I honestly don't care enough about the Sharks stuff to argue about it, so I cut it, but you need to re-read what I wrote because you've misunderstood a lot of it, and I'd suggest that you should be careful trusting people in power with an agenda.
In fact under the current Tv money situation ,the stadium issues and the need for consolidation,the intent of clubs to be more proactive in new infrastructure plans, the status quo and not relocation fits the NRL;s position .
It is sensible therefore the current grants to clubs involving additional monies marketing and growth strategies is the answer.Thus avoiding clubs falling over is not necessary.
I'm not quite sure what you are trying to say here, so I'll leave it.
I cannot agree with the point , losing a club in any area ,is not a good option.You whiteant your support for the code, your grassroots and potential sponsors.North Sydney is whether we agree or not a rl desert by comparison to other rl areas.It became a welcome mat for AFL.
That loss of support has been shown to be generational time and time again, yes you lose the support of a lot of the current fans (to what degree and whether or not they jump to new sports or clubs, and to what degree they jump to those new sports or clubs, we don't know cause the reserch ha never been done) but if you plan for it properly you can win back their kids and their grandchildren.
Also generally speaking rationalisation doesn't effect the grassroots at all if you plan it right (apart from a small drop in participation rates right after the loss of a club), the NS situation is more a situation of the Bears on making as they have consistently blocked any other NRL club from taking over or assisting their juniors now that they can't support them properly anymore, this attitude has done more damage for RL in NS then anything else over the past 20 years.
And again you have failed to present any causation between the Bears demise and the AFLs growth, in the grassroots or anywhere else.
And there are no guarantees a new club in another non heartland area ,is going to be a success.It could in fact be a huge financial drain on resources.The code cannot afford to spend $20m pa and have a debacle.and come crawling back home.
It's true that new clubs might not be successful straight away, but they've got something that the Sydney clubs don't!
Their mere presence in the competition adds value to the competitions TV rights, sponsorship, etc, that wouldn't be there if they weren't, so even if they did lose 20 million a year it wouldn't matter because in of themselves they add $30mil (just as an example, not an actual figure) to the TV rights value so you could give them the $20mil each year to support themselves and still come out on top with an extra $10mil in the bank.
This isn't true of the Sydney clubs as it only takes a one club in each major city to give you that value on the TV rights. In other words you could lose a handful of Sydney clubs and not have any affect on the value of the TV rights, however if you lose the Broncos or the Storm you would cut a quarter or more off the TV rights value overnight.
Why the need to rationalise ,if you can make the clubs grow their support base and juniors.Especailly now there is talk of updating infrastructure in the outer Sdney clubs.
Because the Sydney clubs can never grow as big as the out of town clubs in other cities can with all the competition they face locally, and because you can support all of the juniors, sponsors, corporates, potential supporters, etc, in Sydney with only 4-6 clubs in Sydney.
In other words you don't need 9 clubs to maintain any of those benefits in Sydney, and spaces in the competition are finite, and by having 9 clubs in Sydney that means that more clubs in other places have to miss out on a place in the competition then is necessary and that the NRL (and to a large degree RL it's self) has to miss out on access to those markets and the benefits that they offer.
The SL rationalisation was rushed because of the time factor for Pay TV and funding available.
@ Expedient for the ARL and News
b)Because also there was SFA money in the kitty.$25m ARL money went down the tube.
The situation from 2018-2023 is completely different.
Yeah and how this is an indictment of rationalisation?
All bring this shows is an example of how not to do rationalisation, not that rationalisation in of it's self is bad.
Your view about 18 20 teams not having enough space ,doesn't mean that it is correct and not practical or financially sustainable.We cannot emphatically say that is the case.
Yes we can emphatically say that 18-20 teams in the NRL isn't enough space to accommodate every potential expansion club of the future given current growth rate for the sport.
Though I'm not suggesting that all of these places should get a club (in fact I think it'd be bloody stupid to give most of these potential bids a license anytime soon), it is reasonable that within the next 50 or so years that Perth and Perth 2, Brisbane 2, 3, and 4, Adelaide 1 and 2, Melbourne 2, CC, CQ, Sunshine coast, Geelong, Darwin, Tasmania, Wellington, Christchurch, Dunedin, Hamilton, Auckland 2, and PNG could all realistically support a club, and that's not taking into account wildcard places like Hawaii, Singapore, etc, which may want to join or may be viable at some point.
I think it's pretty obvious that potentially 20+ doesn't fit into the roughly 4-6 spots that we have left in the competition, I also think it's very unlikely that we'll be able to support a large competition with multiple conferences anytime soon with the current licensing agreements and the size of the grants as a percentage of the broadcasting rights the NRL is giving to the clubs.
Particularly if you secure a huge TV deal.Or whatever revenue comes form other technologies down the line.
Well how things will turn out in that regard is very up in the air.
TV monies is a result of club participation in the NRL.Hence they should secure the lion's share of the revenue,and thus be entitled to marketing assistance and junior support and infrastructure support.
Frankly no, the lions share shouldn't go to a handful of professional clubs, the lions share should go into developing the game because it's not the clubs that create the TV audience it's the game, there'd be no clubs without the game, and for the game to survive and thrive the roots need to be watered so that the flowers can grow big and strong.
And frankly the NRL shouldn't have to assist the clubs marketing endeavors, as frankly they suck at marketing themselves (which is one of RLs biggest problems in this country), but mainly because the clubs should just be doing it themselves and should have been doing it from time in memorial.
The clubs are businesses in their own right, they need to start acting like it.
And though I don't really want to get into it to much, as it's another huge topic in of it's self, but I think that we should be slowly taking junior development away from the NRL clubs, but that's a conversation for another time.
Crpwds of course down and that affects the bottom line.Get clubs marketing assistance with better facilities and scheduling and that can be reversed.
Yes that's true, but crowds are not as valuable as ratings, or clicks anymore, the market has changed drastically in that regard (and is changing drastically again), the obsession with crowds is massively over blown, and you don't need large crowds to survive anymore (though admittedly they are a nice thing to have, and do help), people should be much more worried about ratings being down cause that's where the real money is at the moment.
And frankly huge crowds isn't going to save clubs or make them sustainable in of themselves.
The AFL have tried and not succeeded in further relocation, a message from their clubs and fans.Something the NRL should heed.And the nRL has stated expansion will be looked at for the 2023 period.
The AFL have spent a motza on expansion clubs, and that has upset the established ones.$20m pa per expansion club is not chicken feed.And whose to say that would not happen in NRL expansion
Firstly, the AFL haven't forced the issue on rationalisation since the 90s, if they did it'd be very hard for their clubs to stop them.
Secondly, there is no message from the clubs or fans to heed as it hasn't been taken far enough for them to protest it, and even if they did they're replaceable if you plan it right and the AFL know this.
Thirdly, the AFLs expansion clubs have more then paid for themselves in the value they've added to the TV rights (and sponsorship values) and running an operating an NRL club is not as expensive as running a AFL club.