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If it is non-compulsory what is most likely to win? A lot of merkins who don't give a shit either way and probably won't vote (like myself) will be counted out so it will be the passionate 'for' minority against the passionate 'against' minority.
I reckon the no vote will likely prevail, because my felling is that most people don't really care that much to arsed, they just don't think it's anyone's business.