Probably, yeah. I want to see Gavet sustain it for a longer period before I fully buy into him, but he's been very, very good this year. Most of the annoying crap has been left out of his game, his defence looks totally transformed and he's running harder than ever.
But Packer shouldn't be in the Kiwis team at all. Personal stuff aside (which is a significant issue, I feel - dude went to jail for a year), I don't think he's the best NZ prop at his own club, and far from the top few available to the national side right now. Would much rather see Gavet in than Packer.
Lillyman's workrate has been slightly higher (not by much) on both attack and defense (not surprising that the balance is so similar either - they've played most of their minutes together). Gavet's metres per run is a little higher, but the main difference comes when looking at tries/linebreaks/assists, tackle breaks/offloads and errors/penalties. Gavet has significantly more of each (the errors/penalties thing is to be expected - often correlates with the other two groups, as long as it stays within an acceptable range it's fine).
There's a rundown of the middles we've used this year.
Essentially what makes Gavet look good is the combination of >40 minutes per game, the per minute workrate (mtr80, tk80), the decent mtr/r and good tackle break/offload numbers - ie. similar workrate to Lillyman, but more impact.
Stats are stats but IMO Bull and Jimmy compliment one another.
Gavet's strength is his ability to put on a bit of footwork but continue to keep his pace going into contact. He often fights tooth and nail at contact to find his front and in doing so also tries to catch defenders either on the ground or interfering with what's happening in the ruck. What's not taken into account is his quick play the balls and when there's only one marker it gives Luke space to snipe. Luke, SJ and Foran have been the recipient of his quick PTBs and that's not what these stats are telling us. Gavet's try was in between two Kangaroos but the way he accelerated into contact and turned his body I doubt Lillyman would or even could do. So along with his mongrel he's intelligent enough to know that there aren't too many NRL props around that he can't win the ruck against - the Raiders and Roosters are testament to that.
His defense against the roosters was scary, especially in the second half when he returned. You can't teach mongrel and this guy's got it in spades. Combining with Sau and Lisone have seen him spark up their defense and get the opposition looking twice.
I think people forget that his stint before he got injured when he was with the Tigers saw him at his brutal best with the likes of Taupau, Seumanufagai and Seu terrorizing the Cowboys, Seaeagles, Doggies and Rabbits. He's kind of getting back to that form but he's on his own in doing so and that's a worry. He NEEDS someone else who can really put the fear into the opposition. Not often you see Napa and JWH bullied! The question is how long can Gavet sustain this level of punch on his own.
I disagree that he was at his best of anything at the Tigers though... he was mental there - and (mostly) not in a good way. Missed tackles, dropped balls and stupid penalties were the order of every appearance. He's come a long, long way forward since then.
Play the ball speed is recorded (and averaged), but the difference isn't huge.. variance is though (it's a factor I feel gets totally overlooked in sports analysis in general), meaning Gavet has most of the quickest and slowest play the balls of the two - likely still something in Gavet's favour, as the slowest PTBs are often created by defences targeting a danger on the ground for longer.
Beg to differ my friend. I can pinpoint easily the games he played well in, which were most of them, and penalties often not justified although there was one against Souths that was random. He was definitely NOT "mental" as you say - incredibly aggressive but so too were the other bench players. His game versus Manly that year he did some things that were far from mental, like scooping on uncontested balls and tackle breaks hardly the traits of someone being "mental". When he played the Cowboys he was probably at his best - running it straight to Tamou aggressively, hammering Simms much like what he is doing now. The occasional dropped ball - what NRL player doesn't do that? Countless times commentators raved about his aggression and his "ripping and tearing" and how other teams were finding it hard to combat him, Taupau and Su'e particularly - I would call that mongrel NOT "mental". SK was very interested in him then and then he pulled a hammy against Parra which ultimately kept him out of the 1st grade side and then later returned to a Tigers that didn't fire and things went downhill then just prior to trading to the Bronx.
You know there are two sides to the play, right?
In those two games, he made 30 successful tackles. He missed 12. Also had an ineffective in there too. That's a prop with an effective tackle rate of less than 70% (!!!!!). I don't like wingers that can't get to 70%. Middle forwards? He should be hitting high 80s at a minimum. And those are the two games you picked out as his best?
Every player drops the occasional ball or gives away a penalty here or there, sure... but Gavet was giving away 2.62 per 80 minutes on the field... too many for what he was producing elsewhere, given his tendency to miss tackles.
pretty approachable chap, articulate and works with youth charities etc.
Jesus H Christ... That is absolute rubbish. Learn what context is then come back to me. Rubbish like that is (one of the reasons) why people like Trump get people supporting them for "anti-PC" reasons and feel free to say whatever comes to mind.
I obviously wasn't talking about actual mental health issues, but doing stupid stuff on the field. No, I won't mind using the word. Because words take on different meaning according to context. Duh.
LOL @ Sirro & Blocker having HUGE RAPS. Great evidence that is. Heard Blocker speak about footy, have you? If you switch on the Fox coverage when he's on you should be able to hear what I mean...
You mentioned Tigers fans reaction to him, so I mentioned the Tigers fans I know (more than one - but the guy I mentioned is a superfan who goes to all the games in the Sydney area every year). Very different reaction - clearly, this was not a universally held view. Cult figure eh? Charlie Gubb is considered a cult figure here, care to stick up for him too? Perhaps if I said he was mental.... (lol)
Just out of curiosity, you say he was getting standing ovations.... I think you mean, the team was getting standing ovations and he happened to be a part of that team. Unless you're suggesting Tigers fans were giving him standing O's when he got subbed off? lol
You sure you're not a Tigers fan ole mate?
hahah.. glad to entertain the boys!
Nice bantering with ya jaseg - now can we get back to the footy!
True that brother. Just want him to keep kicking arse now that he's with the right team.I live in Sydney these days, but I don't doubt he's a good fella. Like I said, I've heard only positive things.
It was a pleasure