I would still rate Penrith and St George Illawarra as the most likely winners of the comp. Both teams, despite losing, appear to have been trying to change it up a little bit heading into the finals, EG Penrith have moved away from the huge reliance on kicking and are now a more rounded side.
The danger to upset the applecart is the Tigers. The problem for them is that eventually they have to beat a good defensive team who don't panic in attack. Benji preys on teams who shoot a defender out of the line and he uses his footwork to take the inside gap. The Titans on Friday night really didn't do that, and subsequently all his darting took him away from his forwards and he seemed more intent to play football in the front row rather than go north to south as the game is inclined towards. If he still had a Scott Prince alongside him I'd back him in, but he doesn't. In saying that, both the Tigers and the Roosters have the attack on the edges to win it, they just need to control things a little better and lock up the ball inside their own halves better and play a little more patient.
Penrith and Saints for me.