Trying to work out the permutations of who can make the shield final.
Points Per Game (PPG if 6 pts from final round/PPG if 0 points from final round/ 1pt from final round)
Vic 4.91 (5.07/4.21/4.35)
WA 4.10 (4.37/3.51/3.66)
Qld 3,29 (3.59/2.93/3.04)
NSW 3.34 (3.72/2.87/3.01)
Tas 3.19 (3.54/2.79/2.91)
SA 2.03 (2.52/1.77/1.90)
This ignores bonus points, which are difficult to impossible to predict.
From this we can work out-
1. Vic have made the final. The winner of Vic/WA will finish 1st and have the home final. If it's a draw Vic get the home final. If WA win the final is WA vs Vic. If its a draw only NSW can take 2nd place from WA.
2. WA can make the final even if they lose so long as NSW, Qld or Tas don't win.
3. NSW can make the final if Vic beat WA or if its a draw but not if WA win. NSW would need to beat SA. Qld-Tas wouldn't matter.
4. Tas can make the final if they win, WA lose and NSW lose or draw.
5 Qld can make the final if they win, WA lose and NSW lose or draw.
6. SA cannot reach the final.