Even Tigers fans are bracing themselves for a long year, after the side failed to make any marquee signings, and now has more to worry about in the form of Benji Marshals continuing injury saga.
Key Player: Benji Marshal. Its a real worry that the key to Wests success rests on a player not long out of high school, and worse, not known for his durability. Another pre-season injury threatens to see Marshal miss the opening exchanges of the season, and unless he can get fit and stay fit, the Tigers could be without their best player in a year where the rest of their line-up doesnt exactly shine.
Wildcard: Paul Whatuira. In 2003, riding the success of his Penrith team, Whatuira was amongst the games most damaging runners- but last year struggled with injury and poor form in a star-studded Panthers backline. As the Tigers biggest signing, Whatuira will have a lot of pressure on him to perform.
Up and Comer: Dene Halatau. Made his international debut in last years tri-series, and will be expected to take on more responsibility as the current crop of Tigers young guns comes through.
Prediction: The Tigers dont have the talent or the winning culture required to work miracles this season, and like several other clubs, might find themselves at the beginning of a series of poor seasons.
Predicted Finish: 13th
Newcastle Knights
Perhaps a controversial start to the season will signal a successful year for the waning Knights, who have started their 2005 season with controversy akin to that experienced by the Bulldogs last year. Without several experienced players leaving, its time for the Knights impressive junior ranks to shine through. If they cant, and if Joey Johns cant stay fit, it could be a record low for the Novocastrians.
Key Player: Andrew Johns. Without a doubt, the key to any hope for a Newcastle premiership. Has perhaps lost the title of worlds best player to Darren Lockyer, and will be out to stay fit and recapture it this season. The Knights showed they werent hopeless in his absence last year, but will be hoping against hope that he stays on deck this year.
Wildcard: Kirk Reynoldson. The Knights only big name signing in the off-season, Ned Kelly has been touted as a future Queensland representative. He certainly has big shoes to fill, expected to step into the yawning gap left by the departure of Ben Kennedy.
Up and Comer: Kade Snowden. Newcastles answer to Sonny-Bill Williams, this exciting back row prospect has been being groomed for several seasons now. Michael Hagans choice to include Snowden in this years twenty five man squad indicates his debut may come soon, and many Newcastle fans are salivating over the prospect of him being the next world class forward to emerge from Newcastle.
Prediction: A lot of people are underestimating the quality of the Knights juniors, looking at last seasons poor performances as an indication of their quality. However, the Knights injury toll extended beyond Andrew Johns last season, and the experience for the young guns will work wonders for their confidence. Watch for the Knights to improve on last seasons finish, provided Johns stays fit.
Predicted Finish: 8th
Cronulla Sharks
Sharks fans are talking up their sides chances already, with hometown hero Adam Dykes returning and hopefully forming a combination with Brett Kimmorley to rival that he shared with Preston Campbell in 2001. Whilst the signing does herald an improved halves performance from the Sharks, it remains to be seen whether the rest of their outfit is up to it.
Key Player: Brett Kimmorley. Noddy was the key to Cronullas season last year, and if he can form a combination with Adam Dykes, the Sharks could be a real bolter for a top eight finish. Its a big if however, with Kimmorley having failed to form a memorable combination with anyone since his days at Melbourne.
Wildcard: Adam Dykes. Dykes was a world class five-eighth a few seasons ago, but went into hibernation during his time at Parramatta due to the sides glaring absence of quality halves. If Dykes can return to the form that saw him aid Preston Campbell to a Dally M medal in 2001, the Sharks could surprise a lot of people.
Up and Comer: Daniel Dumas. Showed glimmers of being a top quality footballer last season, after a shaky debut. Dumas is a hard hitting defender, and not a bad player with the ball in hand.
Prediction: The hopes of Cronullas season rest squarely on the ability of their halves pairing to gel. Brett Kimmorley isnt renowned for playing well with others, and if he and Dykes dont click, Cronulla can kiss its chance at a finals berth goodbye.
Predicted Finish: 12th
Parramatta Eels
The recruitment drive from Parramatta has been nothing short of impressive, but the absence of a recognised half continues to haunt the Eels- who havent ever recovered from losing Jason Taylor at the conclusion of their record breaking 2001 campaign.
Key Player: Nathan Hindmarsh. Parramatta fans must shudder when they imagine what last season could have been like without this hard-working, inspirational forward. Without a doubt the finest forward in the game at the moment, Hindmarsh performs a little bit of magic every time he touches the ball.
Wildcard: Timana Tahu. The former Australian winger left Newcastle after the club refused to play him in the centres, and based on his few games there, they had good reason. Tahu is a remarkably gifted attacking player, but his defensive inadequacies are on a par with Chris Walker from the Roosters. With Daniel Wagon the other centre, however, Tahu will see a lot of ball- which can only be good for the mercurial three-quarter.
Up and Comer: Tim Smith. This gifted young halfback could perhaps be the answer to the prayers of Brian Smith and the Parramatta Eels army. After the Chris Thorman and Michael Witt experiments failed to produce dividends, Smith has come onto the scene and dismantled the Sydney Roosters in the Eels first trial of 2005. Was it an isolated incident? Perhaps, but Smith is the best prospect the Eels have had in a long time.
Prediction: The Eels recruitment has netted the big signatures of Timana Tahu, Mark Riddell, Glenn Morrison, and Paul Stringer- but it will all be for nought if the halves arent firing. If they are, expect Parramatta to perhaps recapture some of their 2001 form. Without it, however, it could be another year of disappointment for the blue and gold.
Predicted Finish: 11th
Manly Sea Eagles
The most active club in the off-season, Manly are looking to buy a premiership in the same way they did during the clubs glory days. Will it work? The signatures are certainly impressive, and it wouldnt surprise me to see the Sea Eagles as 2005s big improvers.
Key Player: Ben Kennedy. The club bid big on this world class forward, and its a gamble considering BKs history of injury shortened seasons. Kennedy and Buderus were the only thing that kept Newcastle away from a wooden spoon last year, and with the likes of Menzies and Kite around him, Ben Kennedy could turn Manlys forward pack into a truly dominant force.
Wildcard: Michael Witt. Parramattas treatment of this gifted half was nothing short of insanity, and theyll be ruing their decision once the goal-kicking star begins to win games for the Sea Eagles.
Up and Comer: Brett Stewart. The only reason the junior Kangaroo fullback isnt mentioned in the same breath as Sonny-Bill and Hunt is because of the company he keeps, and a much improved Manly roster could see the talented fullbacks name finally get the recognition it deserves.
Prediction: Alongside New Zealand, the Sea Eagles should be 2005s big improvers. It may not be enough to overcome a long period of losing, but expect for 2005 to see the Sea Eagles gradually begin their return to the form that saw them dominant the mid-nineties.
Predicted Finish: 10th
New Zealand Warriors
The biggest disappointment of the 2005 season after the Coffs Harbour allegations that soiled the games names. The Warriors have a world class squad, yet last season only narrowly avoided a wooden spoon, lost their top quality coach, and saw marquee players abandon a sinking ship. The recruitment of Steven Price and Ruben Wiki will return the Warriors to their 2003 form.
Key Player: Stacey Jones. Reports say that the pint-sized Kiwi fullback is confident again, after last season stepping down from his rep duties following poor form. Jones can spark the sometimes lethargic Warriors squad with one darting run, and will be expected to lead by example this year.
Wildcard: Steven Price. Alongside Ruben Wiki, Price has the responsibility of whipping some commitment and confidence into the New Zealand outfit. Its no coincidence that the Warriors struggled immediately after the loss of experienced campaigners such as Ivan Cleary and Kevin Campion, and the presence of these two legends should be the tonic for all of New Zealands recent woes.
Up and Comer: Louis Anderson. Was a surprise inclusion in the New Zealand squad at seasons end, but impressed in both the back row and in hooker. With Vinnie Anderson released to go to London, it remains to be seen whether or not little brother can look after himself.
Prediction: The Warriors will be the dark horses for the 2005 premiership, and you can put money on it. I cant see Ruben Wiki or Steven Price settling for less than a top eight finish, and who wants to argue with two of the toughest forwards in the modern game?
Predicted Finish: 5th
South Sydney Rabbitohs
Its hard to decide whether or not to take Souths emphatic Charity Shield win as an indication of better things to come. Truth be told, the side doesnt look a whole lot better than the one that claimed last seasons wooden spoon, and it would take a miracle for the Rabbitohs to go anywhere near the eight.
Key Player: Bryan Fletcher. As both the captain and the sides only representative player, Fletcher will again be the key to the Rabbitohs success. With a fairly experienced support cast including Shannon Hegarty, Peter Cusack, and Adam MacDougall- Fletcher may be able to lift Souths out of the wooden spoon for the first time since their return (ignoring the year Canterbury earned it as a result of their salary cap breach).
Wildcard: Adam MacDougall. The Mad Dog was impressive before getting injured last season, and will be part of a fairly dangerous backline this season. If he can stay fit, Adam could be on his way back to representative selection.
Up and Comer: Joe Williams. Has impressed for Souths so far, but is he the man to turn the Souths ship around? Some fans think so, and he certainly gave no indication last season that he was one to let a challenge deter him.
Prediction: Unfortunately for Souths fans, their recruitment may not be enough to see them lift themselves out of 15th. Whilst there are a number of top quality players in the lineup, they lack the star who can turn ordinary footballers into superstars.
Predicted Finish: 15th
Predicted Table
1. Canterbury Bulldogs
2. Sydney Roosters
3. Penrith Panthers
4. Brisbane Broncos
5. New Zealand Warriors
6. St George/Illawarra Dragons
7. North Queensland Cowboys
8. Newcastle Knights
9. Melbourne Storm
10. Manly Sea Eagles
11. Parramatta Eels
12. Cronulla Sharks
13. Wests Tigers
14. Canberra Raiders
15. South Sydney Rabbitohs
2005 NRL Preview
Canterbury Bulldogs
The Bulldogs overcame immense negative publicity at the beginning of last season, and cruised to an emphatic grand final win that will go down as one of the scrappiest but most emotional deciders in recent years. The loss of experienced players such as Hutch Maivia and Steven Price may hinder the Bulldogs somewhat, but with the maturing of players such as Sonny-Bill Williams, Andrew Ryan, and Reni Maitua- it could be back to back for the Bulldogs.
Key Player: Andrew Ryan. How well this talented Parramatta import handles the pressure of captaincy will go a long way to deciding the Bulldogs fortunes. Developing into one of the games best workhorse forwards, Ryan will have big shoes to fill after Prices departure.
Wildcard: Sonny-Bill Williams. The meteoric rise of this Kiwi sensation has stunned even his most staunch supporters. We all expected big things from him, but no one would have predicted Sonny-Bills rise from hyped up junior to representative sensation and arguably the finest young player to emerge since Andrew Johns in the mid-nineties. Sonny-Bill will be the ace in the hole for the Bulldogs, and all signs point away from the dreaded second year syndrome that has haunted many other intriguing prospects.
Up and Comer: Ben Czislowski. He may look suspiciously like Nathan Hindmarsh hell, he plays a bit like the worlds best back rower. Snatched from the Queensland Cup, Czislowski is a gifted prop who seems to have fit right in at the Bulldogs club. Expect for him to deputise well for the likes of OMeley this season.
Prediction: Have perhaps taken the mantle of team to beat off a Sydney side that has lost a lot of talent after last years dramatic grand final loss. If the Dogs can stay controversy free, theyll go all the way again this year. The scramble to sign Willie Mason, Braith Anasta, and Sonny-Bill Williams may be a distraction the reigning premiers dont need.
Predicted Finish: 1st
Sydney Roosters
In the wake of another upset grand final loss, the Roosters have been unable to retain the world class squad that has seen them as the dominant side in recent years. Its not just the loss of inspirational captain Brad Fittler, either. The Roosters have lost the likes of Justin Hodges and Shannon Hegarty from their backline, as well as the likes of Peter Cusack from their pack. The recruiting has been strong, but can they overcome their Fittler hoodoo?
Key Player: Brett Finch. Theres a lot of weight on this young halfbacks shoulders, as he is expected to take over from Brad Fittler in leading the Roosters around the park. Even if Craig Wing slides into halfback, the playmaking and field kicking of Finch will inevitably rule the fortunes of the side.
Wildcard: Brett Firman. When we last saw Firman doing the rounds, he was touted as the next great halfback from St George. Tragically, an injury ended his run at the top, and by the time he returned he had been replaced by the equally impressive Matthew Head. 2005 represents Firmans big chance to return to the big league, with only Craig Wing as competition for the halfback role.
Up and Comer: Anthony Tupou. The advent of this talented Newcastle junior was perhaps overshadowed by Sonny-Bill Williams arrival, but theres no doubting his immense potential. Tupou has the same impact value that Willie Mason had when he first burst onto the scene, and I wouldnt be surprised to see him starting sometime this year.
Prediction: The signings of Joel Monaghan, Amos Roberts, and Brett Firman may not be enough to compensate for the loss of more experienced players at the end of last season. The class of the Roosters is evident though, and it would be a foolish man who doesnt expect them to be a threat again this year.
Predicted Finish: 2nd
Penrith Panthers
Like the Roosters, Penrith have lost a lot of talent and havent been able to compensate for it in terms of experience. Ryan Girdler, Martin Lang, and Amos Roberts have all moved on, and the Panthers chance at creating a dynasty might be gone as quickly as it came.
Key Player: Craig Gower. More than ever, the former Australian halfback will be required to lead by example in 2005. He has lost a lot of his supporting cast, and his combination with Preston Campbell and the outside backs will again rule the fortunes of his club.
Wildcard: Luke Lewis. With the departure of Ryan Girdler and Paul Whatuira, Luke Lewis is the only centre certainty the Panthers have right now. Showed last season that he is equally lethal in the centres as on the wing, and will be looking to form a combination with his wing partner as soon as possible.
Up and Comer: Trent Clayton. The sudden loss of talent in the Panthers backline may be the break this young winger has needed. Not the youngest guy to come through, Claytons extra experience may be of value to the Panthers with their younger squad.
Prediction: Penrith still have a very good squad, and that is a tribute to the quality of their junior development. This, and the presence of a winning culture at the club, should seem them again compete for a place in the grand final.
Predicted Finish: 3rd
North Queensland Cowboys
Im going to resist the temptation to get caught up in the emotion of last years semi finals berth, and say that I honestly dont see the Cowboys going one better this year. They rode into the semi-final on emotion, and in the end, the class of Sydney shone through. The weight of expectation may hurt the Cowboys this season, but expect them to make the eight.
Key Player: Travis Norton. With the loss of uber-experienced Glenn Morrison, Norton has extra leadership roles to handle this season. An injury riddled season last year slowed the gifted former Canterbury player down in 2004, so expect him to bounce right back this year.
Wildcard: Carl Webb. He tore the Sharks to shreds in the Cowboys first trial, but if Webb is anything, its unpredictable. Only two years ago he was on top of the world as a fiery forward in the Queensland outfit, and last season he spent much of the year playing reserve grade football for the Toowoomba Clydesdales. If the Cowboys can keep him fired up and dedicated, he could be a bolter for an Aussie jersey.
Up and Comer: Aaron Payne. The form of this pacy hooker can claim a lot of credit for North Queenslands end of year success, and watch for him to build on it this year. Much like PJ Marsh in the very successful 2001 Parramatta side, Payne has a great effect on the game when he interchanges with a more stable player like Leigh McWilliams off the bench.
Prediction: If the Cowboys can ignore the sudden wave of faith people are showing in them, theyll be a top four finisher- they certainly have the side for it. However, if they get too caught up in their own expectations, they could well drop the big games and find themselves sitting lower on the ladder.
Predicted Finish: 7th
Melbourne Storm
The Storm outperformed their own expectations last season to make it achingly close to the penultimate week in the NRL calendar, but I cant see them doing it again. Perhaps I should be wary after writing them off in last seasons preview, but the Storm outfit just doesnt possess the same class it has in seasons gone by.
Key Player: Matt Orford. Once again it will be Matt Orford who rules the fortunes of Melbourne, the diminutive halfback unlucky not to have represented Australia last year. Orford has it all, and it is perhaps his skill that has seen Melbourne survive the loss of big name players such as Tawera Nikau, Robbie Ross, and Brett Kimmorley over the years.
Wildcard: Billy Slater. Everyone remembers that try from the State of Origin, and hes been pulling out gems like that for quite some time now. Bulldogs fans will remember one length of the field effort that very nearly saw the Storm score an upset win during the regular season. Slaters defence may not be world class, but his quicksilver speed and agility makes him perhaps the games most dangerous runner in open play.
Up and Comer: Steve Turner. Came to Melbourne from Penrith with hopes of creating a name for himself, but has so far been stranded behind Slater and Ross for a crack at the fullback spot. An immensely talented player, Turner may appear on the wing or in the centres this season.
Prediction: The Storm always defy my expectations of them, and Id imagine quite a few other peoples expectations as well. Theyll again be competitive, but I think 2005 could well be the year that sees them sink out of top eight contention unless they can keep all of their names on deck.
Predicted Finish: 9th
Brisbane Broncos
The Broncos round out a list of four certainties for a top eight finish, with their combination of top quality juniors and experienced veterans assuring them of another year at the top of the feeding chain. The Broncos may have lost their inspirational captain, but Wayne Bennetts brilliance as a coach has again prepared them for the storm.
Key Player: Darren Lockyer. You dont don the mantle of worlds best player without being a damn fine player, and with the Australian captaincy set to go down to the wire this year, the soft-spoken Queensland captain will be doubly keen to have a strong year.
Wildcard: Shane Webcke. It remains to be seen whether Webcke can still handle the pace of the game, after having a quiet season in 2004. Theres no doubting his commitment and toughness, but as he gets on in years, Webcke is fast falling from grace as the games former #1 prop.
Up and Comer: Gary Tupou. We all liked what we saw of him at the conclusion of last season, with a few people already comparing him to Queensland greats Lote Tuqiri and Wendell Sailor. Tupou could be another bolter for a Queensland jersey, provided he can improve his defense.
Prediction: Brisbane will again be a paragon of quality and professionalism, and only State of Origin can derail what should be a very successful season for them. If they can overcome the Origin hangover they inevitably experience, then they could send the premiership trophy back north of the border for the first time since 2000.
Predicted Finish: 4th
St George/Illawarra Dragons
Could 2005 be the year that the Dragons realise their immense potential and snare a premiership? Every season theyre talked up as the favourites, and every season it comes crashing down around them. To sum it up, Ill quote my prediction for the Dragons from last year. Theyre always billed as the side who could win it on paper, but like so many games of Dungeons and Dragons played in dimly lit University rooms- at the end of the day its all just a fantasy.
Key Player: Trent Barrett. Fans have been waiting a long time for Barrett to bring the form he has in representative games to club football, and if the Dragons are going to be a success this season, it will be on the back of some good form from the sometime NSW and Australian five eighth.
Wildcard: Michael Ennis. The talented Newcastle utility has been brought in to fill the void left by Mark Riddell, a man who, on his day, was perhaps the best player in the Dragons lineup. Where Riddell was an on again off again sensation, Ennis proved in his time in an injury riddled Newcastle lineup that he was a reliable and industrious hooker. Perhaps not as flashy as the likes of Buderus or Wing, Ennis possesses a good work ethic and passing game that could work wonders for the Dragons.
Up and Comer: Matthew Head. Weve already seen a lot of Head, but watch for him to mature further this season. In fact, Head is almost as important to the Dragons premiership dreams as his halves partner, Trent Barrett.
Prediction: The Dragons certainly have a team capable of winning a premiership, but that mysterious x-factor is continually lacking. 2005 could be more of the same, or a shakeup in the side could be just what the doctor ordered to see them realise their potential.
Predicted Finish: 6th
Canberra Raiders
Last season the Raiders managed to make the finals against popular expectation, but the side that takes the field this year is substantially weaker than last seasons. The big losses are Joel Monaghan and Luke Davico, and whilst theyve invested in some experience, the Raiders might be en route to their first wooden spoon.
Key Player: Jason Smith. A few years ago Jason Smith was one of the games finest players, representing Queensland on many occasions and being an integral part of the Parramatta lineup. A few years in the English comp may have softened him up, but he is without a doubt the key playmaker in the Raiders outfit.
Wildcard: Lincoln Withers. After a stunning season for the Dragons, Withers heads to Canberra with the promise of first crack at the halfback jersey. Known already for his gutsy defensive style, Withers will need to adopt the mindset of a starting playmaker after several seasons of being a utility.
Up and Comer: Marshal Chalk. Another in a recent string of quality backs coming out of the nations capital, Chalk showed in his few games last season that he is a real flyer who knows his way to the try-line. Whether or not it was a flash in the pan remains to be seen, but alongside Terry Campese, Chalk is perhaps the Raiders best future star.
Prediction: The Raiders will need their three big signings to click and click early, or else it could be a long year for fans of the former glamour club. Alongside Souths and Wests, the Raiders may be embroiled in an end of season fight to avoid a spoon.
Predicted Finish: 14th
Wests Tigers
Even Tigers fans are bracing themselves for a long year, after the side failed to make any marquee signings, and now has more to worry about in the form of Benji Marshals continuing injury saga.
Key Player: Benji Marshal. Its a real worry that the key to Wests success rests on a player not long out of high school, and worse, not known for his durability. Another pre-season injury threatens to see Marshal miss the opening exchanges of the season, and unless he can get fit and stay fit, the Tigers could be without their best player in a year where the rest of their line-up doesnt exactly shine.
Wildcard: Paul Whatuira. In 2003, riding the success of his Penrith team, Whatuira was amongst the games most damaging runners- but last year struggled with injury and poor form in a star-studded Panthers backline. As the Tigers biggest signing, Whatuira will have a lot of pressure on him to perform.
Up and Comer: Dene Halatau. Made his international debut in last years tri-series, and will be expected to take on more responsibility as the current crop of Tigers young guns comes through.
Prediction: The Tigers dont have the talent or the winning culture required to work miracles this season, and like several other clubs, might find themselves at the beginning of a series of poor seasons.
Predicted Finish: 13th
Newcastle Knights
Perhaps a controversial start to the season will signal a successful year for the waning Knights, who have started their 2005 season with controversy akin to that experienced by the Bulldogs last year. Without several experienced players leaving, its time for the Knights impressive junior ranks to shine through. If they cant, and if Joey Johns cant stay fit, it could be a record low for the Novocastrians.
Key Player: Andrew Johns. Without a doubt, the key to any hope for a Newcastle premiership. Has perhaps lost the title of worlds best player to Darren Lockyer, and will be out to stay fit and recapture it this season. The Knights showed they werent hopeless in his absence last year, but will be hoping against hope that he stays on deck this year.
Wildcard: Kirk Reynoldson. The Knights only big name signing in the off-season, Ned Kelly has been touted as a future Queensland representative. He certainly has big shoes to fill, expected to step into the yawning gap left by the departure of Ben Kennedy.
Up and Comer: Kade Snowden. Newcastles answer to Sonny-Bill Williams, this exciting back row prospect has been being groomed for several seasons now. Michael Hagans choice to include Snowden in this years twenty five man squad indicates his debut may come soon, and many Newcastle fans are salivating over the prospect of him being the next world class forward to emerge from Newcastle.
Prediction: A lot of people are underestimating the quality of the Knights juniors, looking at last seasons poor performances as an indication of their quality. However, the Knights injury toll extended beyond Andrew Johns last season, and the experience for the young guns will work wonders for their confidence. Watch for the Knights to improve on last seasons finish, provided Johns stays fit.
Predicted Finish: 8th
Cronulla Sharks
Sharks fans are talking up their sides chances already, with hometown hero Adam Dykes returning and hopefully forming a combination with Brett Kimmorley to rival that he shared with Preston Campbell in 2001. Whilst the signing does herald an improved halves performance from the Sharks, it remains to be seen whether the rest of their outfit is up to it.
Key Player: Brett Kimmorley. Noddy was the key to Cronullas season last year, and if he can form a combination with Adam Dykes, the Sharks could be a real bolter for a top eight finish. Its a big if however, with Kimmorley having failed to form a memorable combination with anyone since his days at Melbourne.
Wildcard: Adam Dykes. Dykes was a world class five-eighth a few seasons ago, but went into hibernation during his time at Parramatta due to the sides glaring absence of quality halves. If Dykes can return to the form that saw him aid Preston Campbell to a Dally M medal in 2001, the Sharks could surprise a lot of people.
Up and Comer: Daniel Dumas. Showed glimmers of being a top quality footballer last season, after a shaky debut. Dumas is a hard hitting defender, and not a bad player with the ball in hand.
Prediction: The hopes of Cronullas season rest squarely on the ability of their halves pairing to gel. Brett Kimmorley isnt renowned for playing well with others, and if he and Dykes dont click, Cronulla can kiss its chance at a finals berth goodbye.
Predicted Finish: 12th
Parramatta Eels
The recruitment drive from Parramatta has been nothing short of impressive, but the absence of a recognised half continues to haunt the Eels- who havent ever recovered from losing Jason Taylor at the conclusion of their record breaking 2001 campaign.
Key Player: Nathan Hindmarsh. Parramatta fans must shudder when they imagine what last season could have been like without this hard-working, inspirational forward. Without a doubt the finest forward in the game at the moment, Hindmarsh performs a little bit of magic every time he touches the ball.
Wildcard: Timana Tahu. The former Australian winger left Newcastle after the club refused to play him in the centres, and based on his few games there, they had good reason. Tahu is a remarkably gifted attacking player, but his defensive inadequacies are on a par with Chris Walker from the Roosters. With Daniel Wagon the other centre, however, Tahu will see a lot of ball- which can only be good for the mercurial three-quarter.
Up and Comer: Tim Smith. This gifted young halfback could perhaps be the answer to the prayers of Brian Smith and the Parramatta Eels army. After the Chris Thorman and Michael Witt experiments failed to produce dividends, Smith has come onto the scene and dismantled the Sydney Roosters in the Eels first trial of 2005. Was it an isolated incident? Perhaps, but Smith is the best prospect the Eels have had in a long time.
Prediction: The Eels recruitment has netted the big signatures of Timana Tahu, Mark Riddell, Glenn Morrison, and Paul Stringer- but it will all be for nought if the halves arent firing. If they are, expect Parramatta to perhaps recapture some of their 2001 form. Without it, however, it could be another year of disappointment for the blue and gold.
Predicted Finish: 11th
Manly Sea Eagles
The most active club in the off-season, Manly are looking to buy a premiership in the same way they did during the clubs glory days. Will it work? The signatures are certainly impressive, and it wouldnt surprise me to see the Sea Eagles as 2005s big improvers.
Key Player: Ben Kennedy. The club bid big on this world class forward, and its a gamble considering BKs history of injury shortened seasons. Kennedy and Buderus were the only thing that kept Newcastle away from a wooden spoon last year, and with the likes of Menzies and Kite around him, Ben Kennedy could turn Manlys forward pack into a truly dominant force.
Wildcard: Michael Witt. Parramattas treatment of this gifted half was nothing short of insanity, and theyll be ruing their decision once the goal-kicking star begins to win games for the Sea Eagles.
Up and Comer: Brett Stewart. The only reason the junior Kangaroo fullback isnt mentioned in the same breath as Sonny-Bill and Hunt is because of the company he keeps, and a much improved Manly roster could see the talented fullbacks name finally get the recognition it deserves.
Prediction: Alongside New Zealand, the Sea Eagles should be 2005s big improvers. It may not be enough to overcome a long period of losing, but expect for 2005 to see the Sea Eagles gradually begin their return to the form that saw them dominant the mid-nineties.
Predicted Finish: 10th
New Zealand Warriors
The biggest disappointment of the 2005 season after the Coffs Harbour allegations that soiled the games names. The Warriors have a world class squad, yet last season only narrowly avoided a wooden spoon, lost their top quality coach, and saw marquee players abandon a sinking ship. The recruitment of Steven Price and Ruben Wiki will return the Warriors to their 2003 form.
Key Player: Stacey Jones. Reports say that the pint-sized Kiwi fullback is confident again, after last season stepping down from his rep duties following poor form. Jones can spark the sometimes lethargic Warriors squad with one darting run, and will be expected to lead by example this year.
Wildcard: Steven Price. Alongside Ruben Wiki, Price has the responsibility of whipping some commitment and confidence into the New Zealand outfit. Its no coincidence that the Warriors struggled immediately after the loss of experienced campaigners such as Ivan Cleary and Kevin Campion, and the presence of these two legends should be the tonic for all of New Zealands recent woes.
Up and Comer: Louis Anderson. Was a surprise inclusion in the New Zealand squad at seasons end, but impressed in both the back row and in hooker. With Vinnie Anderson released to go to London, it remains to be seen whether or not little brother can look after himself.
Prediction: The Warriors will be the dark horses for the 2005 premiership, and you can put money on it. I cant see Ruben Wiki or Steven Price settling for less than a top eight finish, and who wants to argue with two of the toughest forwards in the modern game?
Predicted Finish: 5th
South Sydney Rabbitohs
Its hard to decide whether or not to take Souths emphatic Charity Shield win as an indication of better things to come. Truth be told, the side doesnt look a whole lot better than the one that claimed last seasons wooden spoon, and it would take a miracle for the Rabbitohs to go anywhere near the eight.
Key Player: Bryan Fletcher. As both the captain and the sides only representative player, Fletcher will again be the key to the Rabbitohs success. With a fairly experienced support cast including Shannon Hegarty, Peter Cusack, and Adam MacDougall- Fletcher may be able to lift Souths out of the wooden spoon for the first time since their return (ignoring the year Canterbury earned it as a result of their salary cap breach).
Wildcard: Adam MacDougall. The Mad Dog was impressive before getting injured last season, and will be part of a fairly dangerous backline this season. If he can stay fit, Adam could be on his way back to representative selection.
Up and Comer: Joe Williams. Has impressed for Souths so far, but is he the man to turn the Souths ship around? Some fans think so, and he certainly gave no indication last season that he was one to let a challenge deter him.
Prediction: Unfortunately for Souths fans, their recruitment may not be enough to see them lift themselves out of 15th. Whilst there are a number of top quality players in the lineup, they lack the star who can turn ordinary footballers into superstars.
Predicted Finish: 15th
Predicted Table
1. Canterbury Bulldogs
2. Sydney Roosters
3. Penrith Panthers
4. Brisbane Broncos
5. New Zealand Warriors
6. St George/Illawarra Dragons
7. North Queensland Cowboys
8. Newcastle Knights
9. Melbourne Storm
10. Manly Sea Eagles
11. Parramatta Eels
12. Cronulla Sharks
13. Wests Tigers
14. Canberra Raiders
15. South Sydney Rabbitohs
