As long as not many of the AB's don't get busted up in the pool matches, I can't see any one beating them. I reckon the best thing to happen to the AB chances were having co-hosing rights taken away from them. Rather then playing on the damp NZ pitches, they get to run around on the dry spring Aussie pitches which I think suits their game better.
And whilst I don't think much of Union overall, I do actually like watching the AB's play, if more sides played like that I would probably watch more games.
PS: are Italy really that shit, or did they just have a bad day. I would've assumed they put up a better contest then that.