#13 innsaneink
USF Bulls
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Changing of the guard?
This years NRL premiership race continues to throw up surprise after surprise, week after week....and we're only 5 weeks into the comp.
The Raiders, Sharks , Wests Tigers and the Sea Eagles, who last year finished 8th, 9th, 11th and 13th respectively, currently make up the top 4, while half of last years top eight currently hold down the bottom nine positions on the ladder...Panthers (9th), Bulldogs (11th), Rooster (12th) and the Dragons (14th)
Tippings comps are going the same way the competition is going, with those seemingly without a clue laughing at the rest of us experts from atop the pack. Theories on how to pick winners have already started to abound, from the old favourite, the dart board......to picking the opposite of what you really think, to selecting all home games (this system has some merit, you wouldve been rewarded with a perfect score this round five past....though round three the same system would have only produced 2 winners.)
Personally I'm on roughly a 50% strike rate, lower than usual but that does not surprise me.
Its hard to believe after six rounds this year, one of last years grand finalists will be looking at four straight losses.
Easts had lost 2 on the trot only once since round 16 2003, similarly the Dogs only losing two in a row once since round 12 2003, (coincidentally both involved losses to WestsTigers). Below is a Win-Loss consecutive graphic, which highlites the consistent success these two teams had last year.
*Dogs............WWLWWWWLWLLWWWWWWWWWWLWW
*Roosters.......WWWLLWWWWWWLWWWLWWWLWWWW
This year W-L graphic for both teams would have Folkes and Stuart concerned.
*Bulldogs.....
WLLL*?
*Roosters.....
WWLLL?
Not since the start of the 2002 season have the Roosters lost 3 in a row, they lost 4 between rounds 2-5, getting beat by the Warriors, Broncos, Northern Eagles and the Knights. It also should be mentioned they came back from this month of defeats to take the premiership in that memorable Grand Final with the Warriors.
The Bulldogs, well ... its all the way back to rounds 6-8 in 2003 for their fans to recall a trio of losses, when they lost to the Knights, Saint George-Illawarra and Canberra down at Bruce Stadium. Yet they fell only one game short of making the decider, losing to the Roosters 28-18 in the preliminary final.
Two teams with an ubelievably good record of consistency, now struggling at the start of 2005.
Im not so sure, Ive been following rugby league long enough to know good teams dont go bad....consistently bad, overnight....it takes time, a matter of seasons. We could of course be witnessing the start of a lean period for both these clubs, but I dont think so.
The Bulldogs have a lot to look forward to, test prop Mark O'Meley returns this week....the best front rower in our game returning for the Dogs should give them some much needed aggro. Willie Mason and Sonny Bill Williams also are up Folkes sleeve, Im sure he wishes he could use them when needed, but the recuperative abilities of both these players will determine their return, however, it gives Dogs fans some hope, there is something to look forward to down the track.
Is it the same situation at Bondi? I dont think so. Micheal Crocker is injured , due to return in the near future, and while he will be a welcome return.... what test quality back rower wouldnt?, he will not go anywhere near solving the organisational problems the Roosters seem to be having. A handful of halves combinations has seen the Roosters surprisingly lost at times on the field....like half a dozen ducklings without mother duck leading the way, the Roosters without Brad Fittler seem to panic when cool is needed, they kick when they should run, they run when they should pass, they pass when they should kick.
I cannot see the Roosters or the Dogs staying down in the bottom half of the ladder for the remainder of the season, only unbelievably bad luck with injuries or suspension could contribute to that happening, for two clubs with roughly twenty.....yes, twenty internationals between them, there is just too much talent on the park for them not to produce at their potential in the future. These two clubs breathe success, and while most love to hate them, you must admit their records speak for themselves.
Beware the wounded Dogs and Roosters.
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