I'm arguably the best Sports Bettor in Australia

[WaznTheGreat]

If he can make a profit out of backing Wazn then he might be the greatest

:lol:

 

[Fire]

Over the last 10 years I am well ahead in all my sports betting. The two best are League and Soccer where I continually clean up.

Pretty proud of my efforts

Cool story bro. Are you Sam 'Ace' Rothstein?

 

[Paullyboy]

Remember the odds are not so much about probability but more about popularity.

With the possible exception of a few markets on betfair, that statement is wrong

 

[attila_the_gorilla]

With the possible exception of a few markets on betfair, that statement is wrong

huhh? Bookies base their odds on punter habits. That's why you see odds shift when big money goes on one side, despite no change in line-ups or anything. Bookies take zero risks, they make sure they win whatever the outcome.

If suddenly every idiot started betting on the Panthers to make the 8, then every bookie out there would lower their odds accordingly, to make sure they're covered just in case. Nothing to do with the probability of the outcome but everything to do with the popularity of the bet.

 

[andrew057]

huhh? Bookies base their odds on punter habits. That's why you see odds shift when big money goes on one side, despite no change in line-ups or anything. Bookies take zero risks, they make sure they win whatever the outcome.

If suddenly every idiot started betting on the Panthers to make the 8, then every bookie out there would lower their odds accordingly, to make sure they're covered just in case. Nothing to do with the probability of the outcome but everything to do with the popularity of the bet.

Correcto.

 

[hineyrulz]

If he can make a profit out of backing Wazn then he might be the greatest

:lol:

 

[Paullyboy]

huhh? Bookies base their odds on punter habits. That's why you see odds shift when big money goes on one side, despite no change in line-ups or anything. Bookies take zero risks, they make sure they win whatever the outcome.

If suddenly every idiot started betting on the Panthers to make the 8, then every bookie out there would lower their odds accordingly, to make sure they're covered just in case. Nothing to do with the probability of the outcome but everything to do with the popularity of the bet.

Ah sorry, I misinterpreted your original post. I thought you were saying something along the lines of more popular teams (in terms of fans, not betting) would have shorter odds to reduce their risk with casual punters or something.

 

[WaznTheGreat]

Are you backing Wazn tomorrow?

 

[andrew057]

Whats the weather like up there? Wazn wins if its a dead 5 or worse.

 

[veggiepatch1959]

But can you mow a lawn in Hawthorn?

You can't mow concrete!!

 

[Frances the Mute]

I thought I could punt.....

Bout $1200 ahead over 3 weeks.

Last 5 behind about $300, now questioning if I know anything!

 

[thorson1987]

Bump.

 

[Tommy Smith]

The best Sports punter in Australia is the bloke that put $500 on a Ryan O'Keefe & Cooper Cronk Norm Smith And Clive Churchill Medal double @ 92-1.

What a genius!!!

 

[AusKnightRKO]

my Uncle in 05 got $750000 on the Swans and Tigers Double