I'm currently in Canberra visiting my daughter, and yesterday for something to do I took her and her boyfriend to watch the locals put a big score on the Knights. So here's the intel from row ZZ.
1. Jamal Fogerty is a heck of a kicker, and gives the ball plenty of air. Our fullback and wingers better use lots of sticky spray.
2. Corey Horburgh was playing like a 5/8 at times. I thought he was just a big thug but he has a few moves on him.
3. Josh Papalii was well marked and never really got going. The key is to stop him before he can wind up, which the Knights generally did well.
4. Neither sides fitness seemed exemplary. Line speed etc didn't look any better than ours. I was a bit surprised at that.
5. Canberra were exemplary at slowing the ruck without getting penalised. Newcastle just always carried on that little bit too long and gave away a couple of 6-agains. Canberra had enough fire power to score off the back of that.
6. Canberra's defence would bunch up in the middle after several plays. Newcastle always looked dangerous when they spun the ball wide on tackle 4 or 5.
7. Both Canberra's wingers move infield in defence. Both of them were just as bad as Sloane in that respect.
Given the game is at WIN, I suppose we are some chance. I'd be surprised though. I think the Raiders will be very focussed given the close result last time we played.