Equation simple: Win next week to make the top 8.

[Dragons22]

It seems we now just have to win next week to make the top 8. Cowboys play the Bronocs, a tough game for them, Panthers Vs Mnaly both on 30, and we at least 60+ for and against than those 3 teams. So, they must win next week, cannot afford to lose.

 

[epDragon62]

Cows win, the other two draw and we can still miss.

We just have to win and hope the unlikely doesn't happen.

 

[j0nesy]

Manly v Panthers draw?

 

[Dragons22]

Yes Cowboys winning and Manly-Panthers draw is a possibility, but I reckon it's highly unlikely. Brisbane got smashed and would want to win and I'm sure either Penrith or Manly would win and not end in a tie. But you never know the unlikeable may happen. I just really want us to win next week.

 

[giboz71]

The likely scenario is that the Cows lose against the Broncos.

If we beat the Dogs, we finish 7th with a semi against the Panthers or Manly, 2 teams we've beaten twice.

That's the best scenario I can think of.

 

[BennyV]

Exactly this, we have our destiny in our own hands. A do-or-die game against a real arch-rival and bogey team who've had the wood on us for years. We really need to aim up and get everything going our way...

...oh, what's that? We've given away our home ground advantage to take this game to our oppositions home ground? AND we are giving away free tickets to Bulldogs members and will be paying tribute to those members?

 

[Eatons Hill Dragon]

There is another scenario.
Not only do Manly and Penrith play out a draw but the Cowboys and Donkeys play out a draw as well.
Dragons win and still miss the finals as teams 6-8 all finish one point ahead on 31.

 

[This Year?]

Exactly this, we have our destiny in our own hands. A do-or-die game against a real arch-rival and bogey team who've had the wood on us for years. We really need to aim up and get everything going our way...

...oh, what's that? We've given away our home ground advantage to take this game to our oppositions home ground? AND we are giving away free tickets to Bulldogs members and will be paying tribute to those members?

If this was at Kogarah we win.

 

[Saint_JimmyG]

All this consternation for an extra week of footy!

I much prefer the old days of the previous final five system because rewarding a club with barely a 50% win ratio is acquiescing to mediocrity in itself.

 

[dragon thomo]

The big concern is McDonalds negatives outweighs his positives. The way he carries the ball or offloads has to many errors in his play which puts us under a lot of pressure, also for a big fellow he does not like to hit the line when running the ball, when he hit the corner post yesterday he could have stepped inside but it was like he didnt want to put his body on the line.

 

[Bests Golden Boots]

The big concern is McDonalds negatives outweighs his positives. The way he carries the ball or offloads has to many errors in his play which puts us under a lot of pressure, also for a big fellow he does not like to hit the line when running the ball, when he hit the corner post yesterday he could have stepped inside but it was like he didnt want to put his body on the line.

Yep, apart from McCrone who we all knew was useless, he has been the seasons biggest flop for me.

 

[SBD82]

All this consternation for an extra week of footy!

I much prefer the old days of the previous final five system because rewarding a club with barely a 50% win ratio is acquiescing to mediocrity in itself.

I'd love to see a return to the top 5.

But as the saying goes, you can only piss with the dick you've got.

 

[Old Timer]

There is another scenario.
Not only do Manly and Penrith play out a draw but the Cowboys and Donkeys play out a draw as well.
Dragons win and still miss the finals as teams 6-8 all finish one point ahead on 31.

Good point EHD and not sure I trust Qld's all that much LOL.
If the NRL is rigged in any way how much would it pay having a bet on 2 draws?

 

[Dragonslayer]

Good point EHD and not sure I trust Qld's all that much LOL.
If the NRL is rigged in any way how much would it pay having a bet on 2 draws?

And the final equation is Manly and Cows loose and we play out a draw with the Dogs.
I dont know about the refs in our game yesterday, usually we are on the reveiving end of some dubious calls but we seemed to get them all. If we had lost yesterday the final 8 was decided before the final round. Now we have an exciting 3 games to decide the makeup of the bottom half of the 8. One sure way to get crowds in.

Conspiracy theory i know but!!!

 

[Old Timer]

And the final equation is Manly and Cows loose and we play out a draw with the Dogs.
I dont know about the refs in our game yesterday, usually we are on the reveiving end of some dubious calls but we seemed to get them all. If we had lost yesterday the final 8 was decided before the final round. Now we have an exciting 3 games to decide the makeup of the bottom half of the 8. One sure way to get crowds in.

Conspiracy theory i know but!!!

Despite all of the computations which show otherwise evidently we are automatically in if we win next week LOL.
Some people need to understand reality as opposed to probability.
I know many a person to have lost money on a so called "sure thing".

 

[The Damo]

I had a look, and there's been just two draws in nrl games since 2014, so based on 192 regular season games (24*8)...
That's 1 every 384 games. Not a certainty no, but pretty good odds. There's probably just as much chance of a team getting done for salary cap and having points deducted and leapfrogging the rest of the teams up.

 

[Life's Good]

Just win. Can't worry about anything else.

 

[Slippery Morris]

Saints win and they get 7th spot NOT 8th if Cows lose on Thursday. That means they play 6th which is possibly Penrith. Would Rather Saints finish 8th and play Sharks IF they make the finals. Not cinfident against the scum Dogs. Saints record against them is poor and would hate to miss out of the finals because of them.

1 forward pass try in the last minutes for Cronulla and Saints would 5th instead of 9th with nothing to worry about this week. Spewing.

 

[Old Timer]

Saints win and they get 7th spot NOT 8th if Cows lose on Thursday. That means they play 6th which is possibly Penrith. Would Rather Saints finish 8th and play Sharks IF they make the finals. Not cinfident against the scum Dogs. Saints record against them is poor and would hate to miss out of the finals because of them.

1 forward pass try in the last minutes for Cronulla and Saints would 5th instead of 9th with nothing to worry about this week. Spewing.

If we had a coach we could be sitting in second. Gutted.

 

[Drakon]

Saints win and they get 7th spot NOT 8th if Cows lose on Thursday. That means they play 6th which is possibly Penrith. Would Rather Saints finish 8th and play Sharks IF they make the finals. Not cinfident against the scum Dogs. Saints record against them is poor and would hate to miss out of the finals because of them.

1 forward pass try in the last minutes for Cronulla and Saints would 5th instead of 9th with nothing to worry about this week. Spewing.[/QUOTE

I had a look, and there's been just two draws in nrl games since 2014, so based on 192 regular season games (24*8)...
That's 1 every 384 games. Not a certainty no, but pretty good odds. There's probably just as much chance of a team getting done for salary cap and having points deducted and leapfrogging the rest of the teams up.

Hi Damo,
Two draws in 192 games is one every 96 games, not one in 384 games.

A draw is maybe more of a chance with the closeness and intensity of finals footy but as you say, an unlikely outcome.

Edit: I see your meaning now Damo - 4 seasons at 192 games per season. My apologies. I should have known better to post straight after an afternoon Nanna nap!