andrew flap said:
I reckon if we beat the Dogs this week, that'll go a long way to convincing me we can do it this year.
Absolutely! if we can beat the Dogs without BK and Peach then we are a genuine finals contender - but our chances are pretty slim.
Here's how it stands:
if a team wins 50% of their games (12/24) they must be in the top half of the table i.e 8th or better. With the 2 byes, 28 points will get us into the finals. We have 20 points so far. There are 8 more rounds. We need to win 3 of those plus the bye to get 28 points.
If we lose all of the next 4 games (Dogs, Dragons, Broncos, Roosters) then we can only get in by beating Eels, Storm and Cowboys. So we really need to win at least one of the next 4 - mainly for the psychological boost.
I target the Broncos (Home for us) as a good chance if Noddy and Peach are both playing, and the Dragons if they have an off day (which is quite possible).