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Can't count Penrith out because at their best this is a very even match up. Problem is, they've looked pretty shit in attack this finals series and now they have to turn that around in a week, after a very tough game, against the team with the next best defence. On current form alone, I'd tip Storm 13+. However I do think they will lift for this but ultimately still fall short; I don't think they will be embarrassed.
Storm by 8.
Storm by 8.