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2025 Crowd Watch

SLRBRONCOS

Referee
Messages
25,721
Looking at Magic Round, it's a little concerning that there are still tickets left in the top 4 categories for Friday.

It looks like the NRL moving the Broncos from the headline Friday spot, plus the Roosters & Eels having less than ideal starts have played a part.

Hopefully we're only talking a few hundred tickets, but still not ideal.
The NRL was really poor with releasing these just last week. It seems that these were held back for unsold flight & accom packages, because they are mostly in random blocks. Luckily most of them have shifted now (if you click accessible, you can then roam around the map). Maybe 500-700 seats left.

Might still sell out by Friday
 

Desert Qlder

First Grade
Messages
9,575
Canberra's average crowd compared to population, is pretty good. They essentially average 1 person to their games per 29.9 people in their metro population:

City/RegionPopulationTeamsProportion per teamAverage Crowd (2025)Crowd per pop
Newcastle508,437
1​
508,437​
22,913​
22.2​
North Queensland*414,052
1​
414,052​
18,320​
22.6​
Illawarra313,842
1​
313,842​
12,310​
25.5​
Canberra453,558
1​
453,558​
15,161​
29.9​
Sydney5,557,233
9​
617,470​
19,287​
32.0​
Brisbane2,780,063
2​
1,390,032​
33,601​
41.4​
Gold Coast640,778
1​
640,778​
14,286​
44.9​
Auckland1,797,300
1​
1,797,300​
22,275​
80.7​
Melbourne5,207,145
1​
5,207,145​
23,348​
223.0​

Melbourne are doing well despite the high quotient, considering they are still an expansion team in the epicenter of AFL. To truly judge the success of Melbourne's crowds you have to look at how they have grown over time (149% growth since 2005, 49% since 2014, and 28% since 2018). Warriors being in traditional Union territory need to be cut some slack too. Again with the Warriors you need to look at growth over time rather than comparing their numbers to the Broncos or the Knights for example. Comparing the Warrior or Storm with the Broncos or Knights would be extremely harsh and lacking acumen.

Newcastle and North Queensland are unsurprisingly the best when it comes to average crowd per head of population.

*The North Queensland population includes Townsville and surrounding LGAs such as Charters Towers, Whitsunday and Mackay, not Cairns though.
This is some of the worst analysis I’ve seen on this thread and it is crawling with AFL fans.

Reminds me of Andrew Webster’s recent description of Brisbane’s western corridor “from Ipswich to Rockhampton.
 

i0Nic

Juniors
Messages
490
In the Raiders history, their highest ever crowd average at Bruce is 15,298 (2019) and including the likes of Magic, etc is 17,043 (2024).

So far this year they've had crowds of 18,884 (Broncos), 10,914 (Sharks) and 15,686 (Dolphins) at Bruce, to give them a current average of 15,161. If you add in their other home game (Vegas), their average is 22,673.

They are showing some positive signs at GIO from their first 3 games and still have some of their traditionally stronger drawing games to come (Bulldogs, Eels, Dragons). If the Raiders can finish around the 15K mark (or higher) this year, that's a win, relative to where they've been.
Most/All clubs have been increasing their average over the years except Canberra. Just look at other regional teams like Newcastle. I do think there’s a big concern, need a concerted effort to get this to a 20k average and that includes building a new stadium. PVL should be campaigning hard for this, but the raiders aren’t don’t their cause much by rarely getting close to filling Bruce.

But im less concerned about their crowd moreso worried that if its a sign of lagging interest in the nrl in Canberra.
 

Wb1234

Immortal
Messages
39,649
Most/All clubs have been increasing their average over the years except Canberra. Just look at other regional teams like Newcastle. I do think there’s a big concern, need a concerted effort to get this to a 20k average and that includes building a new stadium. PVL should be campaigning hard for this, but the raiders aren’t don’t their cause much by rarely getting close to filling Bruce.

But im less concerned about their crowd moreso worried that if its a sign of lagging interest in the nrl in Canberra.
Raiders like a lot of clubs lost support after super league in their case to the brumbies whose crowds wet up to 15 to 20k which was more than the raiders at around 12k

Brumbies are now at 6 to 8k whilst raiders 14 to 18k

Their real issue is a lack of success (last gf 94) and they can’t keep any of their players

New stadium would be a bonus but they could average 20k on Bruce if they continue current form

Newcastle whilst also poor on the field sent competing with a super rugby side or a part time afl side
 

yakstorm

First Grade
Messages
6,314
Most/All clubs have been increasing their average over the years except Canberra. Just look at other regional teams like Newcastle. I do think there’s a big concern, need a concerted effort to get this to a 20k average and that includes building a new stadium. PVL should be campaigning hard for this, but the raiders aren’t don’t their cause much by rarely getting close to filling Bruce.

But im less concerned about their crowd moreso worried that if its a sign of lagging interest in the nrl in Canberra.
What window are we basing this on? Are we just looking at individual years in isolation or looking at trends over multiple years? If you break down the Raiders averages post Super League, you can see gradual increases from where they were.

- From 2000 - 2009, the Raiders had an average of 11,414 (1,381,120 aggregate from 121 games) for games played in Canberra.

- From 2010 - 2019, the Raiders had an average of 11,759 (1,399,325 aggregate from 119 games) for games played in Canberra.

- Excluding the COVID affected 2020 season where GIO Stadium was capped to 4K or less, the Raiders have an average of 14,081 (605,493 aggregate from 43 games) for games played in Canberra from 2021 - 2025. This year alone they are sitting at 15,161 from 3 of 11 home games.

Even if you include the 90's, which was a golden period for the Raiders, the club is exceeding that average of 13,155 (1,420,791 aggregate from 108 games).

To say they're not growing is unfair. Yes they didn't do as much as they could of over the period, but like a lot of clubs, post Super League they took a hit and the next decade was focusing on consolidation.

Pretty much from 2016 they finally invested in game day experience and went from being a 9K-10K club the years before to getting 12.2K / 14.1K / 11.8K / 15.3K / COVID / 13.6K / 13.0K / 15.3K / 14.0K / 15.2K. Whilst it's lumpy, it is trending in the right direction.
 

Cumberland Throw

First Grade
Messages
6,612
Chances are Perth will enter the comp in 2027. There will be 18 teams, nine games per round. Which means the NRL would have to restructure the schedule of Magic Round from three to four days. Magic Round could increase attendance from 145k, 150k to maybe 175k, 180k.

Thursday- 1 game
Friday- 2
Saturday- 3
Sunday- 3

Women's Origin to be played on Wednesday night.
If Brisbane holds it forever .. do we see a day when games are split 5 and 4 between new Olympic stadium and Suncorp
 

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