We lost 2 internationals within 2 weeks.
But don't dispair because we've made a bloke who will probably never play Origin one of the highest paid players in the NRL.
It's a mess.
People over in JA saying that the club has good vision in letting Dugan & Packer go as there are now 5 off U/20's players on show in the SOO U/20's match.
So the reality is we are improving now and knocking on the door this year and have Hunt coming next year so if we had retained the 2017 starting roster and Hunt coming in 2018 then real title chances in 2018 / 19.
The players in the U/20's SOO (which is great in all aspects) are at least some 3-4 years away from 1st grade (that is evident by current by the way we handled the last lot of U/20's).
Dugan and Packer could have been retained for 3 - 4 years if the negotiations had been handled correctly and we would have been very strong title contenders and then the good U/20's players could come in behind them with those already in the reggies and replace the internationals after learning from them.
So that means the players now in the reggies are actually the ones being relied on to come to first grade next year to replace the 2 lost internationals and it is obviously not the U/20's SOO rep players.
The question then is will they make the squad stronger in the short term or will we need to wait a few years for them to grow and we therefore actually delay our shot at the title?
Having established that the good reggies players are the ones to come up next and we look at Mary & Millward's abstract method of blooding or in fact the non blooding of Dufty, Field, Host, Leilua and a few others it would probably indicate that they will go for journeymen replacements for Dugan & Packer in the short term.
If they do in fact replace with journeymen and do not fully promote the good reggies players, then we have gone from getting a real sniff of a premiership in the next 2-3 years to having to wait for a crop of juniors to be elevated from a very much disorganised and ad hoc pathway systems.
Even when they do get the experience needed and are 1st grade hardened some of the existing squad will have aged and their best will be most likely behind them (De Belin, Hunt, Thompson, Frizzell)
At least Sele seems to be being handled well for the time being which is a real change to Host / Leilua / Dufty but Field's situation is ridiculous as he bench warms for 1st grade, with very little game time, doesn't play reggies and gets picked in the U/20's SOO side which is just crazy. The kid needs to be playing lots of footy to be able to learn.
Anyway IMO we had a real chance in the next 3 years with our existing squad and I haven't seen anything yet to say we will be stronger next year for their loss and therefore conclude we are further away from a premiership so on that basis I consider being further away = being a mess.