The Great Dane
First Grade
- Messages
- 7,978
I think the fear is that if other nations get stronger in League, they will develop their own professional competitions which will grow larger than the NRL. Meaning the NRL is no longer the premiere Rugby League competition it is. Which is a fair fear. If the USA got a professional Rugby League competition, it wouldn't take very much for that competition to be bigger than the NRL. Due to the economic power of the US compared to Australia.
I get the feeling that a majority of League fans want us to have the same international footprint as Union. Similar competitiveness. Which would be good. But I think the majority of NRL fans fear that the NRL will become something along the lines of Super Rugby. Which just won't happen. Super Rugby is weak because of the NRL exists.
The NRL is currently the biggest and richest domestic Rugby competition in the world. If all of Union died and became League, that wouldn't change. They're already a competition for our players and sponsors and TV rights. We're winning by a huge margin.
I would like to see the NRL put in a certain sum of money to the RLIF or APRL, but I can also see why they don't. They are the AUSTRALIAN governing body. They could give a million to the APRL or to, for example, Western Australia NRL. It's pretty clear who their priority is. And fair enough too.
It's not Union that is the threat it is league it's self.
If the interest in the international game grows to quickly (to lets say roughly Origin levels in Australia) the value of the rights to broadcast internationals will balloon, if interest has grown in internationals then that means that SOO's appeal will be eroded (because it'll be seen as a less significant competition and there for less interesting to viewers) just like SOO eroded interest in CvsC catastrophically and to an extent they both eroded interest in the NRL.
When that happens, as the viewership for internationals goes up and the viewership for both SOO and the NRL starts to go down the value of internationals rights will go up and the value of SOO and NRL will drop, at which point the NRL will slowly lose it's current income from broadcasting rights, that money will have been shared between multiple RL boards across the world.
At that point the NRL will start to lose the capacity to fund the NRL to the standards that it did in the past and it will have to make cuts to it's spending to accommodate the smaller income, which will mean that the clubs get smaller grants and the salary cap will shrink (among many other funding cuts) and when that happens the clubs will not be able to pay the players as much as they once did.
When the clubs can't afford to pay the million dollar salaries that the players would now be used to the player will start to look else where to fund their lifestyles, which means that they'll look to french and Japanese RU and maybe other places like the NFL.
Maybe the NRL decides to do what the ARU does and tops up roughly 20-25 of the top players contracts to keep them playing for the Kangaroos, but they'll only do that for kangaroos players not Samoan, Kiwi, Fijian, Tongan, etc players and appart from maybe the Kiwis and English none of the other RL's will be able to make up the difference unless they found successful domestic competition of a similar value to the NRL and ESL (and even then the Kiwis would be a dodgy prospect considering that at the moment the ARLC basically funds their existence).
At that point the quality of international RL starts to drop because there simply isn't the talent to support all the teams in the game anymore, then interest in international RL either peaks out (Like union has) or starts to drop, who knows at that point there's no precedence (at least none that I know of), but I'd suggest that in Australia at least it would start to drop because it'd put a bunch of the best Australian rugby players suddenly within the ARUs financial reach again which would see them pick up a few more of the top rugby players every generation of players which would effect both the Wallabies and Kangaroos performances which would greatly effect interest in the codes in Australia as the success' of each team fluctuate.