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OT: Current Affairs and Politics

Messages
11,677
Don’t go too hard too early or you’ll have to wind it back like you did with the Pizza Parlour shit.

“Nah, nah I was just shit stirring mate...”

I haven't wound back #PizzaGate....

I may have distanced myself from what you erroneously think it is, but I haven't wound myself back from what it really is.
 
Messages
11,677
Either way - we are here and it is time.

Within 24 hours we'll know who was right and who was wrong.

I mean...in 72 hours...

I mean...within a week...probably...
 

Gronk

Moderator
Staff member
Messages
79,838
Climate change denier, antilockdown sympathiser and Morrison messenger Uhlmann wants a Biden win. Interesting.....

 

Bandwagon

Super Moderator
Staff member
Messages
47,090
There's an established school of thought that larger turnouts benefit the Democrats, the acceptance of this is evident in GOP actions over the years that are easily interpreted as being primarily designed to suppress voter turnout, particularly in urban areas. Simply by making it harder to vote. There's been plenty of action on that front this cycle, with numerous legal challenges to changes that have made voting easier.

Now what i thinks interesting about that is that Trump's greatest strength has been his ability to engage voters through his behaviour, not just his fans, but indeed those that oppose him.

And here we are, with predictions that this election will see the greatest voter turnout in decades, with over 100 million votes cast pre polling day. Which is a record in it's self. There's no denying voter engagement is incredibly high, and I think it's difficult to argue that isn't nearly all because of Trump

So if it holds true that greater turnout favours the Democrats, and that the Donald is the primary cause of greater turnout, then it follows that his greatest strength will be the cause of his downfall.

Oh the ironing.
 

Gronk

Moderator
Staff member
Messages
79,838
There's an established school of thought that larger turnouts benefit the Democrats, the acceptance of this is evident in GOP actions over the years that are easily interpreted as being primarily designed to suppress voter turnout, particularly in urban areas. Simply by making it harder to vote. There's been plenty of action on that front this cycle, with numerous legal challenges to changes that have made voting easier.

Now what i thinks interesting about that is that Trump's greatest strength has been his ability to engage voters through his behaviour, not just his fans, but indeed those that oppose him.

And here we are, with predictions that this election will see the greatest voter turnout in decades, with over 100 million votes cast pre polling day. Which is a record in it's self. There's no denying voter engagement is incredibly high, and I think it's difficult to argue that isn't nearly all because of Trump

So if it holds true that greater turnout favours the Democrats, and that the Donald is the primary cause of greater turnout, then it follows that his greatest strength will be the cause of his downfall.

Oh the ironing.
Pre-polling is going to be interesting. Trump keeps repeating the below. Merkins reckon that he’ll claim victory on the day then if mail votes show him losing ground he will litigate to have them ruled invalid.

 

Twizzle

Administrator
Staff member
Messages
155,333
I'm so over this f**king election which has really little to do with us.

Can't even watch any news or log into Twitter without getting wall to wall American Election coverage, just fast forward me to the end please.
 
Messages
11,677
Pre-polling is going to be interesting.

Going back to the pre-polling link I shared earlier:

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/president-results?icid=election_nav

The reason I think Trump has a chance is because those pre-poll vote numbers don't stack up enough to cover the late votes. If you're gonna vote early then you don't vote last minute so, while I could be wrong, I just don't see those early votes stacking up for Biden anywhere except Pennsylvania and I don't expect late incoming votes to bridge the gap.
 

strider

Post Whore
Messages
79,165
I'm so over this f**king election which has really little to do with us.

Can't even watch any news or log into Twitter without getting wall to wall American Election coverage, just fast forward me to the end please.
exactly ... a terrorist attack in austria where 4 people were killed struggled to get into the top stories yesterday .... it was all f**kin election and f**k all cases of covid in australia
 

Twizzle

Administrator
Staff member
Messages
155,333
El7AA2jXUAAM9bU
 

Bandwagon

Super Moderator
Staff member
Messages
47,090
Pre-polling is going to be interesting. Trump keeps repeating the below. Merkins reckon that he’ll claim victory on the day then if mail votes show him losing ground he will litigate to have them ruled invalid.


Even if the SCOTUS is as partisan as is mooted, and I have little doubt there, the constitutionalist in them makes it very difficult for them to strike out votes after the fact, when the voters have followed the rules of the day.

I can only see this being a factor if the vote is incredibly tight, and the decision will definitely change the result. Even then, I think odds are they'll value the legitimacy of the court above partisanship
 

Bandwagon

Super Moderator
Staff member
Messages
47,090
I'm so over this f**king election which has really little to do with us.

Can't even watch any news or log into Twitter without getting wall to wall American Election coverage, just fast forward me to the end please.

Sorry mate, but unless it's a white wash early, it'll be going on for another week or so.
 

Bandwagon

Super Moderator
Staff member
Messages
47,090
Just on the turnout thing, it's being reported that Florida has surpassed it's all time voting record with five hours till close of the polls.

Now that race is incredibly close, with 538 giving it to Biden on a 2.5 point margin, so with a 2016 type polling error to Trump, you basically have a dead heat.

If a Biden win is called early there, it's all over for Trump, If it's called for Trump, Biden isn't exactly screwed, he still has a path, but it's looking a helluva lot narrower, which I say mainly because it'd point to turnout not necessarily favouring the Democrats.
 

Gronk

Moderator
Staff member
Messages
79,838
I'm so over this f**king election which has really little to do with us.

Can't even watch any news or log into Twitter without getting wall to wall American Election coverage, just fast forward me to the end please.
Actually you may have noticed that Chyna has taken offence to us becoming USA errand boy and banned AU imports of nearly everything. Not going to help us claw our way out of the recession doldrums is it ?
 
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