Belly in Brisvegas
Coach
- Messages
- 11,124
OK....at this stage,
* We are on 12 points going into this round
* Out of the remaining rounds left to go, we have......
* 6 games at home (Eagles, Broncos, Roosters, Tigers, Warriors, Panthers). Current record is 2-4.
* 6 games on the road (Panthers, Warriors, Cowboys, Storm, Sharks Roosters). Current record is 3-3.
* 1 bye
If the historical cutoff for the 8 is 28 points, one theory is that we could win all of our home games (12 points), pick up the bye (2 points) which would leave us only 1 game on the road to win (2 points) = 28 points.
My gut (and believe me there is plenty of it) feeling, after the hysteria of Saturday has died down, is that we HAVE to win our remaining games at home to have any chance. That would give us an 8-4 year at home which should be what clubs aim for at a minimum each year you would think.
Even though we have a 50% strike rate away, I think it is a really big ask to expect the same ratio of our remaining away games....you never know but here's hoping.
But let's say, if we can have a magic run to the end of SOO 3 by winning all of our games and picking up 10 points, like I said stay with me, I think we will set up for a barnstormer of a run home.
That run from now to SOO3 is....
Manly (H...should get it),
Broncos (H...should get it with a mountain of players backing up/unavailable after SOO2)
Penrith (A....hmmmm)
Warriors (A....remember the baby eels of 2000, the close miss last year when Treacy started after bieng picked up by the club only days before)
Roosters (H....they will have millions out for SOO3)
Like I said, a big ask but Smithy talks about having a fair bit of luck going your way sometimes and if things fall into place you never know...we know our form has been shithouse and this will be a huge effort given recent times.
Now all I need is Mr George to tell me "Let's win first this weekend and we'll worry about the rest later"
* We are on 12 points going into this round
* Out of the remaining rounds left to go, we have......
* 6 games at home (Eagles, Broncos, Roosters, Tigers, Warriors, Panthers). Current record is 2-4.
* 6 games on the road (Panthers, Warriors, Cowboys, Storm, Sharks Roosters). Current record is 3-3.
* 1 bye
If the historical cutoff for the 8 is 28 points, one theory is that we could win all of our home games (12 points), pick up the bye (2 points) which would leave us only 1 game on the road to win (2 points) = 28 points.
My gut (and believe me there is plenty of it) feeling, after the hysteria of Saturday has died down, is that we HAVE to win our remaining games at home to have any chance. That would give us an 8-4 year at home which should be what clubs aim for at a minimum each year you would think.
Even though we have a 50% strike rate away, I think it is a really big ask to expect the same ratio of our remaining away games....you never know but here's hoping.
But let's say, if we can have a magic run to the end of SOO 3 by winning all of our games and picking up 10 points, like I said stay with me, I think we will set up for a barnstormer of a run home.
That run from now to SOO3 is....
Manly (H...should get it),
Broncos (H...should get it with a mountain of players backing up/unavailable after SOO2)
Penrith (A....hmmmm)
Warriors (A....remember the baby eels of 2000, the close miss last year when Treacy started after bieng picked up by the club only days before)
Roosters (H....they will have millions out for SOO3)
Like I said, a big ask but Smithy talks about having a fair bit of luck going your way sometimes and if things fall into place you never know...we know our form has been shithouse and this will be a huge effort given recent times.
Now all I need is Mr George to tell me "Let's win first this weekend and we'll worry about the rest later"
