Finals results vs odds

[emjaycee]

Over enough data it would tell you something, but I suspect the best goalkickers would still be better from in front and worse from their weak side (right side for right footers). Some guys might suffer less of a loss than others when kicking from one or both sidelines. But in the end, you don't plan for where your kicker will be kicking from. You need to rely on him from anywhere and the probability will collapse to a single number.

Would also need to take into account wind factors and how many in the crowd were yelling out stuff like "chewy on ya boot", etc.

 

[Poupou Escobar]

We should probably just give the probability for each kick. It'll either be 100% or 0%, meaning the kicker was amazing or shithouse.

 

[Twizzle]

We should probably just give the probability for each kick. It'll either be 100% or 0%, meaning the kicker was amazing or shithouse.

other options could be some where in between

 

[emjaycee]

We should probably just give the probability for each kick. It'll either be 100% or 0%, meaning the kicker was amazing or shithouse.

I normally give each kick a 50% chance, then I am always closer to being correct than someone who gives 100% or 0% (before the kick that is)

 

[Poupou Escobar]

I normally give each kick a 50% chance, then I am always closer to being correct than someone who gives 100% or 0% (before the kick that is)

But afterwards you were always wrong ffs!!!

 

[emjaycee]

But afterwards you were always wrong ffs!!!

Not if the bet is for whoever gets the closest odds. Then I'm only wrong when the guy i bet with goes 0 or 100% and gets it right.