Haha, nah I am filthy with myself. Was so close to taking my first $100 profit. I said to myself a couple of times that I was going to leave the bulldogs-roosters game alone because I had a feeling the doggies were going to produce something like that. But I went ahead anyway and put the bet on cause I got greedy. I guess I deserved it.
Going to start again next week with $200. Just a few observations I noted this week:
1. Never back Canberra away from home, they are woeful!
2. Never back against a team who was thrashed the week before
3. Get on Melbourne every week! Their defence is top notch and they have paid great prices in their first 3 weeks.
4. Most importantly.. Follow the money (particularly late money).. Get on the team who is dropping in price, DO NOT back against them!
My rule of thumb is to inspect the line betting.. if there is a lot of money for one team (say, Melbourne -5.5), give them an extra 18-20 points start (eg: Melb +13.5) and get on! You will get around $1.10 each time, it's amazing how frequently this gets up.
Won't be backing anything tonight, but if I was it would probably be the Rabbits +18.5
