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Melbourne Storm odds are too short!

rlforever

Juniors
Messages
119
I'd just like to point out that you will win $2550 if they win the premiership rather than $3550. Also, you're a moron.

No you are the moron. I will lose if they win the Premiership because I am backing them NOT to win the Premiership.

Which part of NOT don't you understand idiot??!!!:D
 

Loudstrat

Coach
Messages
15,224
No you are the moron. I will lose if they win the Premiership because I am backing them NOT to win the Premiership.

Which part of NOT don't you understand idiot??!!!:D
No, the only moron here is you. Plonking a grand on anything Melbourne do given their penchant for rampant cheating.

Better idea. Buy and old HQ and giver her a buff and some tyre black and sell it for $1200
 

Cletus

First Grade
Messages
7,171
No you are the moron. I will lose if they win the Premiership because I am backing them NOT to win the Premiership.

Which part of NOT don't you understand idiot??!!!:D

No you're still a moron. You don't seem to realise your stake is included in that $3550, although I do admire your hatred of Melbourne.
 

eozsmiles

Bench
Messages
3,392
you can trade futures bets? Never heard of that.

You can trade any bet if the price moves the right way. He can have his $1000 on now at the $3.60 and when they come to $2.60 for example, he can lay them for $1400. If Storm win or lose he'll profit $360 or $400 respectively. IMO he'd basically be betting that the big 3 don't break down because if they stay fit they'll win the minor premiership and will certainly be $3 or less when the finals start.

What I'm most interested in is where old mate can bet on the Storm NOT winning the comp at $3.60? That is something I haven't heard of. I think he's a bit confused about what the blue and pink sides of the screen mean.
 

Tom Shines

First Grade
Messages
9,854
I am not betting on Melbourne to win the Premiership - I am betting on them NOT to win the Premiership.

On Betfair the odds are:

$3.55 to win the Premiership (or "bet)
$3.60 NOT to win the Premniership (or "lay)
"
So I am going to "lay"them and win $3600

You don't quite know how this works, do you?

It's $3600 of your cash ("liability") to win $1000
 

Penrose Warrior

First Grade
Messages
9,473
I am not betting on Melbourne to win the Premiership - I am betting on them NOT to win the Premiership.

On Betfair the odds are:

$3.55 to win the Premiership (or "bet)
$3.60 NOT to win the Premniership (or "lay)
"
So I am going to "lay"them and win $3600

You know how betting agencies stay open? Because they make money. Genuises like yourself think they're onto a sure bet, and there's no such thing.

Apart from when the odds are at $3.55 to win it and $3.60 to not. You need to get your 100 closest family and friends together to pool all their money on it, eradicate world hunger etc and save me a bit too.
 

HowHigh

Coach
Messages
12,819
Melbourne at $3.55 to win the Premiership. That is way too short considering the run home they have.

I'm going to bet a $1000 lay against Melbourne on Betfair to win a lazy $3600
Yeah good on you
Hows that supposed 10k u got on tigers feeling
 

rlforever

Juniors
Messages
119
Yeah good on you
Hows that supposed 10k u got on tigers feeling

Seriously some of you guys are complete idiots. I am betting on Melbourne NOT to win the Premiership.

NOT NOT NOT NOT NOT NOT NOT NOT NOT NOT to win the Premiership.

NOT NOT NOT to win.

NOT NOT. OK?

NOT. Do you understand?
 

rlforever

Juniors
Messages
119
LOL, the OP clearly has no clue how a "lay" bet works

ok so here is the Scenario

If I lay Melbourne for $1000 @ $3.60 then if Melbourne do NOT win the Premiership I will collect $3600 net profit

If Melbourne WIN the Premiership then I will need to payout $2600 net loss as I am in effect the bookie
 

Tom Shines

First Grade
Messages
9,854
ok so here is the Scenario

If I lay Melbourne for $1000 @ $3.60 then if Melbourne do NOT win the Premiership I will collect $3600 net profit

If Melbourne WIN the Premiership then I will need to payout $2600 net loss as I am in effect the bookie

Still not right.
 

Jason Maher

Immortal
Messages
35,991
Keep the comedy gold coming, moronforever. If I believed there was any truth at all to what you were saying, I'd almost want Melbourne to win it so you'd lose both bets (given the Dragons are no chance).
 

Apey

Moderator
Staff member
Messages
28,284
there is one thing rlforever hasn't taken into account.

the Storm have a 50% chance of winning of the comp, because they either will or they won't.
 

Paullyboy

Coach
Messages
10,473
ok so here is the Scenario

If I lay Melbourne for $1000 @ $3.60 then if Melbourne do NOT win the Premiership I will collect $3600 net profit

If Melbourne WIN the Premiership then I will need to payout $2600 net loss as I am in effect the bookie

Haha has everyone kept their mouth shut on the real return he'll get on a bet he has layed for funzies? Hmm I don't want to ruin the fun and will choose to not mention it as well then. Going to be an expensive lesson...
 

Evenflow

Bench
Messages
3,139
Haha has everyone kept their mouth shut on the real return he'll get on a bet he has layed for funzies? Hmm I don't want to ruin the fun and will choose to not mention it as well then. Going to be an expensive lesson...

I'm taking he laid the Storm on Betfair, if so I hope he knows how much he's up for if they win. The stupid merkin clearly doesn't :lol:
 

rlforever

Juniors
Messages
119
I've already explained the scenario yet you dicks are too dumb to even figure it out. Perhaps your mommy can help you.
 

rlforever

Juniors
Messages
119
Keep the comedy gold coming, moronforever. If I believed there was any truth at all to what you were saying, I'd almost want Melbourne to win it so you'd lose both bets (given the Dragons are no chance).

Hey dickhead, what have the dragons got to do with it??!! I have backed the Tigers ya imbicile
 

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