But you don't, and you can't know. If it was guaranteed for the next 5 years with a pretty strong chance of going beyond that then it would be a dumb business that didn't take the opportunity, just in case.
Afl had nowhere else to really expand for their ninth game as they had already succefully expanded north. They still managed to achieve two critical things, make more than it costs and further expand the game into nrl territories. Will it hurt them in six years time, neither you or I or they have a crystal ball so impossible to say. NRL expansion for a ninth game would not cost close to what its cost afl so even if the ninth game was worth less than afl's given how sht we are at negotiating tv deals, it would still in all likelihood have made a lot more money than it cost.
But to accumulate you have to speculate, and that takes balls and sadly when it comes to having balls our codes administrators are first class eunuchs!
Re afl on nz, where are you getting that from? Afl have said they can see the opportunity of a nz franchise by 2046! It's hardly high on their agenda lol.
I have never stated I 'know" emphatically anything champ.Yet you are quite prepared to make commitments/statements for what is going to happen in the 2023 deal re the NRL and how much expansion is likely to cost.You are guessing.
You are completely ignoring the state of FTA TV in this country.The state of or lack of consumer confidence and the cost of living.You live in a bubble.
Any business would take the extra money, but businesses worth their salt ,would also need to be aware sometimes costs can run well and truly over budget as the Nth fumble expansion has shown,remember etc AFL lost $3m thereabouts last year.They are hardly Warren Buffet.What happens if there is a huge drop in the next TV deal with fumbleball? The new clubs are not going to be laughing ?
" Successfully expanded" North re the Swans more like it, and they can thank the SL war else they may well be in deep sh*t.
The Lions are losing money hand over foot and crying out for extra loot,both the Suns and Gnats are sucking in money, and other Melbourne clubs are struggling whilst this AFL largesse is being used elsewhere.
The TV ratings are crap in the North,do I have to repeat it?You still can't accept it.How long have the Swans been here 30 plus years.
Compare the monies AFL received for 18 teams(the length of time and ad opportunity for that code) with the money the NRL received with 16 teams' a lot less ad time, and the NRL more than matched the AFL.
I'm getting it from comments the AFL ponchos have made re NZ, the opportunities they have claimed ,the money they have expended, yet they have withdrawn because the NZ public have indicated they are not interested.
Similar comment Sheedy made in the past, and the AFL /Koch made re China.They lied about the crowd in attendance,notice you ignored that point completely because it side it suits your anti NRL H/O agenda.
Here you are guessing once again ,you have zero idea how much a 9 game would cost the NRL ATM.The NRL are borrowing $30m in order to pay the clubs the 130% ,which will be repaid out of the next Tv deal from 2018.Newcastle and Titans in addition to the money the NRL has already expended is costing the NRL $2m pa each in addition to grants.Dragons owe $6.5m
You are somehow making an assumption the NRL would gather X amount of money for a 9th game.Gyngell who initially thought it would since backtracked.The same Gyngell who ran ch9.