Jono's sim predicts the 2013 season

[Jono078]

I usually do this every pre-season but didn't get the chance to do it this year, so now it'll just predict the remainder of this season.

Last year Everyone blew up that it predicted the Knights and called me biased but it does not phase me, this is just for fun, enjoy.

I've only done up to round 19 so far, so I'll finish it off when I can.

Round 15
Sydney Roosters 20 18 Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Actual result
Wests Tigers 20 26 Canberra Raiders
Parramatta Eels 16 22 South Sydney Rabbitohs
Gold Coast Titans 23 22 Melbourne Storm

Round 16
South Sydney Rabbitohs 28 18 Canberra Raiders
Wests Tigers 12 32 Melbourne Storm
Penrith Panthers 32 14 St George Illawarra Dragons
Newcastle Knights 27 20 Gold Coast Titans
New Zealand Warriors 24 20 Brisbane Broncos
North Qld Cowboys 18 25 Cronulla Sharks
Sydney Roosters 24 14 Manly Sea Eagles

Round 17
Melbourne Storm 28 16 Brisbane Broncos
Cronulla Sharks 28 10 Wests Tigers
St George Illawarra Dragons 10 34 Sydney Roosters
Gold Coast Titans 18 28 Penrith Panthers
Canberra Raiders 24 14 North Qld Cowboys
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs 18 22 Newcastle Knights
South Sydney Rabbitohs 30 16 New Zealand Warriors
Manly Sea Eagles 26 18 Parramatta Eels

Round 18
Brisbane Broncos 16 17 Cronulla Sharks
Parramatta Eels 14 20 Penrith Panthers
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs 22 20 Melbourne Storm
North Qld Cowboys 18 28 Manly Sea Eagles

Round 19
Wests Tigers 16 30 New Zealand Warriors
Canberra Raiders 30 14 Parramatta Eels
Sydney Roosters 24 22 Cronulla Sharks
Penrith Panthers 20 21 Newcastle Knights
Manly Sea Eagles 26 16 Gold Coast Titans
South Sydney Rabbitohs 36 12 St George Illawarra Dragons


Team Played Won Draw Loss For Agn Diff Pts
1st Rabbitohs 17 15 2 448 265 183 34
2nd Roosters 17 13 4 406 231 175 30
3rd Storm 17 12 1 4 409 261 148 29
4th Sea Eagles 17 10 1 6 345 254 91 25
5th Sharks 17 10 7 321 293 28 24
6th Raiders 17 10 7 358 367 -9 24
7th Knights 17 9 8 358 305 53 22
8th Bulldogs 17 9 8 330 355 -25 22
9th Panthers 17 8 9 371 317 54 20
10th Titans 17 8 9 355 340 15 20
11th Warriors 17 8 9 346 408 -62 20
12th Broncos 17 6 11 322 342 -20 16
13th Cowboys 17 5 12 290 354 -64 14
14th Dragons 17 5 12 244 374 -130 14
15th Wests Tigers 17 4 13 235 473 -238 12
16th Eels 17 3 14 264 463 -199 10

 

[Big Sam]

1st Rabbitohs 17 15 2 448 265 183 34

I concur.

 

[Jobdog]

We have a week off and all of a sudden find the missing ingredient to winning away? I like it

 

[Jono078]

Completed the season, I'll do finals later / another time.

And also, bring on the backlash!

Round 20
North Qld Cowboys 20 18 Brisbane Broncos
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs 28 14 Parramatta Eels
St George Illawarra Dragons 22 24 Canberra Raiders
Gold Coast Titans 24 18 South Sydney Rabbitohs
New Zealand Warriors 20 18 Melbourne Storm
Cronulla Sharks 24 14 Penrith Panthers
Newcastle Knights 23 16 Sydney Roosters
Wests Tigers 12 32 Manly Sea Eagles

Round 21
Newcastle Knights 30 14 Brisbane Broncos
St George Illawarra Dragons 20 16 Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs
Penrith Panthers 14 21 Sydney Roosters
Parramatta Eels 14 22 Manly Sea Eagles
New Zealand Warriors 20 22 Cronulla Sharks
Canberra Raiders 16 30 Melbourne Storm
Gold Coast Titans 24 16 Wests Tigers
North Qld Cowboys 12 32 South Sydney Rabbitohs

Round 22
Brisbane Broncos 24 12 St George Illawarra Dragons
Parramatta Eels 25 18 Wests Tigers
Sydney Roosters 22 24 Canberra Raiders
Cronulla Sharks 24 20 Newcastle Knights
Melbourne Storm 22 24 South Sydney Rabbitohs
Manly Sea Eagles 26 22 New Zealand Warriors
Penrith Panthers 18 22 North Qld Cowboys
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs 24 20 Gold Coast Titans

Round 23
Brisbane Broncos 16 23 Parramatta Eels
South Sydney Rabbitohs 20 24 Manly Sea Eagles
North Qld Cowboys 20 28 Gold Coast Titans
St George Illawarra Dragons 18 22 Cronulla Sharks
New Zealand Warriors 26 12 Penrith Panthers
Newcastle Knights 23 22 Melbourne Storm
Canberra Raiders 24 24 Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs
Wests Tigers 8 36 Sydney Roosters

Round 24
Penrith Panthers 18 20 Brisbane Broncos
South Sydney Rabbitohs 30 14 Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs
North Qld Cowboys 16 28 Newcastle Knights
Gold Coast Titans 24 16 New Zealand Warriors
St George Illawarra Dragons 18 16 Wests Tigers
Canberra Raiders 20 22 Manly Sea Eagles
Melbourne Storm 34 16 Parramatta Eels
Cronulla Sharks 20 24 Sydney Roosters

Round 25
Brisbane Broncos 28 14 Newcastle Knights
Wests Tigers 16 30 South Sydney Rabbitohs
Sydney Roosters 25 18 Gold Coast Titans
Manly Sea Eagles 24 28 Melbourne Storm
New Zealand Warriors 21 20 Canberra Raiders
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs 16 24 Penrith Panthers
Cronulla Sharks 25 18 North Qld Cowboys
Parramatta Eels 24 16 St George Illawarra Dragons

Round 26
Brisbane Broncos 22 28 Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs
South Sydney Rabbitohs 14 26 Sydney Roosters
Canberra Raiders 23 16 Cronulla Sharks
St George Illawarra Dragons 24 20 New Zealand Warriors
North Qld Cowboys 20 22 Wests Tigers
Manly Sea Eagles 30 20 Penrith Panthers
Newcastle Knights 28 16 Parramatta Eels
Melbourne Storm 24 14 Gold Coast Titans


Team Played Won Draw Loss For Agn Diff Pts
1st Rabbitohs 24 19 5 616 403 213 42
2nd Roosters 24 18 6 576 352 224 40
3rd Storm 24 16 1 7 587 398 189 37
4th Sea Eagles 24 16 1 7 525 390 135 37
5th Sharks 24 15 9 474 430 44 34
6th Knights 24 14 10 524 441 83 32
7th Raiders 24 13 1 10 509 524 -15 31
8th Bulldogs 24 12 1 11 480 509 -29 29
9th Titans 24 12 12 507 483 24 28
10th Warriors 24 11 13 491 554 -63 26
11th Panthers 24 9 15 491 476 15 22
12th Broncos 24 9 15 464 487 -23 22
13th Dragons 24 8 16 374 520 -146 20
14th Cowboys 24 7 17 418 525 -107 18
15th Eels 24 6 18 396 625 -229 16
16th Wests Tigers 24 5 19 343 658 -315 14

 

[wittyfan]

Raiders now equal 7th on 29 with the Tigers still last on 16.

 

[BunniesMan]

Jono knows his stuff.

 

[Card Shark]

Jono knows his stuff.

'cept for knights

 

[Jobdog]

Jeez we love kicking field goals.

 

[Cockadoodledoo]

Knights got dis

 

[dogslife]

Knights don't lose much do they

 

[The Engineers Room]

Parramatta not getting the spoon? I like it but I don't see them winning three more games...

 

[Ziggy the God]

Jono, I have read your Sim thread over the years, but can you remind us a bit about how you construct it?

I recall you had a fairly decent overhaul of the system too.

 

[Jobdog]

Knights don't lose much do they

Correct. Players back on deck, we'll only lose a couple between now and the end of the season.

 

[DC_fan]

Team Played Won Draw Loss For Agn Diff Pts
1st Rabbitohs 24 19 5 616 403 213 42

A smart man this Jono

 

[Jono078]

Jono, I have read your Sim thread over the years, but can you remind us a bit about how you construct it?

I recall you had a fairly decent overhaul of the system too.

I haven't worked on it in a couple of years.

All I did for this simulation was update squads to the team's best possible lineups for the rest of this season and updated coach's stats.

Basically it's made to take in lot's of information input like form and all sorts of stuff, but because this is a simulation it's set to random and it simulates a match between teams a number of times and I take the average to get the results you see above.

 

[BranVan3000]

Is this actually a "how Knights are gonna make the finals" thread?

 

[Raider_69]

Always interesting to read, even if every time you over state the knights :lol:

 

[Jono078]

Finals Week 1
South Sydney Rabbitohs 24 12 Manly Sea Eagles
Cronulla Sharks 15 14 Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs
Newcastle Knights 18 14 Canberra Raiders
Sydney Roosters 18 16 Melbourne Storm

Finals Week 2
Manly Sea Eagles 20 12 Cronulla Sharks
Melbourne Storm 24 14 Newcastle Knights

Semi Finals
South Sydney Rabbitohs 18 20 Melbourne Storm
Sydney Roosters 21 14 Manly Sea Eagles

Grand Final coming up! Any guesses on winner/scoreline before I upload a pic?

 

[Clifferd]

Sydney Roosters: 28
Melbourne Storm: 18

 

[Jono078]

GRAND FINAL

I feel sick..