[T]here is a 40/50% chance of not guilty on sexual assault cases.
The statistics for the offence
Crimes Act 1900 (NSW), s 61JA Aggravated sexual assault in company are not available.
However, statistics for the offence
Crimes Act 1900 (NSW), s 61J Aggravated sexual assault (a lesser offence that Jack de Belin may be found guilty of if not found guilty of the offence that he has been charged with) heard before the New South Wales Criminal Courts in the years 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, and 2016 are available (below):
2012
Aggravated sexual assault charges laid 3,464
Aggravated sexual assault charges proven 1,373
Percentage proven 39.6
Defendants with a finalised aggravated sexual assault charge 1,023
Defendants with a proven aggravated sexual assault charge 536
Percentage proven 52.4
2013
Aggravated sexual assault charges laid 3,496
Aggravated sexual assault charges proven 1,628
Percentage proven 46.6
Defendants with a finalised aggravated sexual assault charge 1,083
Defendants with a proven aggravated sexual assault charge 625
Percentage proven 57.7
2014
Aggravated sexual assault charges laid 4,092
Aggravated sexual assault charges proven 1,762
Percentage proven 43.1
Defendants with a finalised aggravated sexual assault charge 1,189
Defendants with a proven aggravated sexual assault charge 654
Percentage proven 55.0
2015
Aggravated sexual assault charges laid 4,467
Aggravated sexual assault charges proven 1,854
Percentage proven 41.5
Defendants with a finalised aggravated sexual assault charge 1,270
Defendants with a proven aggravated sexual assault charge 690
Percentage proven 54.3
2016
Aggravated sexual assault charges laid 5,383
Aggravated sexual assault charges proven 2,566
Percentage proven 47.7
Defendants with a finalised aggravated sexual assault charge 1,419
Defendants with a proven aggravated sexual assault charge 816
Percentage proven 57.5
Source: New South Wales Department of Justice,
New South Wales Criminal Court Statistics 2016 (24 May 2017, Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research, <
https://www.bocsar.nsw.gov.au/Pages.../mr-NSW-Criminal-Courts-Statistics-2016.aspx>