Now that I've had time to think the possible finals combinations through, here's my thoughts:
Of the 4 timelots: Friday night, Saturday 6pm, Saturday 8pm, Sunday arvo
- Melbourne, getting a guaranteed home final at AAMI Park, should be locked in for Saturday 6pm. As someone else said, it'd be a big mistake playing them on Friday night against Geelong vs Hawthorn. Melbourne won't get any more than15k max, regardless of their opponent. They'd get in the 10-15k range. On Saturday evening, they'll get 20k+ (and potentially up to 25k, if against the Cowboys).
- Cronulla or Canberra's home final (whoever hosts) locked in for Friday night at Allianz/GIO Stadium.
- If Broncos host a final, locked in for Sunday arvo and the remaining final held on Saturday 8pm. If against the Titans, it will sell-out, against Tigers would get 45k+
- If Cowboys host a final, locked in for Saturday 8pm with the remaining final on Sunday arvo.
- Penrith or Bulldogs home final held at Allianz on Sat 8pm if Broncos playing on Sunday. If Broncos don't have a home final, then at ANZ Stadium on Sunday.
Other issues brought up:
- no to a double header at Allianz. This would be a mistake. The double header in 2013 only got 32k. I believe Bulldogs/Penrith and Cronulla vs TBA would draw more as separate games at Allianz compared to a double header.