Rather than picking the top 17 you would have more luck dividing the squad into definite top 17 players, possible top 17 players and definite backups. Maybe the middle category could be divided further into probables and possibles.
Definites (IMO):
Hopoate
Mannah
Ma'u
Norman
Peats
Radradra
Sandow
Takairangi
Watmough
So:
1. Hopoate (because we've been told so)
2. Radradra
6. Norman
7. Sandow
8. Mannah
9. Peats
11. Watmough (but playing lock)
12. Ma'u
Then the question becomes where do we play Takairangi. Centre seems the obvious spot but I'm not convinced. Brad Arthur will certainly continue to use the shape with the middle half, and has basically admitted so in his latest interview. And while we've re-signed Joe Paulo, the fact he took so long to re-sign means we don't see him as a key member of the team. I think Brad Takairangi would be perfect in this role, and his utility value (specifically the ability to defend at centre) would be wasted if he was already starting the game at centre. Anyway, where Takairangi plays would depend on who else gets picked in the team (or would who else get picked depend on where Takairangi plays???)
Probable top 17 players:
Champion
Fa'aoso
Gower
Lussick
Paulo Jr
Since we can fit all these merkins in I will go ahead and include them:
1. Hopoate
2. Radradra
3. Champion
6. Norman
7. Sandow
8. Mannah
9. Peats
10. Fa'aoso
11. Watmough
12. Ma'u
15. Gower
16. Lussick
17. Paulo Jr
That leaves two outside backs, one edge forward and a bench spot, with Takairangi to fill one of these. So we're looking for three more additions.
The possibles must surely be out of this mob:
Possible outside backs:
Takairangi
Crooks
Faraimo
Folau
Goodall
Lavaka
Morgan
Robinson
Toutai
Possible edge forwards:
Takairangi
Edwards
Moeroa
Pauli
Finally, that last bench spot will go to a utility or another edge forward.
Possible bench:
Takairangi
Edwards
Moeroa
Pauli
That leaves all the definite backups (i.e. players definitely not in the top 17):
Allgood
De Gois
Hunt
Kelly
Matterson (at least for round one)
Ma'afu
McPherson
Mossop (at least for round one)
Nelson
Paulo, Joe
Pritchard
Terepo
Wicks (at least for round one)
Though as always expect surprises. Some blokes can have a massive off season, others can come back from Christmas with a shit attitude. It was good to hear Arthur's say
everyone was in better shape than they were this time last year.