Tbh you can never really tell with a forward unless they've first established themselves in first grade and have proven themselves with a few seasons under their belt. When I look back to when Lolo and Klemmer started their careers in first grade, they were very flat and didn't look anything special - this was mostly due to their age but when they finally matured and got more experience they started walking into rep sides no questions asked. These two were exceptional and not many have done what they've done. I remember a few years ago watching a kid called Taniela Paseka in the NYC and thought he would become the next David Klemmer, a few years later and he isn't even a regular 1st grader. There was the Shaun Lane at the Dogs who burst onto the scene and looked for all money to be a future rep player, now he's barely cracking 1st grade. Remember Bryce Cartwright and how he was being built up as the next Sonny Bill? Ended up being released by his club. Theres been so many different instances, guy like Tepai Moeroa was a junior star and became a solid first grader but nothing more beyond that, Chris Grevsmuhl looked special for half a season then just disappeared, the Burgess boys turned to trash after 1 good season along with Guerra, Shannon Boyd and Josh Papalii. Very rarely you'd have that one guy who would play shit all season for his club but puts on an Origin jersey and does a complete transformation - Greg Bird. The point is you never really know until they've proven it. TPJ looks really impressive but weather he can keep that up consistently over the years is the question I'm wondering, if he does I'm sure he'll be walking in the footsteps of Lolo and Klemmer. As with Payne Haas I think the best option is to not assume anything.